Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats, Team News, Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome Canadian Premier League leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 28 August 2026 in a Group Stage clash that could shape both ends of the table. The hosts are battling in the lower half, while Forge arrive as the benchmark side in Canada’s top domestic competition.

After 18 matches, Supra du Quebec sit 6th with 19 points and a negative goal difference, needing a result to stay in touch with the mid-table pack. Forge, by contrast, have been the class of the league: top of the standings with 41 points, the best defence, and one of the most efficient attacks. Recent head-to-head meetings have all gone Forge’s way, adding extra intrigue to this latest encounter in Montreal.

With both teams already familiar foes in the 2026 Canadian Premier League campaign, this match offers rich angles for prediction, team news analysis, and betting tips, especially around whether Supra can finally halt Forge’s perfect H2H record.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec are 6th with 19 points from 18 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses), scoring 26 and conceding 33.
• Forge have won all three meetings in 2026 so far: 1-0, 2-1, and 3-2.
• Season statistics show Supra averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Forge average 1.6 scored and just 0.7 conceded.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 19 vs 41
• Goals For: 26 vs 29
• Goals Against: 33 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0 (tournament statistics), Forge 9 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline a clear gap between the sides. Supra du Quebec have taken just 19 points from 18 fixtures, with a -7 goal difference and only 5 wins. Their defence has been leaky, conceding 33 goals, the equivalent of 1.8 per game, and they have yet to keep a single clean sheet in their 2026 Canadian Premier League campaign.

Forge, on the other hand, are top with 41 points from 18 matches, winning 13 and losing only 3. Their +16 goal difference is built on the league’s stingiest back line, conceding just 13 goals (0.7 per game) and recording 9 clean sheets. While their attack is only marginally more productive than Supra’s in raw numbers (29 vs 26 goals), the efficiency and defensive solidity make Forge a far more balanced and reliable side.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

L. Kwemi vs D. Nimick

For Supra du Quebec, attacker L. Kwemi is a central threat. In 15 appearances (12 starts, 503 minutes), he has scored 4 goals, with 9 of his 12 shots on target, and converted 2 penalties from 2. A rating of 7.08 and 80% passing accuracy suggest he is both efficient and technically secure in the final third.

Opposing him is Forge defender D. Nimick, one of the league’s standout centre-backs. Across 16 starts and 720 minutes, he has scored 3 goals, showing set-piece danger, while completing 388 passes at 89% accuracy. Defensively he has 8 tackles, 4 blocks, 8 interceptions, and has won 18 of 26 duels. With 4 yellow cards, he plays on the edge, but his all-round profile makes the Kwemi–Nimick battle crucial to whether Supra can break down Forge’s back line.

S. Rea vs T. Borges

Supra midfielder Sean Rea is the creative hub. In 15 appearances (14 starts, 658 minutes), he has 1 goal and 2 assists, backed by 327 passes at 86% accuracy and an impressive 22 key passes. His 16 shots (5 on target) and 9 successful dribbles underline his role as the main chance creator between the lines.

Forge’s answer in the creative department is Tristan Borges. In 18 appearances (16 starts, 558 minutes), Borges has 1 goal and 3 assists, with 157 passes at 80% accuracy and 17 key passes. He also contributes defensively (13 tackles, 6 interceptions) and draws 10 fouls, helping Forge control tempo. The Rea vs Borges duel in midfield could decide which side dictates possession and generates the better quality chances.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These teams have already faced each other three times in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, and Forge have emerged victorious on every occasion, though margins have been tight in two of the three fixtures.

• 19 August 2026: Forge 3-2 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 05 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge (Canadian Premier League)
• 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

Stats suggest another uphill battle for Supra du Quebec. They have struggled defensively all year, and particularly in late-game phases, while Forge combine a disciplined back line with enough attacking variety to edge close contests. The recent H2H pattern — three straight Forge wins, including two by a single goal — points towards another tight but away-favoured encounter.

The prediction model gives Supra only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an away win rated at 45% each. That implies a strong expectation that Forge will avoid defeat, but also significant respect for the possibility of a stalemate, especially with this fixture now at CEPSUM Stadium. Supra’s scoring record (26 in 18) indicates they can find the net, yet their inability to keep clean sheets against a side like Forge is a major concern.

Given Forge’s superior form line, defensive numbers, and perfect recent record in this matchup, the most likely scenario is a low-scoring away win or a draw. Supra may push aggressively at home, but that also risks leaving spaces for Forge’s counter-attacking and set-piece strength.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent league form reads DLLDW. That sequence reflects inconsistency: just one win in their last five, alongside three defeats. They have been competitive going forward, but defensive frailty and late concessions have repeatedly cost them points, keeping them anchored in the lower half of the Canadian Premier League table.

Forge Recent Form

Forge come into this fixture with a form line of WWLLD in their last five league matches. Despite a brief wobble with back-to-back defeats, they have generally been one of the competition’s most consistent sides, and their broader season record of 13 wins from 18 underscores that those losses were more a blip than a trend.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

No detailed squad or lineup data is available for Supra du Quebec. However, based on season statistics, key figures likely to feature prominently include attacking focal point L. Kwemi, creators such as Sean Rea and David Choinière, and midfielders like Alessandro Biello and Safwane Mlah, with defenders including Diyaeddine Abzi, Charles Auguste, and M. Chretien forming the core of the back line.

Tactically, Supra have used several shapes across the campaign — most commonly variants of a back four such as 4-2-3-1 and 4-4-2. Expect them to retain a four-man defence, with Rea and Choinière tasked with supplying Kwemi and I. Conde in advanced areas. The absence of clean sheets suggests they may need extra protection in midfield, potentially through a more conservative double pivot to limit Forge’s transitions.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

Forge’s squad list offers a clearer picture of their options. In goal, D. Bertaud or D. Bontis are candidates, with a back line built around centre-backs like D. Nimick and M. Jevremović, supported by defenders such as D. Krutzen, N. Bickford, R. Rama, and B. Paton.

Midfield options include experienced figures like K. Bekker, A. Batisse, A. Aromatario, and T. Borges, while the attack can be led by forwards such as N. Ampomah, Molham Babouli, B. Wright, L. Johnson, and I. Oketokoun. Forge have alternated between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 this season, and either shape is plausible here, with Borges likely to operate as the creative hub and Ampomah offering a direct threat from wide or central positions.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Forge:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Forge in the double chance market (draw or away win). With the prediction model giving Supra only a 10% chance of victory and Forge rated at 45% alongside a 45% draw probability, plus three straight H2H wins for Forge, the away side avoiding defeat looks the most statistically supported angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Supra average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Forge average 1.6 for and 0.7 against. Forge’s defensive record and the fact that only 5 of their 18 league games have gone over 2.5 goals suggest a relatively tight contest, making a conservative under-goals line attractive.
• Value Tip: Anytime goalscorer – L. Kwemi. Supra’s leading scorer has 4 goals in 15 appearances, with 9 of 12 shots on target and a perfect penalty record (2 from 2). If Supra are to trouble Forge, Kwemi is the most likely source, and his underlying numbers make him an interesting value play in the goalscorer markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.