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Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Selhurst Park hosts a compelling final-day Premier League clash on 24 May 2026 as Crystal Palace welcome title-chasing Arsenal. With F. Hallam appointed as referee and a full house expected in London, this fixture pits a Palace side safely in mid-table against a visiting team that has set the pace at the top of the division.

Crystal Palace come into matchday 38 sitting 15th with 45 points from 37 games, their work for the season effectively done but pride and prize money still at stake. The Eagles have been awkward opponents at home, drawing more than half of their league games at Selhurst Park, and will be keen to finish on a high against one of the division’s elite.

Arsenal arrive as league leaders in 1st place on 82 points from 37 matches and already assured of a Champions League league-phase spot. Mikel Arteta’s side boast one of the best attacks and defences in the league and know that any slip here could prove costly in the title picture. For those looking for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal predictions and betting tips, this is a classic scenario of a strong favourite facing a dangerous underdog on the final day.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Stats

  • Crystal Palace sit 15th with 45 points, having scored 40 and conceded 49 across 37 Premier League games.
  • Arsenal have dominated recent meetings, including a 1-0 Premier League win at the Emirates Stadium on 26 October 2025 and a 5-1 away victory at Selhurst Park on 21 December 2024.
  • Arsenal average 1.9 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per league game this season, while Crystal Palace average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 15 vs 1
  • Points: 45 vs 82
  • Goals For: 40 vs 69
  • Goals Against: 49 vs 26
  • Clean Sheets: Crystal Palace 12 vs Arsenal 19

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Crystal Palace have taken 45 points from 37 matches, with 11 wins, 12 draws and 14 defeats, scoring 40 and conceding 49. That negative goal difference of -9 underlines a campaign defined by inconsistency, though 12 clean sheets highlight that they can be defensively solid on their day.

Arsenal’s numbers are those of a genuine title contender: 25 wins, 7 draws and only 5 losses, with 69 goals scored and just 26 conceded. Their +43 goal difference is elite, and 19 clean sheets speak to a well-balanced side that marries attacking fluency with defensive control. With the visitors already in the Champions League zone, the focus here is on sealing top spot in style, while Palace look to disrupt the script and claim a statement scalp.

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Key Matchups

J. Mateta vs V. Gyökeres

Jean-Philippe Mateta has been Crystal Palace’s main attacking outlet in the league, scoring 11 goals in 31 appearances. He has started 25 of those games and logged 2209 minutes, underlining his status as a regular focal point. With 55 shots and 31 on target, Mateta is not shy about pulling the trigger, and his 4 successful penalties from 4 attempts add a reliable set-piece threat. His physical presence is reflected in 289 duels contested and 110 won, making him a constant nuisance for centre-backs.

Viktor Gyökeres leads Arsenal’s scoring charts with 14 goals in 35 appearances, starting 26 times and playing 2238 minutes. His conversion is backed by 40 shots and 22 on target, and he has also converted 3 penalties from 3. Beyond goals, Gyökeres has chipped in with 1 assist and 19 key passes, showing he can link play as well as finish moves. How Palace’s back line handles his movement and strength will go a long way to determining whether the hosts can keep Arsenal’s attack in check.

J. Mateta vs M. Lacroix

At the other end of the pitch, one of the crucial internal duels for Palace will be Maxence Lacroix’s battle to contain Arsenal’s forwards, but his individual clash with his own side’s attacking approach is also telling. Lacroix has been a defensive mainstay for Palace with 35 appearances and 3087 minutes, contributing 60 tackles, 18 blocks and 45 interceptions. He has engaged in 333 duels and won 204, illustrating his importance in aerial and ground battles. However, his disciplinary record includes 4 yellow cards and 1 red, plus 2 penalties conceded, which could be targeted by Arsenal’s clever movement in and around the box. If Lacroix can stay on the pitch and limit mistakes, Palace’s chances of frustrating the league leaders improve significantly.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history is heavily tilted in Arsenal’s favour, with the Gunners consistently finding ways to win both home and away. Palace have occasionally threatened, but Arsenal’s attacking edge has usually told.

