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Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Kansas City W welcome Denver Summit W to CPKC Stadium on 26 September 2026 in a pivotal NWSL Women Group Stage clash. With just three points separating the sides in a tightly packed table, this fixture has the feel of a six-pointer in the race for the play-offs.

The hosts sit 8th with 38 points from 25 matches and currently occupy a promotion spot for the NWSL Women Play Offs Quarter-finals. Protecting that position will be the priority, especially given their formidable home record. Denver Summit W, 10th on 35 points, are within striking distance of the top eight and know that an away win in Kansas City could dramatically reshape the standings.

Recent trends, underlying team statistics and the July head-to-head meeting – a convincing Kansas City W away win – all feed into a finely balanced matchup where the market leans slightly towards the home side, but the visitors’ recent attacking surge keeps this prediction far from straightforward.

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W Key Stats

  • Kansas City W are 8th with 38 points and a +3 goal difference (39 scored, 36 conceded) from 25 matches, boasting an unbeaten home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses).
  • The only previous meeting this season, on 4 July 2026, saw Kansas City W beat Denver Summit W 3-0 away in NWSL Women Group Stage action.
  • Across 25 league fixtures, Kansas City W average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Denver Summit W also average 1.6 scored but 1.3 conceded, underlining how closely matched these attacks are.

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 8 vs 10
  • Points: 38 vs 35
  • Goals For: 39 vs 41
  • Goals Against: 36 vs 33
  • Clean Sheets: Kansas City W 4; Denver Summit W 5 (tournament statistics)

The standings paint a picture of two sides operating at a similar overall level, but with different strengths. Kansas City W have turned CPKC Stadium into a fortress: 8 wins and 4 draws from 12 home matches, scoring 28 and conceding just 12. That unbeaten home run is the main reason they sit inside the play-off places.

Denver Summit W, meanwhile, have been more balanced home and away. They have 9 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats overall, with 41 goals scored and 33 conceded. Their away record (3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses, 16 scored, 15 conceded) is competitive and suggests they can be awkward visitors. With only three points separating the sides and both averaging 1.6 goals per game, this is a classic clash between a dominant home team and a quietly efficient traveller.

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W Key Matchups

Temwa Chawinga vs Yazmeen Ann Ryan

Temwa Chawinga has been the standout attacking force for Kansas City W. In 14 appearances (12 starts, 923 minutes), she has scored 10 goals and added 2 assists, with 25 shots and 16 on target. A rating of 7.31 reflects her influence, and her ability to dribble (32 attempts, 13 successful) and draw fouls (7) makes her a constant threat between the lines.

For Denver Summit W, Yazmeen Ann Ryan is the creative hub. Across 24 starts and 1,939 minutes, she has 6 goals and 5 assists, backed by 50 shots (17 on target) and an impressive 45 key passes. Her passing volume (642 total, 76% accuracy) underlines her role as a primary playmaker, while 25 fouls drawn and 191 duels (84 won) show she contributes in the physical battle as well. The duel between Chawinga’s direct goal threat and Ryan’s orchestration will go a long way to deciding which side controls the attacking tempo.

Croix Bethune vs Janine Elizabeth Beckie

Croix Bethune is Kansas City W’s chief creator. In 23 appearances (22 starts, 1,696 minutes), she has 4 goals and a league-leading 10 assists. With 35 shots (23 on target), 630 passes at 70% accuracy and 31 key passes, she combines end product with high involvement. Her defensive contribution – 42 tackles and 25 interceptions – and 229 duels (125 won) highlight how she drives Kansas City W in and out of possession.

Janine Elizabeth Beckie offers Denver Summit W a versatile attacking outlet. In 24 starts and 1,563 minutes, she has matched Ryan’s 6 goals and 5 assists, with 19 shots (12 on target) and 35 key passes from 793 total passes (74% accuracy). She also works hard defensively, with 28 tackles and 28 interceptions, and has converted 2 penalties. Beckie’s ability to find space and link with Ryan will test a Kansas City W defence that can be vulnerable away but has been robust at home.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met once this season in NWSL Women, with Kansas City W delivering a statement performance on the road. That result will be fresh in both camps’ minds heading into the rematch in Kansas City.

  • 4 July 2026: Denver Summit W 0-3 Kansas City W (NWSL Women)

Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W Prediction

Stats suggest a finely poised contest. The prediction model gives Kansas City W a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Denver Summit W at 10%. That aligns with the hosts’ flawless home record and their recent head-to-head dominance, but it also acknowledges Denver’s capacity to stay in games and take points on the road.

