Chicago Red Stars W vs Washington Spirit W Predicted Lineups and Team News
Chicago Red Stars W welcome high-flying Washington Spirit W to Martin Stadium in a Group Stage clash that pits the league’s bottom side against one of the main title contenders. Chicago sit 16th in NWSL Women with 17 points from 24 matches, a goal difference of -40, and just 5 wins all season. Washington, by contrast, are 2nd with 43 points, 13 wins, and a positive goal difference of +10, firmly in the mix for the play-offs.
Form trends and underlying stats suggest a clear gap between the two clubs. Chicago’s recent league form string of DLLWL underlines their inconsistency and defensive fragility, while Washington’s LWWLD run is far more solid and underpinned by one of the more balanced attacks and defences in the division. With that context, predicted lineups and the expected starting lineup choices will be crucial if Chicago are to find a way to disrupt a Washington side that has dominated this matchup in recent years.
Win probability models give Chicago only a 10% chance of victory, with a draw and Washington win each rated at 45%. Betting markets reinforce that picture, implying roughly an 11–13% chance of a home win and around a 74–82% chance that Washington take all three points. Against that backdrop, this preview focuses on the most likely predicted lineups, how both coaches might set up, and which players could tilt the balance.
Chicago Red Stars W Team News & Expected Lineups Today
No significant absences reported. With no listed injuries or suspensions, Chicago coach has the full squad available and can select from all three goalkeepers, a deep defensive pool, and a wide range of attacking options. Given their league position and recent form of DLLWL, the emphasis is likely to be on a more pragmatic, compact approach, trying to stay in the game and hit Washington on transitions.
Chicago have alternated between more conservative and more expansive shapes across the season, but against one of the league’s best sides the expected approach is to protect the back line, keep distances tight, and rely on their more dynamic forwards to provide an outlet. The predicted lineup today should therefore lean towards experience in goal and defence, with pace and direct running in the front line.
Chicago Red Stars W Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup
Predicted Starting XI:
GK: A. Naeher
DF: Elise Evans; A. Farmer; S. Staab; Maitane López
MF: Leila Ouahabi; E. Egizii; B. Franklin; A. Gasper
FW: M. Swanson; J. Huitema
This expected starting lineup balances experience and energy. In goal, A. Naeher is the logical choice as the senior option, offering leadership behind what has been a porous defence (54 goals conceded in 24 games). At the back, a back four built around S. Staab and Maitane López gives Chicago aerial presence and ball-winning ability, with Elise Evans and A. Farmer providing youthful legs and the capacity to defend wide areas against Washington’s quick attackers.
In midfield, Leila Ouahabi and A. Gasper bring technical quality and ball progression from deeper roles, while E. Egizii and B. Franklin can operate as link players between the lines, helping Chicago escape pressure and connect with the forwards. Up front, the predicted front two of M. Swanson and J. Huitema gives Chicago their best chance of hurting Washington: Swanson’s direct running and one‑v‑one threat complements Huitema’s movement and presence in the box. With Chicago averaging only 0.6 goals per game this season, these two will need to be clinical with limited service.
Washington Spirit W Team News & Expected Lineups Today
No significant absences reported. Washington Spirit W travel with a full-strength squad on paper, a major boost as they look to consolidate 2nd place and stay on track for the NWSL Women play-offs. Their league form string of LWWLD shows one or two recent stumbles, but overall they have been one of the most consistent teams in the competition, especially away from home with 7 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats on the road.
With lineups today expected to reflect their usual attacking intent, Washington should stick close to their preferred attacking-minded structure. They have frequently used a shape with a double pivot and a line of three supporting the striker, and that general pattern is likely again here: control the midfield, press selectively, and use wide runners to stretch Chicago’s back line. Given their superior defensive numbers (only 23 goals conceded in 24 games), they can afford to keep an aggressive posture.
