HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

HFX Wanderers FC host Supra du Quebec at Wanderers Grounds on 24 July 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that already feels important in the mid-season picture. The Halifax side sit 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, looking to push toward the upper half, while expansion outfit Supra du Quebec are 7th on 11 points from 11 games and desperate to avoid being cut adrift.

The first meeting between these teams on 24 April 2026 ended in a 2-1 home win for Supra du Quebec at CEPSUM Stadium, so HFX Wanderers will be eyeing revenge in front of their own fans. With both sides conceding more than a goal per game and showing patchy consistency, this matchup profiles as a key test for anyone looking for HFX Wanderers vs Supra du Quebec predictions and betting tips in the Canadian Premier League.

Stats suggest a relatively even contest: HFX Wanderers have been stronger over their last five games and boast better defensive indicators, but Supra du Quebec carry goal threat and have already shown they can hurt this opponent. With both teams’ recent matches tending toward open, chance-filled encounters, this fixture could have a big say in the battle for mid-table security.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• HFX Wanderers FC are 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 21 in the Canadian Premier League.
• The only previous meeting on 24 April 2026 ended Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League at CEPSUM Stadium.
• Across 14 league fixtures, HFX Wanderers average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, with 2 clean sheets; Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded per match and have yet to keep a clean sheet in 11 games.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 18 vs 15
• Goals Against: 21 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: HFX Wanderers FC 2; Supra du Quebec 0 (league statistics)

In the standings, HFX Wanderers FC hold a narrow but clear edge. They have played three more matches than Supra du Quebec, yet still maintain a five-point cushion, underlining slightly better consistency despite a negative goal difference of -3. Their 18 goals in 14 games underline a functional attack, but 21 conceded points to defensive vulnerabilities.

Supra du Quebec, 7th on 11 points from 11 matches, share the same goals-against tally (21) but in fewer games, translating to a higher average of 1.9 conceded per outing. Their goal difference of -6 and the absence of a single clean sheet highlight a fragile back line. However, with 15 goals scored and a slightly higher scoring average than HFX, they remain dangerous, particularly in transition and late in games.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

Tavio Ciccarelli vs Sean Rea

For HFX Wanderers, 19-year-old attacker Tavio Ciccarelli has been one of the breakout performers. In 121 minutes of league action, he has already scored 3 goals, converting 4 of his 5 shots on target, and added 1 key pass from 20 total passes at an impressive 90% accuracy. He has also won a penalty and drawn 4 fouls, showing he can be a real handful between the lines and in the box.

Opposing him, Supra du Quebec’s creative heartbeat is midfielder Sean Rea. In 11 appearances (10 starts) and 299 minutes, Rea has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist, but his influence goes beyond the raw numbers: 152 passes at 82% accuracy, 15 key passes, and 11 dribble attempts with 5 successful underline his role as primary chance creator. He draws fouls (6 so far) and links play effectively. The duel between Ciccarelli’s end-product and Rea’s playmaking will go a long way to deciding which side controls the attacking tempo.

Lorenzo Callegari vs Charles Auguste

In midfield, HFX Wanderers rely heavily on Lorenzo Giuseppe Callegari. Over 12 appearances and 540 minutes, he has scored 2 goals, delivered 9 key passes, and completed 467 passes at an excellent 87% accuracy. Defensively, he adds 13 tackles and 12 interceptions, making him a true two-way engine. His 4 yellow cards show he also plays on the edge in duels and pressing.

For Supra du Quebec, defender Charles Auguste is a key figure in building from the back and shoring up a leaky defence. Across 11 appearances and 348 minutes, he has 243 passes at 86% accuracy, 11 tackles and 9 interceptions, plus 4 key passes going forward. While he has yet to score, his ability to step into midfield and progress play will be tested by Callegari’s pressing and distribution. If Auguste can break HFX’s midfield line and find Rea, Supra’s attack gains a platform; if Callegari dominates this zone, the hosts will likely dictate territory.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only met once in the Canadian Premier League so far, with Supra du Quebec drawing first blood at home earlier in the campaign.

• 24 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League)

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Recent indicators tilt slightly toward HFX Wanderers FC. Over their last five matches, their form index stands at 47 with balanced attacking and defensive metrics (attack 56, defence 50), while Supra du Quebec’s recent form index is only 27, with a worrying defensive index of 13 despite similar attacking output. Supra’s last five have produced 9 goals for but 14 against, highlighting just how open their games have been.