Kansas City W’s home attacking numbers (2.3 goals scored per home match, only 1.0 conceded) combine with the individual form of Chawinga and Bethune to make them slight favourites. However, Denver Summit W come into this fixture with strong recent attacking metrics – 16 goals in their last five matches at 3.2 per game – and a balanced away defensive record (15 conceded in 12 away matches). Expect Kansas City W to control more of the ball and territory, but Denver’s counter-attacking threat through Ryan, Beckie and Natasha Jane Flint means the visitors can create enough chances to get on the scoresheet.

Predicted Score: Kansas City W 2-1 Denver Summit W

Kansas City W Recent Form

In overall recent form, Kansas City W have been inconsistent but resilient. Their league form string shows a mix of wins, draws and losses, yet the key pattern is their reliability at home: 8 wins and 4 draws from 12 home fixtures, with 28 goals scored and just 12 conceded. Over 25 matches, they have scored 39 and conceded 36, reflecting a side that generally finds the net but can be exposed, particularly away from home.

Denver Summit W Recent Form

Denver Summit W’s recent form has been slightly stronger in terms of momentum. Their last-five metrics are impressive: 16 goals scored and 7 conceded, with an attacking index of 100 and form index of 73 in the comparison model. Across the 25-match league campaign, they have 9 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses, with 41 goals scored and 33 conceded, suggesting a team that is difficult to beat and increasingly dangerous in attack.

Kansas City W Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Bova; Defenders: E. Ball, E. Wheeler, L. Rouse, K. Sharples; Midfielders: Croix Bethune, Debinha, T. Chawinga, M. Cooper, L. LaBonta; Forwards: P. Hocking.

Kansas City W have the depth to sustain their high-tempo, possession-based style at home. With M. Bova likely in goal and a defensive unit built around L. Rouse and E. Ball, they can push full-backs high while trusting their centre-backs to defend transitions. In midfield, the creative axis of Croix Bethune, Debinha and T. Chawinga provides goals, assists and ball progression, while M. Cooper adds vertical running and pressing from advanced positions. P. Hocking offers a focal point in attack. The squad list suggests flexibility between a 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, systems they have already used extensively this season.

Denver Summit W Possible Starting Lineup

Insufficient detailed squad data is available for Denver Summit W’s full XI, but key figures such as Y. Ryan, J. Beckie and N. Flint are expected to feature prominently in the attacking unit.

Denver Summit W have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, and that tactical flexibility allows them to adapt to Kansas City W’s strengths. With Ryan orchestrating from midfield, Beckie operating either wide or centrally, and Flint providing an additional goal threat, Denver can field a front four capable of exploiting spaces in behind. Their recent scoring burst suggests they will not sit back entirely, instead looking to combine structured defending with quick, incisive breaks.

Kansas City W Team News

No significant absences reported.

Denver Summit W Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Kansas City W:

  • None reported.

Denver Summit W:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Kansas City W vs Denver Summit W

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Kansas City W Draw No Bet. The prediction model gives Kansas City W a 45% win probability with another 45% on the draw, while Denver Summit W are at just 10%. The market has the home win priced between 1.95 and 2.07 (implied probability roughly 48.3% to 51.3%), indicating Kansas City W as slight favourites but with respect for Denver’s form. Using Draw No Bet (where available) leans into the hosts’ unbeaten home record while offering protection against the high draw probability.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Both sides average 1.6 goals scored per match, and Denver Summit W’s last-five attacking output (16 goals in 5 games) points to another open contest. The previous head-to-head finished 3-0 to Kansas City W, and both teams’ under/over profiles show more matches clearing 1.5 goals than staying under. With the match winner odds around 2.00 for the home side and 2.88–3.05 for the away team, the market expects a competitive, goal-scoring game, making over 1.5 goals a solid foundation play where priced accordingly.
  • Value Tip: Anytime Assist – Croix Bethune or Y. Ryan (player assist markets where offered). Bethune has 10 assists in 23 appearances, while Ryan has 5 assists in 24 matches, both ranking among the league’s top creators. Given Kansas City W’s strong home attack and Denver Summit W’s recent scoring surge, backing one of these playmakers in the assist markets could offer attractive odds relative to their consistent creative output. With match winner odds clustered around 2.00 for Kansas City W and 2.88–3.05 for Denver Summit W, bookmakers may slightly undervalue individual assist props compared to goalscorer markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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