Napoli vs Udinese Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Napoli welcome Udinese to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for the final round of Serie A’s Regular Season - 38, with the hosts looking to close out a strong campaign in front of their own fans. With 73 points on the board and second place in the table, Napoli have already secured a Champions League league-phase berth, but will still want a statement performance to underline their superiority.

Udinese arrive in Naples sitting 10th with 50 points, safely in mid-table and with no European pressure. That freedom could make them dangerous, but the standings and underlying numbers point towards a Napoli vs Udinese prediction that favours the home side. Punters studying Napoli vs Udinese betting tips will also note how dominant Napoli have been at home, and how their attacking metrics stack up against an Udinese side that has been solid but inconsistent.

With both teams clear of relegation trouble and Napoli already in the Champions League zone, this fixture is about pride, momentum and individual milestones. For those searching how to bet on Napoli vs Udinese, this is a classic scenario of a top-two side with strong home metrics against a mid-table visitor that has punched above its weight away from home, setting up an intriguing tactical and betting landscape.

Napoli vs Udinese Key Stats

• Napoli are 2nd in Serie A with 73 points from 37 matches, scoring 57 and conceding 36.
• Across their last five Serie A meetings listed, Napoli have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats against Udinese in regular time.
• Napoli have kept 14 clean sheets in the league, compared to Udinese’s 11.

Napoli vs Udinese — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 10
• Points: 73 vs 50
• Goals For: 57 vs 45
• Goals Against: 36 vs 47
• Clean Sheets: 14 vs 11

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Napoli’s 22 wins from 37 games, with 57 goals scored and only 36 conceded, underline why they sit second and are already assured of Champions League football. Their home record is particularly strong: 12 wins, 4 draws and just 2 defeats in 18 matches in Naples, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded.

Udinese, by contrast, have had a respectable but uneven campaign. Tenth place with 50 points reflects a team that has been awkward to face but lacks the consistency of the elite. They have 14 wins, 8 draws and 15 defeats, scoring 45 and conceding 47. Interestingly, their away numbers are relatively strong — 8 wins and 27 goals scored on the road — but defensively they allow 1.4 goals per away game, which is a concern when visiting one of the league’s most potent attacks.

Napoli vs Udinese Key Matchups

Rasmus Højlund vs Keinan Davis

Rasmus Højlund has been central to Napoli’s attacking threat. The forward has 11 league goals and 5 assists in 32 appearances, starting 31 of those games and logging 2,671 minutes. He averages 44 shots with 23 on target, and his 31 key passes and 74% passing accuracy show he contributes beyond finishing. Drawing 51 fouls and committing 37, he is constantly involved in physical duels, with 303 total duels and 108 won.

Keinan Davis is Udinese’s main reference point in attack. He has 10 goals and 4 assists from 29 appearances, starting 26 times and playing 1,999 minutes. Davis has 38 shots with 25 on target, and his 29 key passes and 78% passing accuracy highlight a well-rounded attacking profile. He has contested 310 duels, winning 146, and draws 47 fouls while committing 39. This head-to-head between two powerful, hard-working forwards could go a long way to deciding where the chances — and goals — fall.

Scott McTominay vs Nicolò Zaniolo

In midfield, Scott McTominay has been a driving force for Napoli. With 10 goals and 3 assists in 32 appearances (30 starts), he offers a rare scoring punch from midfield. He has taken 71 shots, 34 on target, and completed 1,262 passes at an 88% accuracy rate, plus 22 key passes. Defensively he adds 28 tackles, 13 blocks and 21 interceptions, and has been heavily involved in duels (312 total, 164 won), while drawing 68 fouls and committing 24. His two-way influence is enormous.

Nicolò Zaniolo is Udinese’s creative hub. He has 5 goals and 6 assists in 32 appearances, starting 28 times and playing 2,269 minutes. Zaniolo has 47 shots (22 on target), 579 passes with 53 key passes and 78% accuracy. He also contributes defensively with 28 tackles and 4 interceptions, while engaging in 375 duels (140 won). His aggressive style is reflected in 61 fouls drawn, 62 committed and 8 yellow cards. The McTominay–Zaniolo battle will shape the tempo and territorial control in midfield.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings have generally favoured Napoli, though Udinese have shown they can compete. Across the last five Serie A clashes listed, Napoli have two wins and three draws, with Udinese’s only victory over that stretch coming in the most recent encounter.

