Forge vs Cavalry FC Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Top spot in the Canadian Premier League is on the line at Tim Hortons Field on 31 May 2026 as Forge host leaders Cavalry FC in a heavyweight Group Stage clash. With only one point separating the sides after seven matches, this feels like an early-season marker in the title race rather than just another league fixture.

Forge sit second on 16 points, boasting five wins from seven and the league’s joint-best defensive record. Cavalry FC, though, arrive as the only unbeaten team, top of the table on 17 points and with the division’s most potent attack. Stats suggest a tight, tactical battle between the league’s best defence and best attack, a pattern that has defined many recent Forge vs Cavalry FC meetings at Tim Hortons Field.

The venue adds extra spice. Tim Hortons Field has already hosted one stalemate between these sides in 2026, and with both teams firmly in the “Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)” positions, this match could shape seeding and psychological momentum for the business end of the campaign.

Forge vs Cavalry FC Key Stats

• