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Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Liverpool host Brentford at Anfield on 24 May 2026 in the final round of the Premier League regular season, with both sides aiming to close out strong campaigns. Under the watch of referee D. England, the stage is set at one of England’s iconic venues for a match that carries European and top-half implications.

Liverpool arrive in fifth place on 59 points after 37 matches, with a goal difference of +10 (62 scored, 52 conceded). They are already in the Champions League league-phase zone, but with only a slender cushion over teams below, a positive result is vital to lock in their status and potentially climb higher. Brentford, ninth with 52 points and a goal difference of +3 (54 for, 51 against), are safely in mid-table yet still within touching distance of improving their final position with an eye-catching away result at Anfield.

From a betting and prediction perspective, this fixture will attract plenty of interest for those looking at Liverpool vs Brentford odds, goal markets, and player-focused angles. Stats suggest a competitive encounter between one of the league’s most potent home sides and a Brentford team that has mixed resilience with sporadic defensive frailty, making this a compelling clash for both neutrals and punters.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Stats

  • Liverpool sit 5th with 59 points from 37 matches, scoring 62 and conceding 52 in the Premier League.
  • In their most recent league meeting on 25 October 2025, Brentford beat Liverpool 3-2 at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League.
  • Liverpool average 1.7 goals per game this league campaign, while Brentford average 1.5, underlining strong attacking output on both sides.

Liverpool vs Brentford — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 5 vs 9
  • Points: 59 vs 52
  • Goals For: 62 vs 54
  • Goals Against: 52 vs 51
  • Clean Sheets: Liverpool 10 vs Brentford 10

The season record shows Liverpool have been slightly superior overall, reflected in their higher league position and better points tally. Their 62 goals from 37 matches highlight a consistently dangerous attack, backed by a positive goal difference. However, 52 goals conceded indicate defensive vulnerability, particularly away, though at Anfield they have been more solid with just 19 conceded in 18 home games.

Brentford’s numbers are more balanced: 54 scored and 51 conceded, with a similar defensive record to Liverpool but a slightly lower attacking output. Their 14 wins and 10 draws from 37 fixtures underline a side that competes well but can be inconsistent, especially on the road where they have lost 10 of 18. Both teams boast 10 clean sheets, suggesting that while their games often feature goals, they are capable of shutting opponents out when game states and matchups suit.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Matchups

H. Ekitike vs Thiago

Hugo Ekitike has emerged as a key attacking figure for Liverpool, with 11 league goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances, 21 of them starts. Across 1,810 minutes, he has produced 48 shots with 19 on target and contributed 21 key passes, underlining a dual threat as both finisher and creator. His dribbling output — 72 attempts with 38 successful — suggests he will look to drive at Brentford’s back line, while his involvement in 239 duels (92 won) shows he is not shy of physical battles in the final third.

For Brentford, Thiago has been one of the standout forwards in the division. With 22 goals and 1 assist in 37 appearances (36 starts) and 3,194 minutes, he is the focal point of their attack. He has taken 66 shots with 43 on target, and his penalty record — 8 scored from 9 attempts — makes him a major threat from the spot. His physical profile is reflected in 513 duels contested and 198 won, while 53 dribble attempts with 29 successes show he can carry the ball and create his own chances. The duel between Ekitike’s movement and Thiago’s penalty-box presence could decide where the goals come from.

D. Szoboszlai vs K. Schade

Dominik Szoboszlai is Liverpool’s leading creative force from midfield, with 6 goals and 7 assists in 35 appearances, all as a starter. He has played 3,143 minutes, delivering 2,125 passes with an impressive 87% accuracy and 74 key passes, making him central to Liverpool’s chance creation. His 45 shots (22 on target) add a goal threat from range, while 52 tackles, 8 blocks and 29 interceptions show he contributes significantly out of possession. However, his disciplinary record — 8 yellow cards and 1 red — hints at an aggressive edge that could be tested in a high-stakes finale.

Kevin Schade offers Brentford energy and end product from midfield and wide areas. In 34 appearances (31 starts) and 2,667 minutes, he has scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists. His 42 shots with 22 on target and 29 key passes underline his attacking contribution, while 70 dribble attempts (20 successful) show a willingness to take on defenders. Defensively, 39 tackles and 18 interceptions indicate he works hard without the ball, but his 6 yellow cards and 1 red suggest discipline can be an issue. The Szoboszlai–Schade battle in midfield zones could be crucial in controlling tempo and territory.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head clashes have generally favoured Liverpool, though Brentford have shown they can hurt the Reds, particularly at home. The pattern is of high-intensity, often high-scoring encounters, especially when Liverpool push numbers forward.

