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Ballon d’Or Race: Yamal vs. Rodri

The Ballon d’Or race is starting to feel like a political campaign. Posters, narratives, carefully chosen words. And at the heart of it all, two very different candidates from the same dressing room: Lamine Yamal and Rodri.

Barcelona have made their choice clear. The club has thrown its full weight behind Yamal, the prodigy they see as the face of the future and, if their PR push is anything to go by, the present as well. Inside the club, there is near-total agreement: this is Yamal’s year.

Yet the numbers and the memories from the summer tell a more complicated story.

Tebas breaks from the Yamal wave

Into this Barcelona-led tide stepped Javier Tebas, and he went the other way.

While much of the noise around the award has revolved around Yamal, the La Liga president publicly nailed his colours to Rodri. In a recent appearance, Tebas underlined the midfielder’s World Cup as the decisive factor.

"With what Rodri has done in the World Cup, he deserves it again," Tebas said, pointing to a tournament where Rodri was widely viewed as the standout performer.

It is a hard case to dismiss. At the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Rodri dictated games with a calm authority that never wavered. He led Spain from the centre of the pitch, offering control, balance and an almost ruthless composure under pressure as they claimed their first world title since 2010.

In a competition stacked with stars, he looked like the adult in every room.

The case against Rodri

And yet, the Ballon d’Or is rarely just about one month of brilliance.

Rodri’s problem lies in everything that came before – or rather, what didn’t. Injury ruled him out for a large chunk of Manchester City’s season. He managed only 21 league appearances, and City failed to retain the Premier League title.

For a player usually synonymous with reliability and volume, that gap matters. It leaves his dossier for the year looking lopsided: one glorious World Cup, but a club campaign that never really took off.

When the votes are cast, that imbalance could hurt him.

Yamal’s broader résumé

Yamal, by contrast, can lean on a fuller body of work.

He has a La Liga title with Barcelona. He has the World Cup as well. His performances on the global stage did not quite reach the individual heights of Rodri, Harry Kane or Kylian Mbappé, but he was there, contributing, winning, stacking up achievements at a pace that feels almost unreal for his age.

That blend of club success and international glory is exactly the kind of package that traditionally sways Ballon d’Or voters. It gives him a narrative that stretches across the season, not just a single tournament.

So the choice sharpens.

Do voters reward the player who reached the highest peak at the World Cup, even with a disrupted club season? Or do they side with the teenager who may not have been the best player in any single competition, but kept winning everywhere he went?

Tebas has made his pick. Barcelona have made theirs. The rest of the football world now has to decide whether this Ballon d’Or belongs to the established general in midfield, or to the rising star they’re already treating like a future king.