Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
Vancouver FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Willoughby Community Park Stadium on 6 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could be pivotal in the mid-table battle. With only five points separating the sides, this fixture has direct implications for playoff positioning and momentum heading into the run-in.
The hosts sit 4th with 27 points from 20 matches, boasting a positive goal difference and a solid home record. Supra du Quebec, in 5th on 22 points from 19 games, have been more erratic: dangerous going forward but leaking too many goals. Recent meetings have been high-scoring, making this Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction particularly interesting for fans and bettors alike.
Both sides know each other well already this season, with Vancouver FC unbeaten in the two previous encounters, including a stunning 5-1 away win at CEPSUM Stadium in July. With that backdrop, and Vancouver’s home strengths against Supra’s attacking threat, this Canadian Premier League matchup sets up as one of the more intriguing ties of the weekend.
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats
- Vancouver FC are 4th with 27 points and a +3 goal difference (26 scored, 23 conceded) from 20 matches.
- In the most recent head-to-head on 17 July 2026, Vancouver FC beat Supra du Quebec 5-1 away at CEPSUM Stadium.
- Season statistics show Vancouver FC averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape
- Position: 4 vs 5
- Points: 27 vs 22
- Goals For: 26 vs 27
- Goals Against: 23 vs 33
- Clean Sheets: Vancouver FC 3, Supra du Quebec 1 (season statistics)
On the table, Vancouver FC hold the edge. They have played one game more but still lead Supra du Quebec by five points and own the better defensive record. Conceding just 23 times in 20 matches, Vancouver are significantly tighter at the back than Supra, who have let in 33 in 19.
Supra du Quebec, however, are not short on attacking output. They have scored one more goal than Vancouver despite playing one fewer match, and their away scoring rate (1.8 goals per game) is impressive. The problem is balance: conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game has undermined their attacking work. Vancouver’s combination of home solidity (14 scored, 9 conceded in 10 home games) and head-to-head dominance gives them a slight but clear overall advantage.
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups
T. Campbell vs L. Kwemi
Terran Campbell has been a key attacking option for Vancouver FC. Across 20 appearances, he has scored 4 goals, with 12 shots (4 on target) and 5 key passes from 91 total passes at 73% accuracy. Often used both as a starter and from the bench, his ability to contribute goals despite limited minutes (428) makes him a genuine threat, especially at home.
For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi is the standout forward. In 17 appearances (14 starts), he has 5 goals, backed by 18 shots (11 on target). He also contributes in link-up play with 155 passes at 82% accuracy and 7 key passes. His dribbling volume (37 attempts, 18 successful) shows he is comfortable taking defenders on, and he has also converted 2 penalties. This duel between Campbell’s penalty-box instincts and Kwemi’s all-round attacking profile could decide which side capitalises most in the final third.
I. Ssewankambo vs D. Choinière
Isak Ssali Ssewankambo offers Vancouver FC a composed presence in midfield. In 7 appearances (5 starts), he has provided 2 assists, with 75 passes at 84% accuracy and 2 key passes. Defensively he chips in with 3 tackles and 2 interceptions, suggesting a two-way role where he helps progression and protects the back line.
David Choinière is a creative hub for Supra du Quebec. Over 18 appearances (14 starts), he has delivered 3 assists, with 239 passes at 86% accuracy and an impressive 15 key passes. He also has 10 shots (6 on target) and decent dribbling numbers (12 attempts, 7 successful). If Choinière can find pockets between Vancouver’s lines and feed Kwemi and others, Supra’s attack can trouble a defence that sometimes concedes in bursts, particularly after half-time.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
These sides have already produced two tight but telling encounters in the 2026 Canadian Premier League Group Stage, with Vancouver FC enjoying the upper hand.
- 17 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-5 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
- 23 May 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction
Stats suggest a finely balanced contest with a slight tilt towards the hosts. The prediction model gives Vancouver FC a 45% chance of winning, the draw also at 45%, and Supra du Quebec just 10%. That aligns with Vancouver’s superior league position, better defensive record, and strong recent head-to-head results, including that emphatic 5-1 away victory in July.
