Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hellas Verona welcome AS Roma to the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi on 24 May 2026 in the final round of Serie A’s Regular Season - 38. It is a clash between a side locked in the relegation places and a team already operating in the Champions League zone, but with plenty still riding on the outcome for both clubs.

Verona sit 19th with 21 points from 37 matches, carrying a goal difference of -34 after scoring just 25 and conceding 59. Their status line reads “Relegation - Serie B”, underlining the scale of their struggle. Roma, by contrast, arrive in Verona in 4th place on 70 points, with 57 goals scored and only 31 conceded, and are listed in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” bracket. For many bettors searching for Verona vs Roma prediction and Serie A betting tips, this looks like a classic meeting of relegation candidate versus Champions League qualifier.

Played at one of Italy’s more atmospheric venues, the Bentegodi has not been a fortress this year for Verona, but it has historically produced lively encounters against Roma. With Roma in excellent recent form and Verona desperate to salvage pride, this fixture should attract plenty of interest from fans and punters alike looking for value angles in the match odds and goals markets.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Verona are 19th with 21 points from 37 games, having won only 3 league matches and scored 25 goals while conceding 59.
• Roma beat Verona 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico in Serie A on 28 September 2025, and the last five league meetings feature four home wins and one draw for the respective hosts.
• Roma have kept 17 clean sheets in Serie A this campaign, compared to Verona’s 6, highlighting a major defensive gap between the sides.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 19 vs 4
• Points: 21 vs 70
• Goals For: 25 vs 57
• Goals Against: 59 vs 31
• Clean Sheets: 6 vs 17

The season record shows a stark contrast. Verona have taken just 3 wins, 12 draws and 22 defeats from 37 matches, with only 25 goals scored and 59 conceded. Their home record is particularly poor: 1 win, 5 draws and 12 losses from 18 fixtures at the Bentegodi, with 12 goals scored and 26 allowed. That is relegation form in every sense, and their goal difference of -34 underpins why they are anchored in 19th place.

Roma’s campaign has been almost the mirror opposite. They have 22 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats from 37 games, scoring 57 and conceding 31. At home they have been dominant (13-3-3, 33 scored, 10 conceded), and while their away record is more human (9-1-8, 24 scored, 21 conceded), it is still strong enough to underpin a top-four finish. With 70 points and a +26 goal difference, they travel to Verona as clear favourites, backed up by both league position and underlying numbers.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Matchups

G. Orban vs D. Malen

From Verona’s perspective, much of their attacking hope rests on Gift Emmanuel Orban. The forward has 7 goals and 2 assists in 28 appearances, with 23 starts and 2,036 minutes. He has taken 61 shots with 28 on target, showing a willingness to shoot, and has also scored 2 penalties. His 19 successful dribbles from 38 attempts indicate he can carry the ball and ask questions of Roma’s back line.

On the other side, Donyell Malen has been one of Roma’s standout attacking threats. In 17 appearances, all starts, he has scored 13 goals and provided 2 assists in 1,394 minutes. He has attempted 46 shots with 29 on target, and converted 3 penalties, underlining his efficiency in front of goal. With 7 key passes and 36 dribble attempts (14 successful), he is not just a finisher but also a creator. If Orban cannot match Malen’s output, Verona will struggle to keep pace on the scoreboard.

R. Gagliardini vs M. Soulé

In midfield, Roberto Gagliardini’s battle with Matías Soulé could be decisive. Gagliardini has played 29 times (25 starts) for Verona, logging 2,216 minutes. He contributes 1 goal, but his main impact is defensive and in ball progression: 1,166 passes at 81% accuracy, 73 tackles, 13 blocks and 54 interceptions. His 10 yellow cards and 45 fouls committed highlight an aggressive style, which could be tested by Roma’s technical attackers.

Soulé, by contrast, is Roma’s leading assist provider. Across 32 appearances (27 starts) and 2,095 minutes, he has 6 goals and 5 assists. He has taken 35 shots (16 on target) and completed 953 passes with an 84% accuracy, including 45 key passes. Add 92 dribble attempts with 34 successful and 40 fouls drawn, and you have a player who constantly forces defenders into decisions. Gagliardini’s discipline and timing will be crucial to stopping Soulé from dictating the final third.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings between these sides have been competitive, with both teams enjoying strong home results. The last five Serie A clashes feature three Roma home wins and two Verona home victories, underlining how often the host has had the edge.

