Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Vancouver FC welcome York United to Willoughby Community Park Stadium on 24 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could have major implications at both ends of the table. Vancouver sit 4th with 31 points from 23 matches, clinging onto the upper half and looking to consolidate a play-off push.

York United arrive in British Columbia in 7th place on 23 points from 21 games, with the league’s worst goal difference (-16) but also one of its liveliest attacks. Recent meetings between Vancouver FC and York United have produced goals, swings in momentum and plenty of drama, making this a standout CPL betting and prediction fixture for punters looking at form, H2H trends and goal markets.

With Vancouver stronger at home and York more dangerous going forward but fragile at the back, this matchup sets up as a classic contrast of styles – and a potentially pivotal night in the Canadian Premier League campaign.

Vancouver FC vs York United Key Stats

• Vancouver FC are 4th with 31 points from 23 matches (9 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, 31 scored, 29 conceded).
• York United won the most recent meeting 3-1 at York Lions Stadium on 13 September 2026 in the Canadian Premier League.
• Season statistics show Vancouver FC averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, while York United average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Vancouver FC vs York United — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 7
• Points: 31 vs 23
• Goals For: 31 vs 30
• Goals Against: 29 vs 46
• Clean Sheets: 3 vs 2

In the current table, Vancouver FC have a clear edge. They sit 4th with a positive goal difference (+2), built on 31 goals scored and 29 conceded across 23 matches. Their home record is solid: 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 11 games, with 17 goals scored and only 11 conceded at Willoughby Community Park Stadium.

York United, by contrast, are 7th and eight points behind Vancouver, with 30 goals scored but a worrying 46 conceded in just 21 matches. Away from home they have struggled: only 1 win, 5 draws and 5 defeats from 11 away fixtures, scoring 9 and conceding 23. The numbers suggest Vancouver are more balanced, while York are high-event and error-prone, especially defensively.

Vancouver FC vs York United Key Matchups

T. Campbell vs T. Skublak

Vancouver forward Terran Campbell has been an important attacking option, with 4 goals in 22 appearances. Despite starting only 12 of those games and playing 549 minutes, he has managed those 4 goals from 12 shots (4 on target), showing decent efficiency when chances come his way. His 7 key passes and 76% passing accuracy underline his link-up role in the final third.

For York United, T. Skublak is both their main goal threat and a creative hub. He has 5 goals and 2 assists in 18 appearances (16 starts), with 20 shots and 12 on target. His overall involvement is high: 142 passes, 8 key passes and a 72% accuracy rate. He also brings physical presence, winning 49 of 97 duels, but his aggressive style is reflected in 8 yellow cards. If Skublak can find space between Vancouver’s lines, he has the numbers to tilt this contest in York’s favour.

T. Bah vs B. Badibanga

Vancouver’s Thierno Bah offers a blend of work rate and end product. In 23 appearances (20 starts) and 917 minutes, he has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist, with 14 shots (6 on target). Beyond goals, Bah is a key ball-carrier and presser: 23 dribble attempts with 12 successful, and 126 duels contested with 66 won. He also draws 26 fouls, often advancing Vancouver up the pitch, though his 5 yellow cards show he plays on the edge.

York United’s Beni Badibanga is a creative midfielder with 3 assists in 13 appearances (7 starts). In 295 minutes, he has produced 10 key passes from 105 total passes at 81% accuracy, indicating a high-impact, efficient playmaker role. His dribbling (4 attempts, 3 successful) and 12 fouls drawn suggest he is dangerous between the lines. The duel between Bah’s direct running and Badibanga’s vision could shape transitions and territorial control.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Vancouver FC and York United have been evenly split in terms of individual results, with both sides enjoying big wins and tight contests. Goals are a recurring theme whenever these two meet in the Canadian Premier League.

• 13 September 2026: York United 3-1 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 4 July 2026: Vancouver FC 4-0 York United (Canadian Premier League)
• 19 April 2026: York United 1-0 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 21 September 2025: Vancouver FC 2-1 York United (Canadian Premier League)
• 19 July 2025: York United 4-0 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)

Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced encounter. The prediction model gives Vancouver FC only a 10% chance of winning outright, with the draw and York United each rated at 45%. That aligns with York’s stronger recent attacking numbers: in their last five matches they have scored 9 and conceded 11 (1.8 for, 2.2 against on average), while Vancouver have scored 5 and conceded 8 over the same span.

