Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Portman Road hosts a fascinating Premier League clash on 4 September 2026 as newly-promoted Ipswich welcome Liverpool. It is only Matchday 3, but the fixture already carries weight for both sides: Ipswich are looking to build on a bright start, while Liverpool are under pressure to convert early draws into wins.

Ipswich sit 12th with 3 points from their first two games, having scored 4 and conceded 6. They have already shown they can hurt teams going forward, but the defensive numbers underline the step up in level. Liverpool arrive 13th with 2 points, unbeaten but yet to register a victory, and with both matches finishing level despite scoring and conceding 4 goals.

With Ipswich vs Liverpool predictions heavily influenced by Liverpool’s status as favourites but also by Ipswich’s lively attack, this looks set up for an open contest. The historical head-to-head favours Liverpool strongly, yet early-season form and home advantage give Ipswich a puncher’s chance in front of a packed Portman Road.

Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Stats

• Ipswich have taken 3 points from 2 Premier League matches (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 6.
• Liverpool won both league meetings in 2024, including a 4-1 victory at Anfield on 25 January 2025 and a 2-0 win at Portman Road on 17 August 2024.
• Across their 2 league games this season, both Ipswich and Liverpool are averaging 2.0 goals scored per match, but Ipswich are conceding 3.0 per game compared to Liverpool’s 2.0.

Ipswich vs Liverpool — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 13
• Points: 3 vs 2
• Goals For: 4 vs 4
• Goals Against: 6 vs 4
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After two rounds, there is little to separate the sides in the table, but the underlying patterns differ. Ipswich have been more volatile: one win and one defeat, with a goal difference of -2. They have already shown they can score twice in a game at home, yet the 5-2 away loss that defines their goal difference also exposes defensive fragility.

Liverpool’s start has been steadier but underwhelming. Two draws from two matches, with identical 2-2 scorelines home and away, reflect a team that is creating and conceding in equal measure. The lack of an early win will add urgency, especially given the market and prediction models rate them as strong favourites despite the near-level league positions at this early stage.

Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Matchups

J. Enciso vs C. Gakpo

Julio César Enciso Espínola has quickly become Ipswich’s creative heartbeat. In 2 Premier League appearances (both starts, 161 minutes), he has delivered 2 assists, underlining his role as the main supplier. He has taken 5 shots (1 on target), completed 47 passes at 85% accuracy, and contributed defensively with 2 tackles and 1 interception. His 11 dribble attempts with 6 successful highlight his ability to break lines and carry Ipswich up the pitch.

Facing him is Cody Gakpo, Liverpool’s standout attacker so far. In 2 appearances and 161 minutes, Gakpo has 1 goal and 1 assist, 3 shots (1 on target), and 5 key passes from 51 total passes at 78% accuracy. He also works hard off the ball, with 3 tackles and 4 interceptions. The duel between Enciso’s creativity and Gakpo’s all-round threat will go a long way to deciding which side controls the attacking zones and transitional moments.

Emersonn vs Víctor Muñoz

For Ipswich, Emersonn has offered a direct goal threat from the front line. In 2 starts (111 minutes), he has scored 1 goal, with 3 shots and 2 on target. He has 3 key passes from 13 total passes at 76% accuracy, and his dribbling numbers (2 attempts, both successful) show a player capable of beating his man in the final third.

Víctor Muñoz has been one of Liverpool’s bright sparks. In 2 appearances (1 start, 117 minutes), he has 1 goal and is among the more aggressive pressers: 3 tackles and 3 interceptions, plus 3 shots (1 on target). He has also drawn 4 fouls and committed 4, reflecting a combative style, and has picked up 1 yellow card. Emersonn’s movement against Muñoz’s work rate and defensive contribution on Liverpool’s flank could be decisive in determining how much joy Ipswich get down that side.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Liverpool have dominated recent Premier League meetings between these sides, winning both encounters in the 2024 season with authority at home and away.

• 25 January 2025: Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich (Premier League)
• 17 August 2024: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction

Early-season data points to a high-tempo, attacking match. Ipswich average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per game, with a tendency to concede a significant share of goals in the 31–45 and 61–75 minute windows. Liverpool also average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, with goals arriving mainly after half-time (two between 46–60 minutes and two between 76–90 minutes).

