Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome Vancouver FC to CEPSUM Stadium on 17 July 2026 in Canadian Premier League Group Stage action, with both sides looking to sharpen their push up the table. The hosts sit 7th with 11 points from 10 matches, while Vancouver FC are 5th on 14 points from 12 games, making this a classic mid-table six-pointer.

For Supra du Quebec, this is a chance to close the gap on the top half and turn patchy form into a sustained run. Vancouver FC, meanwhile, will see this as an opportunity to consolidate a better recent spell and move closer to the leading pack. With the reverse fixture in May finishing 1-1 at Willoughby Community Park Stadium, this match promises another tight Canadian Premier League encounter.

Stats suggest a finely balanced contest: Supra du Quebec have been more open at both ends, while Vancouver FC bring slightly better defensive numbers and a marginally stronger recent record. That combination should shape how this game unfolds and how bettors approach Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC prediction and betting tips.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec are 7th with 11 points from 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16 in the Canadian Premier League.
• The only recent head-to-head on record ended Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec on 23 May 2026 in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
• Across 10 league matches, Supra du Quebec average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Vancouver FC average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded over 12 matches.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 5
• Points: 11 vs 14
• Goals For: 14 vs 15
• Goals Against: 16 vs 14
• Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0; Vancouver FC 1 (season statistics)

In the standings, Vancouver FC hold a narrow edge: 5th place with 14 points from 12 games, compared to Supra du Quebec’s 7th place and 11 points from 10. Both sides are within striking distance of the upper positions, but neither can afford a prolonged dip in form.

Goal difference underlines the contrast in profiles. Supra du Quebec have a -2 differential (14 scored, 16 conceded), reflecting their more open style and defensive vulnerability. Vancouver FC sit at +1 (15 scored, 14 conceded), suggesting a slightly more balanced side. Vancouver have also kept one clean sheet, whereas Supra du Quebec are yet to record one this season, a concern as they face a Vancouver attack that has averaged 2 goals per game over its last five outings according to recent form metrics.

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC Key Matchups

S. Rea vs T. Campbell

Sean Rea is emerging as Supra du Quebec’s creative heartbeat. In 9 appearances (8 starts), the midfielder has produced 1 goal and 1 assist, backed by 10 key passes and an impressive 81% passing accuracy from 115 total passes. His 7.47 average rating and dual presence in both the top scorers and top assists lists underline his importance between the lines.

For Vancouver FC, Terran Campbell leads the line. Across 12 appearances (9 starts), he has 2 goals, 8 total shots (2 on target), and 5 key passes, with a 6.84 rating. While his raw goal tally is modest, his ability to occupy defenders and combine with Vancouver’s supporting cast makes him a key focal point. The battle between Rea’s creativity and Campbell’s penalty-box presence will go a long way to deciding which side controls territory and chance quality.

D. Abzi vs M. Polisi

On the disciplinary and defensive side, Diyaeddine Abzi is a crucial figure for Supra du Quebec. In 7 appearances (5 starts), the defender has contributed 110 passes at 88% accuracy, 5 tackles, and 2 interceptions. However, he also leads the yellow card charts with 5 bookings, which could be a risk in a tight match where game management is vital.

For Vancouver FC, midfielder Marcello Polisi is a key two-way presence. In 10 starts, he has 1 assist, 177 passes at 86% accuracy, 8 tackles, 3 interceptions, and 4 yellow cards. His 7.1 rating reflects his influence in controlling midfield tempo and breaking up opposition attacks. The Abzi–Polisi axis, one trying to push on from the back and the other looking to dictate central areas, is a tactical matchup that may tilt the balance of midfield control.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met recently in the current Canadian Premier League campaign, producing a tight and competitive encounter.

• 23 May 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC Prediction

Recent trends point to a finely balanced contest with a slight edge towards Vancouver FC avoiding defeat. The prediction model gives Supra du Quebec only a 10% chance of winning, with a 45% probability each for a draw and a Vancouver FC win. That reflects Vancouver’s stronger recent form (last five form index 60 vs 33 for Supra du Quebec) and marginally better defensive metrics.