However, Vancouver’s home advantage and more solid defensive record over the season (1.3 goals conceded per game, compared to York’s 2.2) cannot be ignored. York’s attack is more explosive, but their back line is leaky, particularly away from home. With the advice leaning towards “double chance: draw or York United” and York listed as “win or draw” favourites, a cautious view is that Vancouver may struggle to turn home territory into three points.

Expect Vancouver to try to control the tempo and limit transitions, while York look to exploit the spaces with Skublak, Altobelli and Badibanga. Given York’s defensive vulnerability and Vancouver’s inconsistency, a tight, relatively low-scoring draw looks plausible.

Predicted Score: Vancouver FC 1-1 York United

Vancouver FC Recent Form

Vancouver’s recent form in the league has been mixed and trending downwards. Their official form line reads DLWLL, reflecting just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two defeats. Over the full 23-game campaign they have 9 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, scoring and conceding at exactly 1.3 goals per match on average. At home they remain competitive, but inconsistency has prevented them from climbing higher than 4th.

York United Recent Form

York United’s recent form is similarly patchy, with a sequence of LWDDL across their last five league games. They have 5 wins, 8 draws and 8 defeats from 21 matches overall. The standout feature is their defensive frailty: 46 goals conceded at 2.2 per match, offset by a respectable 30 goals scored. Their last-five attacking index (33 form, 75 attack, 8 defense) underlines a side that can score in bunches but struggles to keep opponents out.

Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineup data for this specific fixture, we can only highlight likely key players rather than a full XI. Vancouver FC options include:

Goalkeepers: C. Irving, Henrik Regitnig
Defenders: M. Brick, M. Campagna, M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, P. Gee, I. Ssewankambo, K. Proctor
Midfielders: T. Bah, Emrick Fotsing, Benjamin Lee, N. Mezquida, Abdoulaye Ouattara, D. Pecile, M. Polisi, T. Powell, L. Toomey, M. Amissi, Vitor Lucas
Forwards: M. Bibishkov, T. Campbell, L. Mousset, A. Traore

Based on season statistics, Vancouver have frequently used a 4-2-3-1 shape, with 4-4-2 and 4-3-3 also appearing. Campbell, Bah and Mousset are the main attacking threats, supported by creative midfielders like Mezquida and the ball-progressing M. Polisi. The back line, anchored by defenders such as Campagna, Doner and Ssewankambo, will be tasked with containing York’s dangerous front line.

York United Possible Starting Lineup

Again, without confirmed lineups, we focus on the core squad likely to feature:

Goalkeepers: I. Pavela, Michael Williams, Campos Ralston Kai Antonio
Defenders: A. Bergman, J. Córdova, O. León, R. López, L. Singh, F. Sturing
Midfielders: C. Guzmán, O. Bassett, Gabriel Bitar, J. Cabral, K. Clarke, J. N. Costa, M. Ferrari, K. Kibato, A. Morano, A. Umanzor, S. Yeates
Forwards: L. Accettola, J. Almagro, J. Altobelli, B. Badibanga, S. Gonzales, Shola Jimoh, C. Onyeocha, David Peraza, T. Skublak

York have mostly lined up in a 3-4-3 this season, with occasional switches to 4-2-3-1 and 5-4-1. Skublak, Altobelli and Almagro headline the attack, while Badibanga and Yeates provide creativity from midfield. At the back, experienced defenders like Córdova, Singh and Sturing will try to stabilise a unit that has conceded heavily, especially in the second half of matches.

Vancouver FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

York United Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Vancouver FC:

• None reported.

York United:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Vancouver FC vs York United

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on probabilities and statistical trends:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or York United. The prediction model rates Vancouver at only 10% to win, with both draw and York United at 45%. York’s recent attacking form and the “win or draw” edge make the double-chance on the visitors a logical, lower-risk route than backing either side outright. (No odds available in the current data.)
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Vancouver’s matches average 2.6 goals (31 for, 29 against in 23), while York’s average 3.6 (30 for, 46 against in 21). However, Vancouver’s home defence (11 conceded in 11) is relatively tight, and the prediction leans towards a cagey 1-1. Under 3.5 covers that scenario and many similar low-to-medium scoring outcomes. (No odds available in the current data.)
• Value Tip: T. Skublak to score anytime (player performance market). Skublak has 5 goals and 2 assists in 18 appearances, with 20 shots and 12 on target, and is central to York’s attack. Given York’s 75 attacking index over the last five games and his heavy involvement, backing him to find the net offers potential value if priced reasonably. (No odds available in the current data.)

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.