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Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Fulham and Newcastle meet at Craven Cottage on 24 May 2026 in a final-day Premier League fixture that has all the makings of a tight, mid-table shootout. Both sides arrive locked on 49 points after 37 games, with Newcastle only ahead on goal difference. Pride, prize money and the chance to finish in the top half are all on the line in west London.

Craven Cottage has been a relative stronghold for Fulham, who have taken 10 wins from 18 home matches, but their recent league form of DLLWD underlines an inconsistent run-in. Newcastle, by contrast, have matched Fulham’s points tally but boast a superior attacking record, scoring 53 league goals to Fulham’s 45, and will view this as a chance to underline their status as the stronger outfit over the campaign.

With the standings finely balanced and head-to-head history heavily tilted towards Newcastle in recent years, this clash shapes up as a classic final-day betting puzzle: Fulham’s home resilience versus Newcastle’s higher attacking ceiling and stronger underlying metrics.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Stats

  • Fulham and Newcastle are level on 49 points after 37 matches, with Newcastle 11th and Fulham 13th due to goal difference.
  • Across their last five competitive meetings listed, Newcastle have four wins to Fulham’s one.
  • Both teams have kept 8 clean sheets in the league this season, and both average 1.4 goals conceded per game.

Fulham vs Newcastle — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 13 vs 11
  • Points: 49 vs 49
  • Goals For: 45 vs 53
  • Goals Against: 51 vs 53
  • Clean Sheets: 8 vs 8

The season record shows two sides that have taken almost identical paths in terms of results but with subtly different profiles. Fulham sit 13th with 49 points, having won 14, drawn 7 and lost 16, scoring 45 and conceding 51. Newcastle, in 11th, share the same 14-7-16 record but have scored 53 and conceded 53, their goal difference of 0 edging Fulham’s -6.

At home, Fulham have been solid: 10 wins from 18, with 28 goals scored and 20 conceded, averaging 1.6 goals for and 1.1 against. Newcastle’s away record is less imposing, with 4 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats, and 17 goals scored and 23 conceded. However, over the full campaign Newcastle’s attack has been more productive, averaging 1.4 goals per game to Fulham’s 1.2, while both concede at the same 1.4 goals per game overall. On balance, Newcastle carry the greater attacking threat, but Fulham’s home numbers ensure this is far from a mismatch.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Matchups

H. Wilson vs Bruno Guimarães

Harry Wilson has been Fulham’s standout attacking contributor. The midfielder has produced 10 league goals and 6 assists in 35 appearances, starting 32 times and logging 2,674 minutes. He has registered 50 shots, 25 on target, and created 38 key passes from 769 total passes at 81% accuracy. His dribbling output of 18 successful take-ons from 33 attempts and 37 fouls drawn highlight how often he carries the ball into dangerous areas.

Opposite him, Bruno Guimarães is Newcastle’s creative heartbeat. In 28 appearances (26 starts), he has scored 9 goals and supplied 5 assists, with 35 shots and 22 on target. He has completed 1,404 passes at 86% accuracy and created 46 key passes, underlining his influence in progression and chance creation. With 62 tackles and 15 interceptions, he also contributes heavily out of possession. The duel between Wilson’s end product and Bruno’s all-round control could decide which midfield dictates the tempo.

J. Andersen vs A. Gordon

At the back, Joachim Andersen is central to Fulham’s defensive structure. The defender has started all 33 of his league appearances, playing 2,884 minutes. He contributes significantly in build-up with 2,275 passes at 86% accuracy and 7 key passes, while defensively he has 45 tackles, 19 blocks and 36 interceptions. His disciplinary record includes 7 yellow cards and 1 red, indicating an aggressive style that can occasionally spill over.

