Spain Favored Over Argentina in 2026 World Cup Final

The 2026 World Cup has been full of memorable moments, with Lionel Messi leading Argentina back from a 1-0 deficit to beat England 2-1 in the semifinals. Goals from Messi's side came in under 10 minutes, crushing England’s hopes for their first World Cup since 1966.

Despite this dramatic comeback, odds makers still see Messi and Argentina as underdogs. England was the slight favorite before their semifinal clash, but Spain is set to be an even stronger favorite in the final on Sunday.

At BetMGM, Spain opened with a -175 line to win the championship, while Argentina sits at +125. Prediction platform Kalshi places Spain’s chance of winning at 58%, with Argentina trailing at 42%.

Spain earned their spot by beating France 2-0 on Tuesday. A penalty by Mikel Oyarzabal in the first half and a goal from Pedro Porro sealed the victory. France, once dominant throughout the tournament, seemed less threatening in that match.

The final kicks off at 3 p.m. ET Sunday at the New York/New Jersey Stadium located in East Rutherford, New Jersey.