  • 23 December 2025: Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace (League Cup Quarter-finals, Arsenal won on penalties 8-7)
  • 26 October 2025: Arsenal 1-0 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
  • 23 April 2025: Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
  • 21 December 2024: Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal (Premier League)
  • 18 December 2024: Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace (League Cup Quarter-finals)

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction

Analysis points to Arsenal controlling large spells of this match. Their league form string of WWWWL reflects a side that has been relentlessly consistent, while Crystal Palace’s DLDLL highlights recent struggles, particularly at the defensive end where they have conceded 13 goals in their last five league outings according to the broader season metrics.

Head-to-head trends back the visitors: Arsenal have won four of the last five meetings listed, including that 5-1 success at Selhurst Park on 21 December 2024. The comparison metrics rate Arsenal at 77.5% overall versus 22.5% for Palace, and the prediction model gives the visitors a 45% win probability with another 45% on the draw, leaving just 10% for a home victory. With Arsenal’s attack averaging 1.9 goals per game and Palace conceding 1.3 on average, the away side should create enough chances to get over the line, even if the hosts pose a threat through Mateta.

Predicted Score: Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal

Crystal Palace League Form

DLDLL

Arsenal League Form

WWWWL

Crystal Palace Possible Starting Lineup

W. Benítez; M. Lacroix, C. Riad, C. Richards, B. Sosa; W. Hughes, J. Lerma, D. Kamada, A. Wharton; J. Mateta, I. Sarr.

Stats suggest Crystal Palace are most comfortable in a back three or back five structure, with 3-4-2-1 their most used shape across the campaign. Maxence Lacroix is likely to anchor the defence given his 35 appearances and strong duel numbers, while the midfield can be built around the energy of J. Lerma and the creativity of D. Kamada and A. Wharton. In attack, J. Mateta should lead the line, supported by pace out wide from options such as I. Sarr. Palace’s 12 clean sheets indicate that when their defensive unit is settled, they can frustrate even top opponents, but discipline will be crucial against Arsenal’s movement.

Arsenal Possible Starting Lineup

David Raya; B. White, W. Saliba, R. Calafiori, P. Hincapié; D. Rice, Mikel Merino; B. Saka, M. Ødegaard, L. Trossard; V. Gyökeres.

Arsenal have alternated primarily between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, with 4-3-3 used in 24 league games. David Raya is a strong candidate in goal, protected by a back four featuring W. Saliba and P. Hincapié or R. Calafiori. In midfield, D. Rice provides the platform, with Mikel Merino and M. Ødegaard offering progression and creativity — Ødegaard’s 6 assists and 40 key passes underline his role as the chief playmaker. In the front line, B. Saka (7 goals, 5 assists) and L. Trossard (6 goals, 6 assists) flank top scorer V. Gyökeres. With 69 league goals and 19 clean sheets, this structure has delivered balance at both ends.

Crystal Palace Team News

No significant absences reported.

Arsenal Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Crystal Palace:

  • None reported.

Arsenal:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Exactly 3 distinct markets, based on the available odds and statistical edge:

  • Result Tip: Back Arsenal to win. Arsenal’s superior league record (25 wins vs Palace’s 11), dominant head-to-head trend and stronger recent form support an away victory. Among the available prices, Unibet’s 1.71 on the away win offers a solid representation of Arsenal’s status as favourites.
  • Goals Tip: Arsenal to score over 1.5 team goals. They average 1.9 goals per game, while Palace concede 1.3 on average and have shipped 13 in their last five league fixtures according to season trends. With no dedicated goals market listed, pairing this angle with the away win at Bet365’s 1.80 for Arsenal to win provides a reasonable proxy for a goals-based stance.
  • Value Tip: Consider Arsenal to win and both teams to score as a higher-risk angle. Palace have scored 40 league goals and Mateta alone has 11, while Arsenal’s attack featuring Gyökeres, Saka and Trossard is prolific. With straight away prices as high as 1.86 at 1xBet, those looking for extra value can use that strong base price to build same-game combinations around an Arsenal win with Palace getting on the scoresheet.

How to Watch Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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