Bologna vs Inter Prediction: Key Stats, Lineups, and Betting Tips

Bologna welcome champions-elect Inter to the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 23 May 2026 for the final round of Serie A’s regular season. With the title race already shaped by Inter’s dominance at the top of the table, this clash still carries plenty of intrigue: the visitors are looking to put an emphatic stamp on a superb campaign, while Bologna aim to close on a high against one of the division’s elite.

Inter arrive in Bologna sitting 1st with 86 points from 37 matches, boasting a formidable goal difference of +54 after scoring 86 and conceding just 32. They are already in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” bracket and have been the benchmark side in Italy all year. Bologna, by contrast, are 8th on 55 points, with 46 goals scored and 43 conceded, and will see this as a chance to make a statement against the league leaders on home soil.

From a Serie A predictions and betting perspective, this fixture is a fascinating study in contrast: Inter’s relentless attacking output and defensive solidity against a Bologna side whose season has been solid but streaky. Recent Bologna vs Inter head-to-head meetings at the Dall'Ara have often been tight, and with both teams’ statistical profiles pointing to different strengths, this match should attract plenty of interest from punters assessing value in the 1X2 and goals markets.

Bologna vs Inter Key Stats

• Bologna sit 8th with 55 points from 37 games, scoring 46 and conceding 43 in Serie A.
• Across the last five competitive meetings listed, Bologna have three wins, Inter have one, and there has been one draw.
• Inter average 2.3 goals per league game this season (86 scored in 37), while Bologna average 1.2 (46 in 37).

Bologna vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 1
• Points: 55 vs 86
• Goals For: 46 vs 86
• Goals Against: 43 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: 12 vs 18

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Bologna’s 55 points and +3 goal difference underline a competitive but inconsistent campaign, with 16 wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats. Their attack has been modest at 46 goals, and they have been slightly vulnerable defensively with 43 conceded. An 8th-place standing reflects a mid-to-upper table side capable of upsetting stronger opponents but lacking the sustained consistency of the very best.

Inter’s numbers are on another level. With 27 wins from 37 matches, they have combined the league’s most potent attack (86 goals) with one of its tightest defences (32 conceded). Their away record is especially impressive: 13 wins from 18 away fixtures with 36 scored and only 16 conceded. Eighteen clean sheets across the campaign highlight their control of matches, and their overall form string of “WLLWWWWLWWWLWWWWWWDWWWWWWWWLDDWWWDWWD” confirms long winning streaks and very few setbacks.

Bologna vs Inter Key Matchups

R. Orsolini vs Lautaro Martínez

Riccardo Orsolini has been Bologna’s standout attacking threat in this Serie A campaign. The winger has 10 goals and 1 assist from 35 appearances, with 26 key passes and 31 shots on target from 66 attempts. His willingness to take on defenders (67 dribbles attempted, 32 successful) and his set-piece and penalty output (4 penalties scored) make him Bologna’s primary route to goal, especially in a game where chances may be limited.

For Inter, Lautaro Martínez is the headline name. The Argentine has 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 league appearances, underlining his status as one of the division’s most complete forwards. With 69 shots and 39 on target, he is a constant threat in and around the box, while 37 key passes show he also links play effectively. His duel involvement (246 duels, 112 won) and 45 fouls drawn highlight how often he occupies and unsettles defences. Containing Lautaro will be central to Bologna’s hopes of a result.

H. Çalhanoğlu vs R. Orsolini (set-piece influence)

Hakan Çalhanoğlu has been a creative and controlling force in Inter’s midfield. In 22 appearances, he has scored 9 goals and provided 4 assists, with 41 key passes and an excellent passing accuracy of 90% from 1,393 passes. His ability from distance and dead-ball situations adds another layer to Inter’s attacking threat, especially against a Bologna side that has conceded 43 times.

Orsolini, meanwhile, is equally important for Bologna in dead-ball situations. With 10 goals, 1 assist, and 26 key passes, his delivery from wide areas and his penalty-taking responsibility (4 scored, 2 missed) give Bologna a realistic avenue to hurt Inter, particularly if they can force fouls in advanced positions. The battle of who can make more of their set-piece opportunities could be decisive.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Bologna and Inter have been surprisingly balanced, with Bologna often raising their level against the Milan giants. The last five listed competitive fixtures include league, Super Cup and cup clashes, with both sides enjoying notable victories.