Anthony Gordon offers a different kind of threat for Newcastle. In 26 appearances (24 starts) and 1,817 minutes, the attacker has scored 6 goals and added 2 assists. He has taken 37 shots with 20 on target and completed 33 successful dribbles from 71 attempts, frequently driving at defenders. With 40 fouls drawn and 3 yellow cards plus 1 red, he plays on the edge, constantly testing his marker. Andersen’s positioning and timing will be tested by Gordon’s direct running and willingness to attack one-on-one.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings have largely favoured Newcastle, though Fulham have claimed notable wins at Craven Cottage. The last five competitive clashes listed between the sides are as follows:

  • 17 December 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (League Cup)
  • 25 October 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 1 February 2025: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham (Premier League)
  • 21 September 2024: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
  • 6 April 2024: Fulham 0-1 Newcastle (Premier League)

Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest. Fulham’s home strength and their recent wins over Newcastle at Craven Cottage show they are capable of unsettling the visitors, especially with a creative outlet like Harry Wilson in form. However, their league form string of DLLWD hints at vulnerability, particularly against sides with stronger attacking metrics.

Newcastle’s overall attacking output, combined with a last-five league record that includes 8 goals scored and 6 conceded, suggests they carry more consistent goal threat. The comparison metrics slightly favour Newcastle, and the prediction advice leans towards a double chance of draw or away win, with win-or-draw security on the visitors and 45% probabilities assigned to both draw and away outcomes. Expect a cautious but competitive game, with Newcastle marginally more likely to avoid defeat than Fulham are to take all three points.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle

Fulham League Form

DLLWD

Newcastle League Form

WDWLL

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

B. Leno; T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; S. Lukić, S. Berge; H. Wilson, E. Smith Rowe, A. Iwobi; R. Jiménez

Stats suggest Fulham are most comfortable in a 4-2-3-1, a shape they have used in 34 league matches. That points towards a back four marshalled by Joachim Andersen, with full-backs such as Timothy Castagne and Antonee Robinson providing width. In midfield, a double pivot built around Sasa Lukić and Sander Berge would offer balance, freeing Harry Wilson to operate as the primary creator in the attacking band. With Fulham averaging 1.6 goals for and only 1.1 against at home, this structure has generally served them well at Craven Cottage.

Newcastle Possible Starting Lineup

N. Pope; K. Trippier, F. Schär, D. Burn, L. Hall; Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, J. Willock; A. Gordon, H. Barnes, Y. Wissa

Newcastle’s most-used setup is a 4-3-3, deployed 27 times, and that is likely again. Kieran Trippier and Dan Burn should flank Fabian Schär at the back, with Bruno Guimarães orchestrating from midfield alongside the physical presence of Joelinton and the energy of Joe Willock. In attack, Anthony Gordon’s dribbling and foul-winning ability make him a key outlet, supported by Harvey Barnes and a central striker such as Yoane Wissa. This structure underpins Newcastle’s 1.9 goals per game at home and a solid 0.9 away, reflecting a side built to create chances in wide and central areas.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Newcastle Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Fulham:

  • None reported.

Newcastle:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Fulham vs Newcastle

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Newcastle in the Double Chance (Draw or Away). The prediction advice explicitly favours “Double chance: draw or Newcastle” with 45% probabilities for both draw and away, and the comparison metrics slightly tilt towards the visitors. For a straight match-winner angle, away prices around 2.25–2.36 are available with major firms such as 10Bet (2.25), Bet365 (2.25) and 1xBet (2.36), but the safer double-chance route aligns better with the balanced nature of this fixture.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Fulham average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded overall, while Newcastle also concede 1.4 on average, with both sides showing more games under higher goal thresholds than over. Fulham have only 6 matches over the 2.5 line compared to 31 under, and Newcastle have 5 over versus 32 under at that mark. With a predicted 1-1 scoreline, a low-scoring contest is the logical angle; look to books like Bet365 or Pinnacle for Under lines paired with their Match Winner markets (e.g. Bet365: Home 2.88, Draw 3.80, Away 2.25; Pinnacle: Home 2.94, Draw 3.81, Away 2.32) when constructing bet builders.
  • Value Tip: Cards on Newcastle defenders or midfielders. Discipline data flags Dan Burn and Joelinton as prime candidates: Burn has 10 yellow cards and 1 yellow-red in 28 appearances, while Joelinton has 10 yellows in 27. Newcastle’s yellow-card distribution is heavily weighted to the final 30 minutes, with 19 yellows between 76–90 minutes. In a tight, final-day game this profile points to strong value in player-card or “Newcastle most cards” markets, which can be combined with match odds such as Unibet’s 2.28 on Newcastle to win or Pinnacle’s 3.81 on the draw for higher-priced multiples.

How to Watch Fulham vs Newcastle

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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