Supra du Quebec’s league form string of LLDWD and season averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded suggest they are involved in open, often high-variance games. They have failed to score in 3 of 10, but when they do attack, they share goals across the 90 minutes, with a significant share coming late on. Vancouver FC, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, are slightly more controlled but can be vulnerable in the final half-hour, where a large share of their goals conceded arrive.

With the previous meeting ending 1-1 and both sides showing similar overall scoring profiles, another tight, low-scoring draw feels the most plausible outcome. Vancouver’s “win or draw” edge in the prediction and their better recent record make them the safer side, but Supra du Quebec’s home advantage and Rea’s creativity should be enough to keep them in it.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-1 Vancouver FC

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

In the Canadian Premier League standings, Supra du Quebec’s recent sequence reads LLDWD. That translates into an inconsistent run with just one win in their last five, two defeats, and two draws. Over their 10 league matches, they have scored 14 and conceded 16, underlining their difficulty in keeping clean sheets but also their capacity to find the net regularly.

Vancouver FC Recent Form

Vancouver FC’s standings form string is WLWWL, indicating three wins from their last five league games. They have been more upwardly mobile, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded across 12 matches. Their last-five metrics show 10 goals scored and 6 conceded, averaging 2 goals for and 1.2 against, suggesting they arrive in better shape than their overall record might first indicate.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

No confirmed lineup data is available for Supra du Quebec. However, key figures likely to feature prominently based on season statistics include:

Key players: S. Rea (midfielder), D. Abzi (defender), A. Sissoko (midfielder), Alessandro Biello (midfielder), O. Boughanmi (midfielder).

Rea should operate as the main creative outlet in midfield, with Abzi providing width and aggression from the back line. Sissoko adds work rate and ball retention in the middle, while Biello and Boughanmi offer additional depth and physicality. Discipline will be a concern, as several of these players feature prominently in the yellow and red card charts, which may force the coach into careful in-game management.

Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup

Based on the squad list and season usage, Vancouver FC have a relatively clear core group:

GK: C. Irving or Henrik Regitnig
Defenders: M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, I. Ssewankambo, P. Gee, M. Campagna
Midfielders: M. Polisi, D. Pecile, N. Mezquida, L. Toomey, T. Powell
Forwards: T. Campbell, K. Proctor, L. Mousset, M. Amissi

Vancouver have used several formations (4-4-2, 4-3-3, 4-2-3-1, 3-4-3), indicating tactical flexibility. Doner and Field provide experience and ball progression from the back, while Polisi anchors midfield with his passing and defensive work. In attack, Campbell leads the line, supported by dynamic forwards like Proctor and Mousset. This versatility allows Vancouver to adjust shape depending on game state, a potential advantage over 90 minutes.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Vancouver FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Vancouver FC:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Vancouver FC. With win probabilities at 10% for Supra du Quebec, 45% for the draw, and 45% for Vancouver FC, the visitors are favoured to avoid defeat. Vancouver’s better recent form (three wins in five) and slightly stronger defensive record make the draw/Vancouver side of the market the more robust angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Supra du Quebec average 3.0 total goals per game (1.4 for, 1.6 against), while Vancouver FC average 2.5 (1.3 for, 1.2 against). The last head-to-head finished 1-1, and both teams’ under/over profiles in league statistics show far more matches under higher goal thresholds than over. A competitive but controlled game with 2–3 goals looks likely.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Supra du Quebec have scored in 7 of 10 matches and concede regularly, with no clean sheets. Vancouver FC have failed to score in 5 of 12 but come into this with 10 goals in their last five. With creative players like S. Rea for Supra du Quebec and forwards such as T. Campbell and K. Proctor for Vancouver, a repeat of the 1-1 pattern offers reasonable value in the BTTS market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.