• 4 January 2026: Inter 3-1 Bologna (Serie A)
• 19 December 2025: Bologna 1-1 Inter (Super Cup)
• 20 April 2025: Bologna 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
• 15 January 2025: Inter 2-2 Bologna (Serie A)
• 9 March 2024: Bologna 0-1 Inter (Serie A)

Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Stats suggest Inter should control large stretches of this match. Their attacking metrics – 2.3 goals per game and an away average of 2.0 – combined with 18 clean sheets and only 0.9 goals conceded per game, point to a side that dominates both penalty areas. Bologna, by contrast, score 1.2 and concede 1.2 on average, and their home record (16 goals for, 20 against in 18 matches) is relatively modest.

However, the head-to-head record offers Bologna some encouragement. They have beaten Inter at the Dall'Ara as recently as 20 April 2025 (1-0) and also edged them in neutral Super Cup conditions on penalties after a 1-1 draw. The prediction percentages give Bologna just 10% and Inter 45%, with a 45% chance of a draw, suggesting the visitors are favourites but not overwhelming. Given Inter’s superior form, goal difference, and attacking firepower, they are still expected to edge a competitive game, though Bologna’s ability to keep it tight at home hints at a relatively close scoreline.

Predicted Score: Bologna 1-2 Inter

Bologna League Form

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Inter League Form

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Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

Ł. Skorupski; L. De Silvestri, J. Lucumí, C. Lykogiannis, Juan Miranda; R. Freuler, N. Moro; F. Bernardeschi, L. Ferguson, R. Orsolini; T. Dallinga.

Bologna have typically favoured a back four with double pivot protection, reflected in their most-used 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 structures. With creative figures like Orsolini and Bernardeschi supporting a central striker such as T. Dallinga, they will look to exploit transitions and wide areas. The presence of experienced defenders like L. De Silvestri and J. Lucumí is vital against Inter’s high-tempo front line, while R. Freuler and N. Moro provide balance in midfield.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

Y. Sommer; F. Acerbi, S. de Vrij, A. Bastoni; D. Dumfries, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, Carlos Augusto, F. Dimarco; Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.

Inter have used a 3-5-2 in all 37 league matches, and that continuity underpins their dominance. The back three of Acerbi, de Vrij and Bastoni is shielded by a hard-working midfield where Barella and Çalhanoğlu combine industry and creativity. Wing-backs Dumfries and Dimarco provide width and crossing quality, with Dimarco in particular contributing 6 goals and 16 assists. Up front, the partnership of Lautaro and Thuram – 30 league goals between them – gives Inter both movement in behind and physical presence.

Bologna Team News

Bologna will be without several players for this fixture. K. Bonifazi is listed as inactive, while N. Cambiaghi, N. Casale and M. Vitík are all ruled out with muscle, calf and ankle injuries respectively. Their absences reduce depth, particularly in defence and attack, and may limit Bologna’s options from the bench.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Bologna:

• K. Bonifazi — Reason: Inactive
• N. Cambiaghi — Reason: Muscle Injury
• N. Casale — Reason: Calf Injury
• M. Vitik — Reason: Ankle Injury

Inter:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Bologna vs Inter

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Inter to win. With a 45% predicted away probability versus 10% for Bologna, plus Inter’s 27 wins and +54 goal difference, the visitors are justifiable favourites. Odds around 2.15–2.30 are available on the away win (e.g. 2.15 at William Hill, 2.20 at 10Bet and Bet365, 2.26 at Pinnacle, 2.30 at Betfair), offering solid value given their season-long dominance.
• Goals Tip: Back Over 1.5 total goals. Inter average 2.3 goals scored per game and concede 0.9, while Bologna’s matches average 2.4 goals (46 for, 43 against). Recent H2H clashes like 3-1 (4 January 2026) and 2-2 (15 January 2025) also support a goals angle. Look for Over 1.5 or similar goal lines in the main markets with prices typically shorter but suitable for multiples.
• Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime. With 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances, plus 39 shots on target, Lautaro is Inter’s primary finisher and will face a Bologna defence conceding 1.2 goals per game. Player goal markets are not listed in the pre-match odds here, but combining an Inter win with a Lautaro goal in a bet builder is a logical value angle based on his output.

How to Watch Bologna vs Inter

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.