Torino vs Juventus Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino and Juventus close out their Serie A campaign with a Derby della Mole at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino on 24 May 2026. The hosts come into the final round sitting 12th with 44 points from 37 matches, while Juventus arrive across the city in a strong 6th place on 68 points and already in the Europa League league phase zone. Pride, bragging rights and the chance to end the year on a high will frame this derby more than direct table stakes.

Torino’s season has been inconsistent, reflected in a negative goal difference of -19 and a recent league form line of LWLDD. Survival is secure, but the Granata will want to show their home support they can compete with their illustrious neighbours after a campaign in which they have conceded 61 goals in 37 games. For Juventus, whose league form reads LWDDW, this trip is about consolidating a strong position and maintaining momentum after a season defined by defensive solidity and a clear statistical edge over most opponents.

Stats suggest a tight, tactical derby rather than a shootout, and betting interest will naturally focus on whether Juventus can turn their superiority in standings and underlying numbers into another positive result in this city rivalry. With recent head-to-head meetings often low-scoring and finely balanced, this looks like a classic spot for cautious but targeted Torino vs Juventus betting tips built around Juventus’ defensive record and Torino’s difficulty in breaking down top sides.

Torino vs Juventus Key Stats

• Torino sit 12th on 44 points with 42 goals scored and 61 conceded from 37 matches, while Juventus are 6th with 68 points, 59 scored and only 32 conceded.
• The last five Serie A derbies from 7 October 2023 to 8 November 2025 have produced two Juventus wins and three draws, with Torino failing to win any of those fixtures.
• Juventus average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league game this season, compared to Torino’s 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Torino vs Juventus — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 6
• Points: 44 vs 68
• Goals For: 42 vs 59
• Goals Against: 61 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: 12 vs 16

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Torino’s 12 wins, 8 draws and 17 defeats from 37 games underline their mid-table status, and a goal difference of -19 highlights defensive fragility. At home they have been respectable, winning 8 of 18, but conceding 27 times on their own pitch has repeatedly undermined their efforts.

Juventus, by contrast, have combined solid attacking output with one of the division’s stingiest defences. Nineteen wins and just seven defeats in 37 outings have taken them firmly into the Europa League bracket, backed by 59 goals scored and only 32 conceded. Their away record is particularly impressive: 9 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 24 scored and just 16 conceded on the road. Evidence from their campaign points to a side that manages games well and rarely loses control defensively, even away from home.

Torino vs Juventus Key Matchups

G. Simeone vs K. Yıldız

Giovanni Pablo Simeone has been Torino’s standout attacking threat in Serie A, scoring 11 goals in 31 appearances, 26 of them starts. He has taken 58 shots with 28 on target, showing a willingness to pull the trigger, and has drawn 39 fouls, indicating how often he occupies and troubles defenders. His 22 key passes and involvement across 2,161 minutes underline his importance as both finisher and focal point.

For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız has emerged as a decisive attacking figure. In 36 appearances (33 starts) and 2,838 minutes, he has contributed 10 goals and 6 assists, combining end product with creativity. His 64 shots, 40 on target, and 76 key passes show a player who both finishes and creates at a high level, while 149 dribble attempts with 78 successes point to his ability to destabilise defences. This duel sets a pure penalty-box striker against a multi-faceted creator-finisher, and whichever of Simeone or Yıldız can impose himself more in the final third may tilt the derby.

W. McKennie vs M. Locatelli

In midfield for Juventus, Weston McKennie and Manuel Locatelli provide different but complementary threats. McKennie has chipped in with 5 goals and 5 assists across 35 appearances and 2,751 minutes, supported by 36 shots (16 on target) and 47 key passes. His high work-rate is reflected in 39 tackles and 24 interceptions, plus 42 fouls committed, showing his readiness to engage physically.

Locatelli, meanwhile, is the metronome and defensive shield. With 35 appearances and 2,915 minutes, he has 1 goal and 2 assists but stands out for 2,720 passes at 88% accuracy and 46 key passes. Defensively, 99 tackles, 23 blocks and 38 interceptions highlight his ball-winning and screening ability, while 9 yellow cards and 54 fouls committed underline his combative edge. Torino’s midfield will have to find ways around this duo if they are to supply Simeone effectively.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent derbies have generally been tight, low-scoring affairs, with Juventus holding the edge but Torino often managing to avoid defeat at home. Across the most recent five Serie A meetings listed below, Juventus have two wins and there have been three draws.

