MaplePitch Logo

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tottenham host Everton at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on 24 May 2026 in the final round of the Premier League regular season. With Michael Oliver appointed as referee, this Round 38 clash arrives with the home side still uncomfortably close to the bottom end of the table and the visitors sitting in mid-table security.

Tottenham come into the last day 17th in the standings with 38 points from 37 matches, having scored 47 and conceded 57. That leaves them just above the drop zone and needing a result to remove any lingering jeopardy. Their home record has been poor, with only 2 wins from 18 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, but recent league form of LDWWD hints at a late response when it matters most.

Everton arrive in North London 12th on 49 points, also with 47 goals scored but a tighter 49 conceded. They have been more consistent across the campaign, especially away from home where they have won 7 of 18. However, their current league form string of LDDLL suggests they are limping over the line rather than finishing strongly, which adds intrigue to this Tottenham vs Everton prediction for the final day.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Stats

  • Tottenham sit 17th with 38 points from 37 games, with a -10 goal difference (47 scored, 57 conceded).
  • Everton beat Tottenham 3-0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on 26 October 2025, but Spurs won 3-0 at the same venue in their most recent meeting there.
  • Tottenham have kept 8 clean sheets in the league this season, while Everton have recorded 11 shutouts.

Tottenham vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 17 vs 12
  • Points: 38 vs 49
  • Goals For: 47 vs 47
  • Goals Against: 57 vs 49
  • Clean Sheets: Tottenham 8, Everton 11

The standings underline how much more is at stake for Tottenham. With 9 wins, 11 draws and 17 defeats from 37 matches, their season has been defined by defensive frailty and a dreadful home record: just 2 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, with 21 goals scored and 31 conceded. Their -10 goal difference emphasises that they have been too easy to score against.

Everton, by contrast, have been the more balanced side across the campaign. They also have 47 goals scored but have conceded 8 fewer than Spurs, and their 13 wins and 10 draws have comfortably parked them in mid-table. Away from home they have been solid: 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats, with 21 goals scored and only 22 conceded. That away resilience, combined with 11 clean sheets overall, makes them a dangerous opponent even if their recent form has dipped.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups

Richarlison vs J. Garner

Richarlison has been Tottenham’s standout attacking threat in the league, with 11 goals and 4 assists from 31 appearances. He has produced those numbers in 1,884 minutes, averaging a goal contribution roughly every 94 minutes, and has been heavily involved in the final third with 45 shots (26 on target) and 19 key passes. His physical presence is also notable, engaging in 313 duels and drawing 32 fouls.

James Garner is Everton’s creative heartbeat from deeper areas, officially listed as a defender but operating with playmaking responsibility. He has 7 assists and 2 goals from 37 league appearances, supported by a huge passing volume of 1,738 completed passes and 52 key passes, with an 87% accuracy rate. Defensively he is robust too, with 116 tackles, 9 blocks and 56 interceptions. The battle between Richarlison attacking Everton’s right side and Garner’s dual role in build-up and defensive cover will be pivotal in determining whether Spurs can break down a usually well-organised Everton side.

C. Romero vs J. O'Brien

At the back, Cristian Romero remains central to Tottenham’s defensive identity. Across 23 league appearances, he has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist, underlining his set-piece threat, while also making 58 tackles, 14 blocks and 31 interceptions. His aggressive style is reflected in 32 fouls committed and 10 yellow cards plus 1 red, making discipline a key concern in a high-pressure finale.

For Everton, Jake O'Brien has been a mainstay in central defence with 36 appearances and 3,069 minutes. He has chipped in with 1 goal and 1 assist, while producing 56 tackles, 16 blocks and 15 interceptions. With 306 duels contested and 188 won, O'Brien’s aerial and physical presence will be critical against Tottenham’s forwards and on defensive set pieces where Romero is such a threat. This centre-back duel across both boxes could heavily influence the outcome.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings between Tottenham and Everton in the Premier League have been competitive but slightly tilted towards Spurs, especially in London. Across the most recent clashes, goals have rarely been in short supply, with both sides capable of big wins.