  • 25 October 2025: Brentford 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 18 January 2025: Brentford 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 25 August 2024: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford (Premier League)
  • 17 February 2024: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool (Premier League)
  • 12 November 2023: Liverpool 3-0 Brentford (Premier League)

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction

Analysis points to a finely poised contest, but with Liverpool holding a clear edge at Anfield. Their league form line of LDLWW suggests some recent inconsistency, yet they remain strong at home with 10 wins from 18. Brentford’s form string of DLWLD reflects a similarly mixed run, and their away record — 6 wins but 10 defeats — raises questions about their ability to control games on the road.

The prediction metrics heavily favour Liverpool or the draw, with win/draw probabilities split at 45% each for home and draw, and just 10% for an away win. Both sides average between 1.5 and 1.7 goals per match and concede at around 1.4, so goals should be on the cards, but the under 2.5 goals advice in the projections hints at the possibility of a tighter affair than some previous meetings. Given Liverpool’s superior attacking numbers, home advantage, and stronger underlying comparison metrics, they are expected to edge it, though Brentford’s threat through Thiago and Schade means the hosts cannot relax.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-1 Brentford

Liverpool League Form

LDLWW

Brentford League Form

DLWLD

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

Alisson Becker; C. Bradley, I. Konaté, V. van Dijk, A. Robertson; W. Endo, D. Szoboszlai, A. Mac Allister; Mohamed Salah, H. Ekitike, C. Gakpo.

Liverpool have predominantly lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, and the personnel available strongly supports that structure. Alisson Becker provides stability in goal, with Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konaté forming a physically dominant central pairing and Andrew Robertson offering width from left-back. Wataru Endo can anchor midfield alongside the creative and industrious Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister, while Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo and Hugo Ekitike give Liverpool a blend of pace, movement and goal threat across the front line. With 10 clean sheets and only 2 home matches where they failed to score, this setup should allow Liverpool to control territory and create sustained pressure.

Brentford Possible Starting Lineup

E. Balcombe; A. Hickey, N. Collins, E. Pinnock, R. Henry; V. Janelt, M. Jensen; K. Schade, M. Damsgaard, R. Nelson; Thiago.

Brentford have often used a 4-2-3-1 this season, and their squad composition fits that approach. Ethan Pinnock and Nathan Collins can marshal the back line, flanked by Aaron Hickey and Rico Henry, while Vitaly Janelt and Mathias Jensen provide balance and passing in midfield. Kevin Schade and Reiss Nelson add direct running and shooting threat from wide areas, with Mikkel Damsgaard capable of linking play in the central attacking midfield role. Thiago leads the line as the primary finisher and penalty-taker. With 10 clean sheets and a strong home defensive record, Brentford know how to stay compact, but replicating that solidity at Anfield will be a significant test.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Brentford Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool:

  • None reported.

Brentford:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Brentford

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Liverpool in the match winner market. They hold a strong statistical edge, with 17 league wins to Brentford’s 14, better attacking output and home advantage. The prediction percentages give Liverpool a substantial edge over Brentford, and bookmakers broadly agree, with home odds around 1.75–1.85 (for example, 1.80 at Bet365 and 1.81 at Pinnacle), making a home win a solid anchor for accumulators.
  • Goals Tip: Consider a cautious stance on total goals, in line with the under 2.5 goals projection. Both sides average between 1.5 and 1.7 goals for and 1.4 against, and Liverpool have seen only 6 matches go over higher goal thresholds in the league. While specific over/under odds are not listed here, combining a home win with a lower-goals expectation in builder markets could offer an attractive angle consistent with the statistical profile.
  • Value Tip: Look towards player-driven value by factoring in Thiago’s scoring form within broader markets. With 22 league goals and 8 penalties scored, Thiago is central to Brentford’s attacking threat, especially from the spot. At the same time, Liverpool’s creative supply through Szoboszlai (7 assists, 74 key passes) and finishing from Ekitike (11 goals) supports a narrative of Liverpool winning in a match where Brentford still find chances. Using the away price band around 3.75–4.12 (e.g. 4.12 for Brentford at 1xBet) as a benchmark, markets such as Liverpool to win and both teams to score, or Liverpool win with Thiago to score in specials, could provide better value than a simple match result bet.

How to Watch Liverpool vs Brentford

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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