Prediction models assign Liverpool a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Ipswich just 10%. That aligns with the bookmakers, who price Liverpool as clear favourites: away win odds range from 1.57 to 1.68 (implied probability roughly 59.5% to 63.7%), while Ipswich are between 4.41 and 5.25 (about 19.0% to 22.7%), and the draw around 3.84 to 4.51 (22.2% to 26.0%).

Ipswich’s attacking output, spearheaded by Enciso, Emersonn and the impact of Chuba Akpom from the bench, suggests they can score. However, Liverpool’s superior defensive index in recent comparisons, plus their clear edge in head-to-head meetings, tilt the balance. With both sides yet to keep a clean sheet and all four of their combined league games producing at least 2 goals, a Liverpool win in a game with goals at both ends looks the most plausible scenario.

Predicted Score: Ipswich 1-2 Liverpool

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s recent form is mixed but encouraging. They have one win and one defeat from their first two Premier League matches, reflecting a pattern of high-scoring contests. Their attack has been consistent, scoring 2 goals in each game, but they have also conceded heavily away from home. The underlying stats show no clean sheets yet and an average of 3.0 goals conceded per match, with a notable vulnerability just before and after half-time.

Liverpool Recent Form

Liverpool have drawn both of their opening fixtures, home and away, leaving them unbeaten but winless. Each match has finished 2-2, underlining both their attacking quality and defensive looseness. They have yet to keep a clean sheet and have conceded in all four quarters of matches, though their scoring is concentrated after the interval. The draw streak hints at resilience but also at a lack of killer instinct so far.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Palmer or D. Button; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, C. Kipré, D. Furlong; Midfielders: J. Enciso, Florentino, A. Matusiwa, A. Fatawu, J. Taylor; Forwards: Emersonn, C. Akpom, J. Philogene.

Ipswich have typically lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, and the squad composition supports a similar approach here. Enciso and Fatawu provide creativity and ball-carrying from midfield, while Emersonn and Akpom offer different profiles up front — Emersonn as a mobile starter and Akpom as an impact option who has already scored off the bench. The defensive unit, featuring experienced figures like Diop and Kipré, will need to be far more compact than in the 5-2 defeat that currently skews their goals-against numbers.

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Alisson Becker; Defenders: V. van Dijk, R. Araújo, M. Kerkez, J. Gomez or J. Frimpong; Midfielders: A. Mac Allister, R. Gravenberch, F. Wirtz, D. Szoboszlai; Forwards: C. Gakpo, A. Isak, Víctor Muñoz or F. Chiesa.

Liverpool have also favoured a 4-2-3-1, and the personnel at their disposal suggests a strong spine. Van Dijk’s leadership at the back, supported by Araújo and Kerkez, should provide aerial dominance and aggression, though both Araújo and Muñoz have already picked up yellow cards and must manage their discipline. In midfield, Mac Allister and Gravenberch offer control and progression, while Wirtz and Szoboszlai add creativity. Up front, Gakpo and Isak give Liverpool both link play and penalty-box presence, with Muñoz’s pressing and goal threat an important complement.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ipswich:

• None reported.

Liverpool:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ipswich vs Liverpool

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out based on current form, stats and prices.

• Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win. They are unbeaten this season, have a clear historical edge over Ipswich, and prediction models give them around a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for the hosts. The away win is priced between 1.57 and 1.68, implying roughly a 59.5%–63.7% chance, which still looks justified given Liverpool’s superior squad and depth.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. All four league games involving these sides so far have produced at least 2 goals, and both average 2.0 goals scored per match while conceding regularly. With no clean sheets between them, over 1.5 goals is strongly supported by the trends and also aligns with the prediction advice of “draw or Liverpool and +1.5 goals”. Exact odds for this market are not listed here, but it will be significantly shorter than the match result prices.
• Value Tip: Cody Gakpo to score or assist. Gakpo has 1 goal and 1 assist from 2 appearances, with 5 key passes and 3 shots, and is central to Liverpool’s attacking play. While specific player market odds are not provided, his early-season output and dual threat as both scorer and creator suggest he could offer value in anytime scorer or goal contribution markets, especially in a match where Liverpool are expected to dominate territory and chances.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.