  • 26 October 2025: Everton 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 19 January 2025: Everton 3-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 24 August 2024: Tottenham 4-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 3 February 2024: Everton 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 23 December 2023: Tottenham 2-1 Everton (Premier League)

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest despite the gap in league position. Tottenham’s recent league form of LDWWD and the predictions data, which give them a 45% chance of victory and 45% for the draw against just 10% for an Everton win, indicate strong support for a home-positive result. Spurs’ attack has averaged 1.3 goals per game, but their defensive issues mean they rarely enjoy comfortable afternoons.

Everton’s away numbers are impressive, yet their current run of LDDLL combined with conceding 12 goals in their last 5 matches points to a side that has lost some defensive solidity. Head-to-head trends in London also favour Tottenham, with comprehensive wins such as 4-0 on 24 August 2024 and 2-1 on 23 December 2023. With motivation heavily in Spurs’ favour and the advice leaning towards a double chance for Tottenham or draw, a tight, low-scoring home-positive outcome looks the likeliest scenario.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 1-0 Everton

Tottenham League Form

LDWWD

Everton League Form

LDDLL

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

G. Vicario (GK); Pedro Porro, C. Romero, M. van de Ven, D. Udogie; Joāo Palhinha, Y. Bissouma; X. Simons, J. Maddison, M. Kudus; Richarlison.

Tottenham have frequently lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, using it in 18 league fixtures. Guglielmo Vicario is the leading option in goal from the available squad. At the back, Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero and Micky van de Ven all feature prominently in the defensive statistics, while Destiny Udogie offers balance on the left. In midfield, Joāo Palhinha and Yves Bissouma provide a combative double pivot, allowing creative players like James Maddison and Xavi Simons to operate between the lines. Mohammed Kudus adds dribbling and goal threat from advanced areas, with Richarlison leading the line as the primary finisher.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

J. Pickford (GK); N. Patterson, J. Tarkowski, J. O'Brien, V. Mykolenko; J. Garner, I. Gueye; J. Grealish, K. Dewsbury-Hall, D. McNeil; Beto.

Everton have relied heavily on a 4-2-3-1 structure, using it in 36 league matches. Jordan Pickford is the senior goalkeeper option. In defence, James Tarkowski and Jake O'Brien form a physically imposing centre-back partnership, with Nathan Patterson and Vitaliy Mykolenko as full-backs. James Garner is central to both their build-up and defensive work in midfield, while Idrissa Gueye adds experience and ball-winning. Further forward, Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall provide creativity and ball-carrying, with Dwight McNeil offering width and delivery from wide areas and Beto as the focal point in attack.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham:

  • None reported.

Everton:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Tottenham vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Tottenham to win (Home). The prediction metrics give Spurs a 45% win probability with a further 45% on the draw and only 10% on an Everton victory, supported by better recent form (LDWWD vs LDDLL) and stronger H2H in London. Pinnacle offer around 1.95 on the Home win, with 1xBet going as high as 1.98.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Both sides average 1.3 goals scored per game and Everton have been more conservative away from home, while Tottenham’s last-five xG-style trends point to tight margins. With predictions goals lines implied at under 2.5 for both teams, a cautious goals angle aligns with the data, although a specific under 2.5 price is not listed among the available markets.
  • Value Tip: Tottenham or Draw (Double Chance) combined with a low-margin staking approach. The official advice leans explicitly towards “Double chance : Tottenham or draw” and the comparison metrics give the home side a 61.5% overall edge. While there is no dedicated double-chance market quoted, punters seeking value can note that Home odds around 1.95 (Pinnacle) versus Away odds up to 3.92 (1xBet) reflect a market still underestimating Spurs’ motivation and recent upturn.

How to Watch Tottenham vs Everton

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Related News