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Benfica vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Benfica host OFI in Lisbon on 10 December 2026 in a UEFA Europa League League Stage - 6 clash that could have major implications for seeding in the competition’s new Swiss-style phase. With both sides entering the match on the back of strong early tournament form, this fixture shapes as a fascinating contrast between an established European force and an emerging contender.

Benfica come into this round ranked 4th in the League Round standings, reflecting their status as one of the early pacesetters despite having no points yet officially recorded in the table snapshot. Their underlying Europa League statistics are impressive: 4 wins from 6 games, 19 goals scored and just 6 conceded, and a powerful home record in Lisbon. For supporters searching for Benfica vs OFI prediction angles, the Portuguese side’s attacking numbers immediately stand out.

OFI, ranked 25th in the League Round, have quietly made a perfect start of their own. Two wins from two, 5 goals scored and none conceded underline a team that has adapted quickly to European competition. For bettors and fans alike, this Benfica vs OFI Europa League tie offers a compelling mix of firepower versus defensive resilience, and it will likely be a key reference point for those tracking both clubs’ prospects deeper into the tournament.

Benfica vs OFI Key Stats

  • Benfica sit 4th in the League Round standings with a recent form line of WWDWW in the group context, underlining consistent positive results.
  • There are no previous head-to-head meetings between Benfica and OFI recorded in this Europa League campaign or in the provided data.
  • Across 6 Europa League fixtures this season, Benfica have scored 19 goals (average 3.2 per game) and conceded only 6, while OFI have 5 goals for and 0 against across 2 matches.

Benfica vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 4 vs 25
  • Points: 0 vs 0
  • Goals For: 0 vs 0
  • Goals Against: 0 vs 0
  • Clean Sheets: Benfica 1 (tournament statistics) vs OFI 2 (tournament statistics)

On the raw standings snapshot, both Benfica and OFI are yet to register goals or points, reflecting that the table is structured around the League Round rather than fully updated match-by-match tallies. However, once you factor in the broader Europa League statistics, Benfica clearly profile as one of the most potent attacking sides in the competition so far, with 19 goals across 6 games and a best home win of 6-1.

OFI’s story is different but equally eye-catching. In just 2 Europa League fixtures they have produced a perfect record: 2 wins, 5 goals scored, and crucially, 2 clean sheets. Their 3-0 home win and 2-0 away victory show they can control games at both ends of the pitch. While Benfica’s offensive ceiling looks higher, OFI’s defensive solidity and 100% win rate make them a dangerous opponent, particularly if they can frustrate the hosts and exploit transitions.

Benfica vs OFI Key Matchups

V. Pavlidis vs OFI back line

Benfica’s standout attacking figure in this Europa League campaign is V. Pavlidis. The Greek forward has 5 goals and 1 assist in just 3 appearances, putting him at the top of both the scoring and assists charts for his club in this competition. He has also picked up 1 yellow card, underlining his combative presence in the final third. His movement, finishing and ability to link play make him the primary threat OFI must contain.

OFI do not have individual scorer data listed, but their defensive unit collectively has yet to concede a goal in 2 Europa League matches. With clean sheets both home and away and an average of 0.0 goals conceded per game, their back line has been almost flawless so far. The battle between Pavlidis and an OFI defence that has not been breached will likely define the flow and outcome of this match.

Rafa & creative midfield vs OFI’s compact structure

Rafa offers Benfica an additional layer of attacking quality. In 4 Europa League appearances, he has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist, operating as a versatile forward or advanced midfielder. Around him, A. Schjelderup, D. Lukebakio, J. Durán, Tomás Araújo and G. Prestianni have all chipped in with at least 1 goal each, while midfielders like H. Sudakov, J. Kamiński, L. Barreiro and A. Bah have all registered assists. This spread of contributors makes Benfica difficult to defend against, as danger can come from multiple lines.

OFI’s team statistics point to a side built on collective organisation. They have used a 3-4-3 formation in both Europa League games, combining a back three with wing-backs and a hard-working midfield. With 2 clean sheets and a defensive “last five” record of 100 in the defensive index, their structure is clearly functioning. How their compact 3-4-3 copes with Benfica’s fluid attacking rotations between lines will be a crucial tactical subplot.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

There are no recorded recent head-to-head meetings between Benfica and OFI in the available data. This will therefore be a fresh tactical encounter, with no direct historical reference points between the clubs in European competition.

    Benfica vs OFI Prediction

    All indicators point towards Benfica being slight favourites, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. Benfica’s broader Europa League sample of 6 matches shows a high-scoring, front-foot side: they average 3.2 goals per game, have never failed to score, and have a strong home profile with 14 goals in 3 matches (4.7 per game). Their last-five metrics (attacking index 100, defensive index 76) reinforce the picture of a team that can dominate opponents, especially in Lisbon.