• 14 December 2025: Udinese 1-0 Napoli (Serie A)
• 9 February 2025: Napoli 1-1 Udinese (Serie A)
• 14 December 2024: Udinese 1-3 Napoli (Serie A)
• 6 May 2024: Udinese 1-1 Napoli (Serie A)
• 27 September 2023: Napoli 4-1 Udinese (Serie A)

Napoli vs Udinese Prediction

Analysis points to a controlled but competitive game. Napoli’s league form string of WLDWL and their season-long defensive record of conceding just 1 goal per game suggest they can manage Udinese’s threat, even against an away side that averages 1.5 goals scored per road match. Udinese’s form of LWWDL shows they are capable of upsetting strong opponents, but their 47 goals conceded and negative goal difference underline why they sit mid-table.

Predictions data gives Napoli and the draw an equal 45% share, with Udinese at just 10%, and the advice leans strongly towards a double chance in favour of the hosts. The goals projection indicates a relatively low-scoring contest, with both sides expected under 2.5 goals. With Napoli’s clean-sheet record (14) and Udinese’s modest attacking output overall, a narrow home win looks the likeliest outcome.

Predicted Score: Napoli 1-0 Udinese

Napoli League Form

WLDWL

Udinese League Form

LWWDL

Napoli Possible Starting Lineup

GK: A. Meret; Defenders: S. Beukema, A. Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Miguel Gutiérrez, M. Olivera; Midfielders: G. Di Lorenzo, A. Zambo Anguissa, K. De Bruyne, S. McTominay; Forwards: R. Højlund, M. Politano, R. Lukaku, David Neres.

Napoli have consistently favoured shapes built around a back three or four with wing-backs or wide midfielders, as reflected by their frequent use of 3-4-2-1 and 4-1-4-1. With creators like K. De Bruyne and ball-winners such as A. Zambo Anguissa and S. McTominay, they can dominate central areas while supplying a powerful front line featuring R. Højlund, R. Lukaku and wide threats like M. Politano and David Neres. Their 14 clean sheets and balanced goals for/against profile suggest a well-structured side capable of controlling this fixture.

Udinese Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Okoye; Defenders: C. Kabasele, O. Solet, N. Bertola, T. Kristensen, J. Zemura; Midfielders: J. Ekkelenkamp, J. Karlström, Oier Zarraga, N. Zaniolo; Forwards: K. Davis, V. Bayo, A. Buksa.

Udinese have leaned heavily on a three-at-the-back system such as 3-5-2 and 3-4-2-1. That points to a compact defensive block with wing-backs like J. Zemura and T. Kristensen pushing on, while central midfielders J. Karlström and Oier Zarraga provide stability. N. Zaniolo operates between the lines, linking play to a front pairing spearheaded by K. Davis, supported by options like V. Bayo or A. Buksa. Their 11 clean sheets show they can be organised, but they will need near-perfect execution to contain Napoli’s attack.

Napoli Team News

No significant absences reported.

Udinese Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Napoli:

• None reported.

Udinese:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Napoli vs Udinese

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Napoli to win. With 45% home win probability versus only 10% for Udinese and Napoli’s strong home record, the hosts are justifiably short. Among the available prices, BetVictor offer Napoli at 1.45, while several firms including William Hill and Pinnacle sit around 1.50, reflecting the clear edge for the home side.
• Goals Tip: Back under 2.5 goals. The goals projection for both teams is under 2.5, and both sides concede around 1–1.3 goals per game. Napoli’s matches have often been controlled rather than wild, and Udinese’s away games, despite a decent scoring rate, rarely explode into high-scoring contests. Pinnacle’s draw price of 4.42 and low away win odds profile suggest the market expects a tight game, making a conservative goals angle attractive.
• Value Tip: Consider Napoli to win to nil. Napoli have 14 clean sheets and concede just 1 goal per match, while Udinese have failed to score 10 times in the league. With Napoli heavily favoured in the match-winner market (home odds between 1.44 at SBO and 1.54 at 1xBet), combining their win with a clean sheet should produce a more generous price in derivative markets, offering potential value given their defensive solidity and Udinese’s inconsistency in front of goal.

How to Watch Napoli vs Udinese

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.