FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

FC Tulsa welcome Monterey Bay to ONEOK Field on 18 June 2026 in a USL Championship Group Stage clash that already feels significant in the early-season playoff picture. The hosts are sitting in the promotion playoff positions and will see this as a prime opportunity to consolidate their spot against a side still trying to climb away from the lower reaches of the conference.

Tulsa come into this fixture seventh in their group on 16 points from 11 matches, with a goal difference of zero after scoring and conceding 14. That steady platform, combined with their recent upturn in results, underpins their status as favourites in most FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay predictions. Monterey Bay, by contrast, are 12th on 11 points from 12 games, with a -7 goal difference (13 scored, 20 conceded), and need a result to keep touch with the playoff contenders.

ONEOK Field has already provided a solid base for FC Tulsa this season, and with the head-to-head history strongly in their favour, many USL Championship betting angles will lean towards the home side or a cautious “FC Tulsa or draw” approach. For Monterey Bay, this is as much about proving they can compete away from Cardinale Stadium as it is about points on the board.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Stats

• FC Tulsa are 7th in their USL Championship group with 16 points from 11 matches, while Monterey Bay are 12th with 11 points from 12 games.
• Across their last five USL Championship meetings listed, FC Tulsa have three wins, two draws and no defeats against Monterey Bay.
• FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 12
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 14 vs 13
• Goals Against: 14 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: FC Tulsa 3, Monterey Bay 2

The standings underline why FC Tulsa are currently in the USL Championship playoff frame. With 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 11 games, they have been difficult to beat and are firmly in the “Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” positions. Their goal difference of zero reflects a balanced profile: 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, with a solid home return of 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat at ONEOK Field.

Monterey Bay’s situation is more precarious. Sitting 12th with 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 12 fixtures, they have struggled particularly on the road: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses away, with only 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. Their -7 goal difference and leaky defence (20 goals against) highlight why they are outside the playoff spots and why they approach this trip to Tulsa as underdogs in most analytical previews.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Matchups

FC Tulsa Attack vs Monterey Bay Defence

Without individual scorer data, the battle is best framed collectively. Tulsa’s attack is averaging 1.3 goals per game, with 6 at home and 8 away, and they have shown the ability to put together winning streaks, including a three-game winning run. Their biggest away win of 4-1 and a home high of 3 goals indicate that when they click, they can be ruthless.

They face a Monterey Bay back line that concedes 1.7 goals per match overall and a worrying 2.4 per game away from home. Monterey Bay’s biggest away defeat of 4-1 and 12 goals conceded in five away outings show vulnerability, particularly after the interval, where a large proportion of their goals against arrive between minutes 46 and 75. If Tulsa maintain pressure into the second half, this mismatch could be decisive.

Monterey Bay Late Surge vs Tulsa’s Game Management

Monterey Bay, despite their struggles, do carry a threat, especially late in games. They average 1.1 goals per match and have scored 4 times in the 76–90 minute window, the highest share of their goals. Their recent last-five record in the league (10 goals scored, 7 conceded) suggests a more potent attack than their season-long averages alone imply.

Tulsa, meanwhile, concede 1.3 goals per game, with their goals against spread relatively evenly across the 90 minutes. Their ability to keep three clean sheets this season indicates they can shut games down when needed, but they will need to remain switched on in the final quarter of an hour against a Monterey Bay side that tends to push hard late on.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The head-to-head series has been dominated by FC Tulsa in recent years, both home and away. Across the most recent seven USL Championship clashes listed, Tulsa have four wins, three draws and no defeats against Monterey Bay, a trend that strongly colours most FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay predictions.

• 3 May 2026: Monterey Bay 1-2 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 7 August 2025: Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
• 17 July 2025: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 27 October 2024: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
• 14 July 2024: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Form, standings and head-to-head history all lean towards FC Tulsa. The comparison metrics give Tulsa a 64.2% overall edge versus 35.8% for Monterey Bay, while the win/draw/lose percentages point to a strong “home or draw” angle: 45% home, 45% draw, 10% away. Tulsa’s league form of LDWWW shows they are trending upward, and their home record is solid.

Monterey Bay’s recent three-game winning streak has improved their momentum, but their away numbers remain poor and their defensive record on the road is a major concern. Given both teams’ goal averages and the under-2.5 goals guidance in the prediction data, this shapes up as a tight contest that Tulsa should edge, likely in a one-goal game.

Predicted Score: FC Tulsa 1-0 Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa League Form

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Monterey Bay League Form

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FC Tulsa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Henry or A. Tambakis; L. Batista, A. Cissoko, G. Robinson, L. Stauffer; Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, G. Colli, K. ElMedkhar, J. Webber; L. Dorsey or N. Pierre.

Tulsa have depth in goal with T. Henry, D. Jacomen and A. Tambakis, while the defensive pool of L. Batista, A. Cissoko, G. Robinson and L. Stauffer offers a mix of experience and physicality. In midfield, creative profiles such as Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, G. Colli and K. ElMedkhar give the hosts options between control and verticality. Up front, L. Dorsey and N. Pierre headline the attacking options, supported by versatile midfielders like J. Webber and S. Lukic. Expect a balanced setup designed to control territory and exploit Monterey Bay’s away frailties.

Monterey Bay Possible Starting Lineup

Ciaran Dalton or F. Delgado; K. Egwu, Z. Farnsworth, L. Malešević, S. Ritchie; S. Lletget, E. Blancas, C. Nadje, R. Nakamura, A. Rebollar; R. Bidois or W. Leggett.

Monterey Bay also have several goalkeeping options in Ciaran Dalton, F. Delgado and J. Jackson, but their defensive unit of K. Egwu, Z. Farnsworth, L. Malešević and S. Ritchie will be under pressure to improve a poor away record. In midfield, the experience of S. Lletget alongside energetic profiles like E. Blancas, C. Nadje and R. Nakamura should provide some control and transition threat. In attack, options such as R. Bidois, W. Leggett, G. Lomtadze and I. Paul give them varied forward choices, but they must be more clinical to compensate for their defensive issues on the road.

FC Tulsa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Monterey Bay Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Tulsa:

• None reported.

Monterey Bay:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: FC Tulsa or Draw (Double Chance). With the prediction giving 45% home, 45% draw and only 10% away, plus Tulsa’s strong H2H dominance and better league position, backing the hosts not to lose is the most logical result-based angle, even in the absence of quoted odds.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams’ prediction lines are set under 2.5, and Tulsa average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded. Several recent H2H clashes have been tight, including 0-0 and multiple 2-1 scorelines, supporting a lower-scoring contest.
• Value Tip: FC Tulsa to Win by Exactly One Goal. Tulsa’s recent H2H victories over Monterey Bay have often been by a single-goal margin (2-1, 2-1, 3-2, 2-1, 2-1). Combined with the strong home/draw probability and Monterey Bay’s slight attacking uptick, a narrow home win offers an appealing value angle where markets allow.

How to Watch FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.