• 8 November 2025: Juventus 0-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 11 January 2025: Torino 1-1 Juventus (Serie A)
• 9 November 2024: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 13 April 2024: Torino 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)
• 7 October 2023: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Analysis points to a cagey derby shaped by Juventus’ defensive strength and Torino’s uneven form. Torino’s league form line of LWLDD and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game contrast sharply with Juventus’ LWDDW run and 0.9 goals conceded per match. The comparison metrics also heavily favour the visitors, with a 66.3% overall edge, 70% defensive advantage and a strong h2h weighting in Juventus’ favour.

The prediction model leans towards Juventus with a 45% away win probability and 45% draw, against just 10% for Torino, and the advice is explicitly “Double chance: draw or Juventus.” Expected goals indicators are set conservatively, and with recent derbies often finishing 0-0, 1-1 or 2-0 either way, another low-scoring contest looks likely. Juventus’ superior organisation and individual quality in key areas should see them avoid defeat, but with both teams prone to tight games, a narrow Juventus success is the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-1 Juventus

Torino League Form

LWLDD

Juventus League Form

LWDDW

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

F. Israel; C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, G. Maripán, N. Nkounkou; A. Tamèze, I. Ilić, C. Casadei; N. Vlašić; G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Torino have predominantly used back-three systems such as 3-5-2 and 3-4-1-2 across the season, and the personnel available suggest a similar structure here. With experienced defenders like C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco and G. Maripán, plus wing-back options such as N. Nkounkou and V. Lazaro, they can pack the middle and protect a back line that has leaked 61 goals. In attack, pairing G. Simeone with a physical presence like D. Zapata would maximise their ability to attack crosses and exploit transitions, while N. Vlašić can operate between the lines.

Juventus Possible Starting Lineup

M. Di Gregorio; Bremer, F. Gatti, P. Kalulu; A. Cambiaso, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, F. Kostić; K. Yıldız; D. Vlahović, J. David.

Juventus have most often lined up in a 3-4-2-1, and the squad profile suits that shape. A back three built around Bremer and F. Gatti gives aerial strength, with A. Cambiaso and F. Kostić providing width and delivery from the flanks. In central midfield, M. Locatelli’s passing and defensive volume combine with W. McKennie’s box-to-box energy. Ahead of them, K. Yıldız is the creative hub supporting a strike pair or lone centre-forward from a group including D. Vlahović, J. David, L. Openda and others, giving Juventus multiple options to vary their attacking approach.

Torino Team News

Torino have one confirmed absentee for this fixture, which slightly reduces their attacking depth but leaves the core of the squad intact for the derby.

Juventus Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• Zannetos Savva — Reason: Jumpers knee

Juventus:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs Juventus

Exactly three markets stand out for this Derby della Mole.

• Result Tip: Back Juventus in the match winner market or via a conservative double chance. With a 45% away win probability and 45% draw against just 10% for Torino, plus Juventus’ far superior defensive record, siding with the visitors makes sense. For a straight away win, Bet365 offer around 1.42 on Juventus, while 10Bet and Betfair are close at 1.39–1.40.
• Goals Tip: Under goals appeal given Torino’s 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Juventus’ 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded, and recent H2H scores like 0-0, 1-1 and 2-0. While a specific under line price is not listed, those favouring a low-scoring Juventus win could combine away victory with under goals, using the away odds band of 1.38–1.45 from firms such as Unibet (1.38) and 1xBet (1.45) as a guide to pricing strength on the visitors’ side.
• Value Tip: Consider a Juventus win boosted by their key creators and set-piece threat. Kenan Yıldız has 10 goals and 6 assists, with 76 key passes and 78 successful dribbles, while midfielders like W. McKennie and M. Locatelli add both attacking and defensive value. With bookmakers such as Pinnacle at 1.41 and Betfair at 1.40 for the away win, any enhanced price or bet-builder involving a Juventus victory in a tight game looks like a reasonable value angle.

How to Watch Torino vs Juventus

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.