Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Chicago Red Stars W welcome San Diego Wave W to SeatGeek Stadium on 31 May 2026 in NWSL Women Group Stage action, with the two sides entering the contest from very different positions in the table. The hosts are fighting to claw their way off the bottom end of the standings, while San Diego arrive firmly in the play-off positions and looking to consolidate their push for the NWSL Women Play Offs quarter-finals.

Chicago sit 15th with 9 points from 11 matches, and their goal difference of -17 underlines just how difficult this campaign has been. San Diego, by contrast, are 3rd with 22 points from 12 games and are already in the “Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)” zone. For anyone searching for Chicago Red Stars vs San Diego Wave predictions or NWSL betting tips, this fixture sets up as a classic clash between an out-of-form struggler and an away side with strong underlying numbers.

SeatGeek Stadium has seen mixed performances from the Red Stars, but they have at least been more competitive at home than on the road. San Diego Wave W, meanwhile, travel well and will see this as a prime opportunity to bank another three points against a team they have largely dominated in recent head-to-head meetings.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Stats

• Chicago Red Stars W are 15th with 9 points from 11 games, scoring 5 and conceding 22 in the league.
• San Diego Wave W beat Chicago Red Stars W 2-0 at Snapdragon Stadium in the NWSL Women Group Stage on 29 March 2026.
• Chicago average just 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match this season, while San Diego average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 15 vs 3
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 5 vs 17
• Goals Against: 22 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Chicago Red Stars W 2; San Diego Wave W 2

The season record shows a stark contrast between these two sides. Chicago Red Stars W have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11 matches, with no draws and only 5 goals scored. Their 22 goals conceded is among the worst defensive tallies in the league, and a -17 goal difference reflects persistent issues at both ends of the pitch. At home they have 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 8, which is marginally better but still fragile.

San Diego Wave W, on the other hand, have built a strong platform. With 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 12 matches, they sit 3rd and are already in the play-off quarter-final bracket. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 13, and crucially their away record is excellent: 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat on the road, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded. The numbers back San Diego as the more balanced and dangerous side, particularly away from home.

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Key Matchups

Chicago midfield unit vs Dudinha

With Chicago lacking a standout scorer or creator in the league’s top charts, their collective midfield — including players like J. Grosso, B. Pinto and Maitane López — will need to contain one of the NWSL’s most productive attacking threats in Dudinha. The San Diego midfielder/attacker has 4 goals and 4 assists in 12 appearances, having started all 12 and logged 856 minutes. She has taken 17 shots (9 on target), created 15 key passes and attempted 42 dribbles, successfully completing 26. Her blend of goal threat, creativity and ball-carrying makes her the focal point of Wave’s attack and a constant problem between the lines for Chicago’s central players.

Chicago back line vs L. E. Godfrey

Alongside Dudinha, L. E. Godfrey provides another major threat from midfield. In 12 appearances (8 starts), Godfrey has also scored 4 goals and added 2 assists in 652 minutes. She is efficient with 10 shots and 9 on target, and has delivered 17 key passes with 216 total passes at 80% accuracy. For a Chicago defence that has already conceded 22 goals and has failed to keep opponents quiet for long spells, tracking Godfrey’s late runs and guarding against her shooting from central areas will be critical. If the Red Stars cannot limit her influence, San Diego will repeatedly find good shooting positions around the box.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history leans towards San Diego Wave W, though Chicago Red Stars W have produced some notable wins of their own. Across the last five NWSL Women meetings listed below, San Diego have three victories and Chicago have two, with no draws.

• 29 March 2026: San Diego Wave W 2-0 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Group Stage)
• 19 October 2025: San Diego Wave W 6-1 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 25)
• 26 April 2025: Chicago Red Stars W 0-3 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 6)
• 22 September 2024: Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 San Diego Wave W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 16)
• 29 June 2024: San Diego Wave W 0-3 Chicago Red Stars W (NWSL Women Regular Season - 11)

Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W Prediction

Analysis points to a match where San Diego Wave W control large spells of possession and territory, with Chicago Red Stars W likely to sit deeper and look for moments on the break. Chicago’s league form of WLLLL and their season averages of 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game suggest they will struggle to create sustained pressure, especially against a San Diego side that concedes only 1.1 goals per match on average.

The predictive metrics give San Diego a strong edge: the comparison panel rates San Diego at 71.0% overall versus 29.0% for Chicago, with attacking and defensive indices also heavily in the visitors’ favour. The winner projection is “San Diego Wave W (Win or draw)” with 50% away and 50% draw, and 0% home, underlining the expectation that Chicago will find it very hard to take three points. Given Chicago’s low scoring output and San Diego’s solid away record, a controlled away win with limited goals for the hosts looks the most likely scenario.

Predicted Score: Chicago Red Stars W 1-2 San Diego Wave W

Chicago Red Stars W League Form

WLLLL

San Diego Wave W League Form

LDWWL

Chicago Red Stars W Possible Starting Lineup

K. Lund; M. Alozie, K. Hendrich, S. Staab, Elise Evans; J. Grosso, Maitane López, B. Pinto; J. Bike, J. Huitema, I. Chacón.

Chicago have rotated through several shapes this season, most frequently a 4-2-3-1, and the personnel above fit that framework. K. Lund is a leading candidate in goal, with a back line anchored by experienced defenders such as K. Hendrich and S. Staab. In midfield, the technical ability of J. Grosso and Maitane López will be key to progressing the ball and trying to relieve pressure. Further forward, J. Huitema and I. Chacón offer movement and finishing, but with the team having failed to score in 8 of 11 league games, the attacking unit must be far more clinical to trouble San Diego.

San Diego Wave W Possible Starting Lineup

Luisa Agudelo; K. McNabb, P. Morroni, K. Pickett, N. Harrison; K. Dali, L. E. Godfrey, L. Fazer; Dudinha, Gabi Portilho, A. Leon.

San Diego have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, and this lineup allows them to morph between both shapes. At the back, P. Morroni and K. McNabb bring experience and defensive solidity. In midfield, the creativity and goal threat of L. E. Godfrey and the playmaking of K. Dali can feed a front line spearheaded by Dudinha operating between the lines and attackers like Gabi Portilho and A. Leon stretching the Chicago defence. With 17 league goals and multiple scoring options, this XI would give Wave significant firepower while maintaining balance.

Chicago Red Stars W Team News

No significant absences reported.

San Diego Wave W Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Red Stars W:

• None reported.

San Diego Wave W:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back San Diego Wave W to win. The prediction panel gives 0% home, 50% draw and 50% away, with San Diego also holding a clear edge in form and H2H. For the match winner market, away prices are around 1.36–1.45 (e.g. 1.36 with Marathonbet and Betfair, 1.40 with William Hill and Pinnacle, 1.42 with Bet365 and Unibet, 1.45 with Betano).
• Goals Tip: San Diego to score over 1.5 team goals. They average 1.4 goals per game and have put 2 or more past Chicago in several recent meetings, while Chicago concede 2.0 per match. Exact odds for this specific market are not listed, but the strong away favourite pricing (away win as low as 1.36) implies bookmakers expect Wave to find multiple goals.
• Value Tip: San Diego Wave W to win with Chicago Red Stars W under 1.5 team goals. Chicago have failed to score in 8 of 11 league matches and now face a San Diego defence that concedes just 1.1 per game and has 2 clean sheets. With away win odds clustered between 1.36 and 1.45, combining San Diego victory with a low Chicago goal line should offer enhanced value relative to the straight away price.

How to Watch Chicago Red Stars W vs San Diego Wave W

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.