Inter Miami II vs New York City II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Inter Miami II welcome New York City II to Chase Stadium on 6 June 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the hosts desperate to halt a brutal run of form. Bottom of both their Central Division and the Eastern Conference sub-table, Inter Miami II have just 4 points from 11 matches and come into this fixture on a five-game losing streak. This is less about playoff talk and more about restoring pride and basic competitiveness.

New York City II arrive in far better shape, sitting 6th in the Northeast Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference with 15 points from 11 games. Their recent league form of LWWLW underlines an inconsistent but dangerous side, particularly against struggling opponents. With the visitors given a strong chance to avoid defeat and goals expected, this clash shapes up as a classic MLS Next Pro encounter between a leaky defence and a more balanced, attack-minded outfit.

With Inter Miami II rooted to the foot of their conference and New York City II hovering in mid-pack, the stakes are clear: the hosts need a statement performance at Chase Stadium, while the visitors will see this as a prime opportunity to bank three points and push towards the upper reaches of the Eastern Conference picture.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Key Stats

• Inter Miami II have taken just 4 points from 11 league matches, losing 10 with a goal difference of -20 (12 scored, 32 conceded).
• Across their last five MLS Next Pro meetings, Inter Miami II and New York City II have produced scorelines of 4-2, 0-3, 3-2, 2-3 and 0-5, with neither side keeping a clean sheet in that run.
• Inter Miami II concede an average of 3.1 goals per game this season, while New York City II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 on average.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 16 (Eastern Conference, Inter Miami II) vs 12 (Eastern Conference, New York City II)
• Points: 4 vs 15
• Goals For: 12 vs 15
• Goals Against: 32 vs 19
• Clean Sheets: Inter Miami II 0 vs New York City II 1

The season record shows a stark contrast between the two sides. Inter Miami II have lost 10 of 11 league matches, scoring just 12 times and conceding 32. Their home record is particularly alarming: five defeats from five at Chase Stadium with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded. They sit 8th in the Central Division and 16th in the Eastern Conference, firmly anchored to the bottom of their conference standings.

New York City II, by comparison, are inconsistent but clearly more competitive. With 5 wins and 6 defeats, they have collected 15 points, scoring 15 and conceding 19. They are 6th in the Northeast Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference, and their form string of LWWLW suggests a side capable of bouncing back quickly from setbacks. While their away record (1 win and 4 losses, 6 scored and 8 conceded) is patchy, they still carry far more threat and defensive stability than their hosts.

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Key Matchups

Attacking Units vs Fragile Defences

Without individual scoring data, the focus shifts to collective attacking output. Inter Miami II average 1.2 goals per game but ship 3.1, highlighting a side that can find the net but is routinely overwhelmed at the back. New York City II’s attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match, has been more efficient and is supported by a defence conceding 1.8 per game. The visitors’ ability to spread goals across different phases of matches, particularly between minutes 61-75 where they have scored 4 times, contrasts with Inter Miami II’s vulnerability in the 46-60 window, where they have conceded 8 goals. That timing mismatch could be decisive after half-time.

Discipline and Late-Game Pressure

Discipline may also shape the contest. Inter Miami II have picked up a high volume of yellow cards between minutes 46-90 and have received 2 red cards in the 76-90 range. New York City II similarly see a spike in cautions late on, with 7 yellows between minutes 76-90 and a red card in that same window. With both teams prone to late bookings and Inter Miami II already under heavy defensive strain, a sending-off for the hosts would significantly tilt the balance towards the visitors’ more efficient attack.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have built a lively MLS Next Pro rivalry, with goals a recurring theme. Across their most recent clashes, neither team has dominated outright, but New York City II have had the upper hand overall. The last five meetings listed below underline how open and high-scoring this fixture tends to be.

• 4 May 2025: Inter Miami II 4-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 10)
• 8 June 2024: New York City II 3-0 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 17)
• 17 March 2024: Inter Miami II 3-2 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 2)
• 24 September 2023: Inter Miami II 2-3 New York City II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 37)
• 11 August 2023: New York City II 5-0 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 29)

Inter Miami II vs New York City II Prediction

Analysis points to a contest where New York City II hold a clear edge, but with enough volatility to keep both teams interested. Inter Miami II’s league form is dire, with five straight defeats and an average of over three goals conceded per game. Their home record offers no comfort, and their defensive structure has been repeatedly exposed, particularly just after half-time.

New York City II, meanwhile, come in with a 60% win rate over their last five matches and a stronger overall statistical profile in attack, defence, and recent form. The prediction metrics give the visitors a 50% chance of victory and a 50% chance of a draw, with Inter Miami II’s win probability effectively at 0%. Double chance in favour of New York City II and a goals angle above 1.5 are strongly backed. Expect the visitors to control large stretches, exploit the hosts’ defensive frailties, and at least avoid defeat.

Predicted Score: Inter Miami II 1-2 New York City II

Inter Miami II League Form

LLLLL

New York City II League Form

LWWLW

Inter Miami II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: L. Barker; Defenders: N. Almeida, S. Basabe, T. Hall, L. Garcia; Midfielders: J. Convers, A. Flores, M. Rodriguez, I. Urkidi; Forwards: D. Rey, I. Zeltzer-Zubida.

Inter Miami II’s squad is youthful across the board, with a large contingent of teenagers in defence and midfield. That inexperience has shown in their defensive numbers, with the back line conceding heavily and struggling under sustained pressure. The presence of multiple attacking options such as D. Rey and I. Zeltzer-Zubida suggests they can threaten in transition, but any attacking intent must be balanced against a need for more protection in front of the back four.

New York City II Possible Starting Lineup

GK: T. Romero; Defenders: Nico Cavallo, E. Martin, Maxwell Murray, K. Smith; Midfielders: Jacob Arroyave, C. Flax, Musu, J. Ponce; Forwards: M. Jones, E. Samb.

New York City II blend experience and youth, particularly in defence where players like Nico Cavallo and Maxwell Murray provide a platform for more adventurous midfielders. In attack, options such as M. Jones and E. Samb give them the ability to stretch a fragile Inter Miami II back line. Their single clean sheet so far underlines that they are not watertight, but their structure and balance are significantly stronger than the hosts’.

Inter Miami II Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Inter Miami II:

• None reported.

New York City II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Inter Miami II vs New York City II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back New York City II in the Double Chance market (New York City II or Draw). The visitors are given a combined 100% probability to win or draw, while Inter Miami II are rated at 0% for a home win. Their stronger league form (LWWLW vs LLLLL) and superior attacking and defensive metrics support this angle. (No odds available.)
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Inter Miami II matches feature an average of 4.3 goals (1.2 for, 3.1 against), while New York City II games average 3.3 goals (1.5 for, 1.8 against). The historical head-to-head also shows consistently high-scoring contests, making a two-goal line a logical play. (No odds available.)
• Value Tip: New York City II to Score 2+ Goals. The visitors average 1.5 goals per match and have scored at least twice in several recent fixtures, while Inter Miami II concede 3.1 per game and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The tactical pattern of a vulnerable home defence against a confident away attack offers potential value on the visitors’ team goals. (No odds available.)

How to Watch Inter Miami II vs New York City II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.