• 28 September 2025: AS Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 19 April 2025: AS Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 3 November 2024: Hellas Verona 3-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 20 January 2024: AS Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 26 August 2023: Hellas Verona 2-1 AS Roma (Serie A)

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction

Analysis points to a match tilted heavily in Roma’s favour. Comparison metrics give Roma 69.0% overall versus Verona’s 31.0%, with a huge advantage in attack (86% vs 14%) and form (81% vs 19%). Verona’s league form string of “DLDDL” and an average of 0.7 goals scored per game contrast sharply with Roma’s “WWWWD” and 1.5 goals per game across the season.

The prediction model lists Roma as the expected winner, with win probabilities split at 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away. Roma’s 17 clean sheets and recent last-five record of 12 goals scored and only 3 conceded suggest they can control the game defensively while still carrying significant threat through Malen and Soulé. Verona’s low scoring rate and frequent failure to score (19 league matches without a goal) further support a controlled away victory.

Predicted Score: Hellas Verona 1-3 AS Roma

Hellas Verona League Form

DLDDL

AS Roma League Form

WWWWD

Hellas Verona Possible Starting Lineup

Montipò; M. Frese, V. Nelsson, A. Bella-Kotchap; Pol Lirola, R. Gagliardini, J. Akpa Akpro, S. Lovrić, A. Harroui; G. Orban, D. Mosquera.

Verona have regularly used three-at-the-back shapes such as 3-5-2 and 3-4-2-1, and the season data lists 3-5-2 as their most common setup. That points to a back line built around M. Frese and V. Nelsson, with wing-backs like Pol Lirola providing width. In midfield, the physical presence of Gagliardini and Akpa Akpro offers ball-winning and defensive cover, while Harroui or Lovrić can link play. Up front, Orban’s mobility and finishing, supported by a partner like D. Mosquera, will be crucial if Verona are to trouble Roma’s defence.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

M. Svilar; G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka; Z. Çelik, Wesley, B. Cristante, Angeliño; M. Soulé, P. Dybala; D. Malen.

Roma’s most used formation this season has been a 3-4-2-1, and the squad profile fits that structure. A back three of Mancini, Hermoso and Ndicka is supported by wing-backs like Z. Çelik and Angeliño. In midfield, Wesley and Cristante provide balance between ball-winning and distribution, while Soulé and Dybala operate in the half-spaces behind Malen. This shape maximises Roma’s attacking talent while still protecting a defence that has conceded only 31 league goals.

Hellas Verona Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

Roma are without E. Bove, who is listed as a missing fixture due to heart problems.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hellas Verona:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• E. Bove — Reason: heart problems

Betting Tips: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are given a 45% implied chance of victory versus just 10% for Verona, and they hold a 69.0% edge in the overall comparison metrics. With 22 league wins and strong recent form, an away success is the logical play. Several bookmakers price the away win around 1.29–1.35, with options including 10Bet (1.29), Bet365 (1.30) and 1xBet (1.35).
• Goals Tip: Roma to win in a match with at least two total goals. Roma average 1.5 goals scored per game and have netted 12 in their last five, while Verona concede 1.6 per match. The head-to-head at the Bentegodi has produced scorelines like 3-2 and 2-1 in recent years. Combining Roma’s attacking strength with Verona’s defensive frailty points towards an away win with multiple goals; look for enhanced “Roma and over” or similar goal-line markets at books such as Bet365 (match winner odds: Roma 1.30) or Pinnacle (Roma 1.31) as a base.
• Value Tip: Consider a card-focused angle involving Verona’s midfield. R. Gagliardini has collected 10 yellow cards in 29 appearances, and Verona as a team show a high yellow-card concentration between minutes 31-60. Roma’s dribblers like Soulé (92 dribble attempts, 40 fouls drawn) invite fouls, increasing the likelihood of bookings for Verona. While specific card odds are not listed here, you can anchor your bet-building around Roma’s match-winner prices — for example, combining Roma to win (Unibet 1.30 or BetVictor 1.29) with Verona card markets to seek a higher-value same-game multiple.

How to Watch Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.