The prediction model gives HFX Wanderers a 35% chance of victory, the draw also at 35%, and Supra du Quebec at 30%. That effectively frames this as a marginally home-favoured, highly competitive encounter. Comparison indices also lean toward the hosts: they lead in form (64 vs 36), defence (64 vs 36) and the overall total index (53.4 vs 46.6), even though attack is rated level.

HFX Wanderers’ home scoring rate (1.8 goals for and 1.8 against per home game) suggests an open contest at Wanderers Grounds, while Supra’s away numbers (1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded) reinforce the expectation of chances at both ends. Given the previous 2-1 scoreline in favour of Supra and both teams’ tendency to concede, another tight game with goals on both sides is likely. With the hosts’ slightly stronger recent form and defensive profile, they are marginally favoured to edge it.

Predicted Score: HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

HFX Wanderers FC Recent Form

HFX Wanderers’ recent form in the Canadian Premier League has been mixed but trending upward. Their longer form line shows a blend of wins, draws and losses, reflecting inconsistency but also resilience. At home, they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. They have managed 2 clean sheets across the campaign and failed to score only 3 times in 14 fixtures, indicating they usually carry attacking threat even when results are uneven.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form is more concerning. Their extended run features a sequence of defeats punctuated by occasional wins and draws, and over the last five matches they have conceded heavily. In 11 league games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 4 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9. The lack of any clean sheet so far underlines why they sit 7th and why late collapses — especially in the final 15 minutes, where a significant share of their goals against arrive — are a concern.

HFX Wanderers FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Carducci; Defenders: F. Linder, T. Meilleur-Giguère, Kareem Sow; Midfielders: L. Callegari, M. Godinho, I. Johnston, Miguel Arilla, A. Rampersad; Forwards: T. Ciccarelli, Y. Baï.

HFX Wanderers have a solid core to build around, with experienced figures like goalkeeper M. Carducci behind a defensive unit featuring F. Linder and T. Meilleur-Giguère. In midfield, the technical quality of L. Callegari and the energy of I. Johnston and Miguel Arilla provide balance between creativity and ball-winning, while M. Godinho adds work rate and defensive bite despite his high yellow-card count. Up front, the combination of the clinical T. Ciccarelli and the more seasoned Y. Baï offers both movement in behind and hold-up play. Tactical flexibility is evident from their use of 3-5-2, 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 across the season.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: [Not available]; Defenders: D. Abzi, Charles Auguste; Midfielders: Sean Rea, Alessandro Biello, R. Bey, O. Boughanmi; Forwards: [Other positions not available].

Detailed squad data for Supra du Quebec is limited, but key pieces are clear. At the back, D. Abzi and Charles Auguste provide defensive presence and ball progression, with Auguste’s 243 passes at 86% accuracy and 11 tackles highlighting his importance. In midfield, Sean Rea is the creative hub, supported by the likes of Alessandro Biello and R. Bey, both of whom bring physicality and pressing but also carry disciplinary risk due to their red-card records. O. Boughanmi adds further defensive work in midfield. Supra’s shape is likely to prioritise compactness and quick transitions to maximise Rea’s creativity and mask defensive frailties.

HFX Wanderers FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

HFX Wanderers FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back HFX Wanderers FC Draw No Bet. With a 35% win probability for HFX Wanderers, 35% for the draw and 30% for Supra, the hosts are marginally favoured, especially given stronger recent defensive indices and home advantage. The draw remains a significant runner, so a Draw No Bet angle offers protection against a stalemate while leaning into the home side’s edge.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams’ league averages point strongly toward goals: HFX Wanderers matches average 2.8 goals (18 for, 21 against in 14), while Supra du Quebec’s average is 3.3 goals (15 for, 21 against in 11). The previous head-to-head finished 2-1, and both sides’ recent five-game samples show high scoring and conceding rates. Over 1.5 goals looks a high-probability selection.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. HFX Wanderers have failed to score in only 3 of 14 league games, while Supra du Quebec have also blanked just 3 times in 11. Supra’s defence has not kept a clean sheet all season, and HFX concede 1.5 goals per match on average. With creative players like Sean Rea for Supra and attacking contributors such as Tavio Ciccarelli and Isaiah Johnston for HFX, BTTS offers appealing value if priced generously by the market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.