Vancouver’s main concern is inconsistency: their recent league form string of LLLDW indicates a mixed run, but they have shown a high ceiling with a biggest home win of 4-0 and that 5-1 away success at Supra. Supra du Quebec’s form is similarly erratic (WDLLD), and their defensive fragility, especially late in games where a significant share of goals conceded come between 76-90 minutes, is a red flag.
With both teams averaging over a goal per game but Supra conceding heavily, the most likely match flow sees Vancouver controlling more of the territory, Supra threatening in transitions, and chances at both ends. Given the high probability of a home win or draw and the advice leaning to “Vancouver FC or draw”, a tight home victory or a score draw looks the most plausible outcome.
Predicted Score: Vancouver FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC Recent Form
In the league standings, Vancouver FC’s recent form is recorded as LLLDW, reflecting a difficult spell with three straight defeats followed by a draw and a win. Over the full 20-match campaign they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, scoring 26 and conceding 23. At home they have been stronger: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 14 goals scored and only 9 conceded, underlining Willoughby Community Park Stadium as a relative stronghold.
Supra du Quebec Recent Form
Supra du Quebec’s recent league form reads WDLLD, another mixed sequence combining a win and a draw with two defeats. Across 19 matches they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, scoring 16 and conceding 18, which reinforces their profile as an entertaining but defensively vulnerable side on the road.
Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup
GK: C. Irving or Henrik Regitnig; Defenders: E. Bah, M. Campagna, M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, P. Gee, I. Ssewankambo, M. Brick, K. Proctor; Midfielders: M. Polisi, N. Mezquida, D. Pecile, A. Ouattara, T. Powell, L. Toomey, M. Amissi, B. Lee, E. Fotsing; Forwards: T. Campbell, L. Mousset, A. Traore, Vitor Lucas, M. Bibishkov.
Vancouver FC have a deep defensive and midfield unit, with several experienced defenders such as Field, Doner and Gee, and a solid midfield core including M. Polisi and N. Mezquida. The presence of creators like Ssewankambo (2 assists) and attackers such as Campbell and Mousset gives the coach flexibility to set up in the 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 shapes they have favoured this season. Given their relatively strong defensive numbers, expect a balanced lineup prioritising structure while relying on Campbell and the wide players to provide the cutting edge.
Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup
No detailed squad list is available for Supra du Quebec, but key attacking and midfield contributors based on season statistics include L. Kwemi, I. Conde, S. Mlah, D. Choinière, S. Rea, D. Abzi, C. Auguste, A. Sissoko, Alessandro Biello, R. Bey and M. Chretien.
Tactically, Supra du Quebec are likely to lean on their creative midfielders and wide players. Choinière and Rea offer chance creation and ball progression, while Kwemi and Conde provide the goal threat up front. Defensively, players like Abzi, Auguste and Chretien are heavily involved, but the high number of cards and the low clean-sheet count (just 1 in the season statistics) suggest an aggressive, risk-prone back line that can be exploited by quick transitions from Vancouver.
Vancouver FC Team News
No significant absences reported.
Supra du Quebec Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Vancouver FC:
- None reported.
Supra du Quebec:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec
Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:
- Result Tip: Back “Vancouver FC or Draw” in the double chance market. The prediction model gives Vancouver FC a 45% win probability and the draw also at 45%, with Supra du Quebec at only 10%. Vancouver are stronger defensively, have the better head-to-head record this season (5-1 away win and 1-1 home draw), and perform well at home, making the home side plus draw a logical safety-first angle.
- Goals Tip: Consider “Both Teams to Score – Yes” or a modest over goals line. Vancouver average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Supra average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Supra’s away games feature 1.8 goals for and 2.0 against on average, and both previous meetings this season saw goals for both sides (5-1 and 1-1). That pattern points towards chances at each end.
- Value Tip: Look at a player-focused market involving L. Kwemi to score or register multiple shots. He has 5 goals from 18 shots (11 on target) and is Supra du Quebec’s main attacking outlet, while Vancouver can occasionally concede in clusters after half-time. Given Supra’s strong away scoring rate, Kwemi-related markets could offer value despite Vancouver being favourites overall.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.