Washington Spirit W Predicted Lineups & Starting Lineup
Predicted Starting XI:
GK: S. MacIver
DF: G. Carle; L. Di Guglielmo; E. Morgan; Kate Wiesner
MF: D. Abiodun; A. Sullivan; L. Santos; M. Ngock
FW: T. Rodman; Ashley Hatch
This predicted lineup leans heavily on Washington’s core performers and the data-backed spine that has driven their season. In goal, S. MacIver is projected to start as a reliable shot‑stopper behind a back four of G. Carle, L. Di Guglielmo, E. Morgan, and Kate Wiesner. That unit offers a blend of composure on the ball and strong defensive metrics, underpinning a team that concedes only about one goal per game.
In midfield, the double pivot of D. Abiodun and A. Sullivan provides balance: Abiodun’s mobility and ball-winning alongside Sullivan’s experience and distribution. Ahead of them, L. Santos and M. Ngock can operate between the lines, linking play and supporting the forwards. The key attacking threat is T. Rodman, who is not only Washington’s top scorer with 8 goals but also their leading creator with 4 assists, and she is expected to start high and wide but frequently drift inside. Alongside her, Ashley Hatch offers penalty-box instincts and hold-up play, forming a dangerous partnership that will test Chicago’s vulnerable defence.
Injuries and Suspended Players Impact
With no injuries or suspensions listed for either side, this match should be decided by tactical choices and form rather than enforced absences. Both coaches can lean on their strongest groups and adjust in-game based on match flow rather than squad limitations.
Chicago Red Stars W Absences:
- No significant absences reported.
Washington Spirit W Absences:
- No significant absences reported.
Tactical Analysis: How the Lineups Match Up
Tactically, this contest sets up as a clash between a struggling defensive side and a well-balanced, high‑ceiling attack. Chicago concede an average of 2.3 goals per match and have allowed 54 goals overall, with particularly vulnerable periods just after half-time and in the final quarter of games. Washington, meanwhile, average 1.4 goals scored per match, with a strong spread of goals across the 16–60 minute window and a notable ability to keep clean sheets (9 in 24 games).
The predicted lineups hint at Washington dominating territory and possession, using Rodman and Santos to overload Chicago’s full-back zones and creating crossing or cutback situations for Ashley Hatch. Chicago will likely respond with a deeper defensive block, trying to compress central spaces where Sullivan and Abiodun like to circulate the ball. Transitions will be crucial: if Chicago can quickly find M. Swanson and J. Huitema when they regain possession, they can exploit the space behind Washington’s advanced full-backs. However, Washington’s superior defensive index and away record suggest they are better equipped to manage those counters while still committing numbers forward.
Match Prediction and Verdict
All major indicators point towards Washington Spirit W having a clear edge. They rank 2nd with 43 points and a +10 goal difference, compared to Chicago’s 16th place, 17 points, and -40 goal difference. The overall comparison index rates Washington at 66.5 versus Chicago’s 33.5, and the Poisson index is heavily tilted at 83 versus 17 in Washington’s favour. Recent head-to-head history also leans Washington’s way, with multiple wins and only occasional setbacks against Chicago in the last few seasons.
Win probabilities give Washington a 45% chance of victory and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving Chicago at just 10%. Betting odds translate into an implied away-win probability in roughly the 77–82% range, underlining how strongly the market favours the visitors. Given Chicago’s low scoring rate and Washington’s defensive solidity, a tight but controlled away performance is the most likely scenario. A low-scoring Washington win, potentially decided by the quality of T. Rodman and Ashley Hatch in the final third, fits both the statistical profile and the tactical matchup.
Predicted Outcome: Chicago Red Stars W 0–1 Washington Spirit W
How to Watch Chicago Red Stars W vs Washington Spirit W Worldwide
Here is how you can watch the match and see the official lineups today live:
- Spain: Local sports pay-TV channel / streaming platform
- UK: Major sports broadcaster or official league streaming service
- USA / North America: National sports network and NWSL streaming partner
- South America: Regional sports channel or digital streaming platform
- MENA: Regional satellite sports network or official OTT service