    OFI, however, arrive with perfect recent form of their own. They have won both of their Europa League fixtures, scoring 5 and conceding none, and their last-five defensive index sits at 100. Their ability to keep clean sheets and manage games, coupled with a 3-4-3 structure that can quickly spring into attack, suggests they are well-equipped to frustrate and counter against a stronger on-paper opponent.

    The prediction model gives Benfica a 35% chance of winning, the draw also at 35%, and OFI at 30%. That near-even distribution underlines how competitive this tie could be, despite Benfica’s superior squad depth and attacking firepower. With goal thresholds in the prediction data expressed as ranges rather than exact scores, the most sensible forecast is a tight game in which Benfica’s offensive variety just about edges OFI’s defensive resilience.

    Predicted Score: Benfica 2-1 OFI

    Benfica Recent Form

    Benfica’s League Round form is listed as WWDWW, reflecting a strong run of results in this Europa League phase. Extending to their wider tournament statistics, they have 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat from 6 matches. They have been particularly impressive at home, winning all 3 fixtures in Lisbon, scoring 14 and conceding only 2. They have yet to fail to score in any Europa League match and have recorded 1 clean sheet in the competition so far.

    OFI Recent Form

    OFI’s League Round form is WW, a perfect two-game start. Across those 2 Europa League fixtures, they have 2 wins, 5 goals scored and 0 conceded. Their biggest wins include a 3-0 home victory and a 2-0 away success, underlining their ability to perform both in Crete and on the road. With 2 clean sheets from 2 and no failures to score, OFI arrive in Lisbon with confidence and momentum, albeit from a smaller sample size than Benfica.

    Benfica Possible Starting Lineup

    GK: A. Trubin; Defenders: C. Lenglet, A. Bah, Tomás Araújo, S. Dahl; Midfielders: Joāo Palhinha, L. Barreiro, E. Barrenechea, H. Sudakov, Rafa; Forwards: V. Pavlidis.

    Benfica have typically lined up in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-1-3-2 shape in this Europa League campaign, and the available squad list suggests similar flexibility here. A. Trubin is the standout option in goal, with experienced defenders like C. Lenglet, A. Bah and Tomás Araújo giving solidity at the back. In midfield, the combination of Joāo Palhinha’s physical presence with the technical quality of L. Barreiro, E. Barrenechea and H. Sudakov provides control and progression. Further forward, Rafa’s creativity and V. Pavlidis’s prolific scoring form should spearhead the attack, supported by options such as D. Lukebakio, J. Durán and A. Schjelderup from the bench or starting roles depending on rotation.

    OFI Possible Starting Lineup

    GK: N. Christogeorgos; Defenders: Borja González, D. Nikolaou, A. Poungouras; Midfielders: N. Marinakis, L. Dickmann, A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos; Forwards: Aitor Cantalapiedra, T. Fountas, K. Kodro.

    OFI have used a 3-4-3 system in both of their Europa League fixtures, and the squad composition supports a similar approach here. A back three of Borja González, D. Nikolaou and A. Poungouras can provide a solid base, with wing-backs such as N. Marinakis and L. Dickmann offering width and defensive cover. In central midfield, A. Bouchalakis and G. Kanellópoulos bring experience and work-rate. Up front, a trio of Aitor Cantalapiedra, T. Fountas and K. Kodro would give OFI a mix of creativity, movement and penalty-box presence, ideal for counter-attacking opportunities against Benfica.

    Benfica Team News

    No significant absences reported.

    OFI Team News

    No significant absences reported.

    Injuries & Suspensions

    Benfica:

    • None reported.

    OFI:

    • None reported.

    Betting Tips: Benfica vs OFI

    Below are three data-driven betting angles based on current form and prediction probabilities.

    • Result Tip: Back Benfica Draw No Bet. With Benfica given a 35% win probability and OFI at 30%, plus Benfica’s stronger attacking record and home advantage, the hosts are marginally favoured. A Draw No Bet angle provides protection against the relatively high 35% draw probability while still leaning into Benfica’s offensive edge.
    • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Benfica’s Europa League matches are averaging 4.2 total goals per game (19 scored, 6 conceded in 6 fixtures), and they have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 6. OFI average 2.5 goals for per game themselves. Despite OFI’s clean sheets, the combination of Benfica’s attacking volume and both teams’ scoring records suggests a strong case for a goals-based play.
    • Value Tip: V. Pavlidis to score anytime. With 5 goals and 1 assist in 3 appearances, plus a central role in Benfica’s attack, Pavlidis is statistically the most likely individual scorer on the pitch. His involvement in both goals and assists, as well as his presence in the top yellow cards list (indicating high-intensity involvement), makes him an attractive value option in the goalscorer markets.

    Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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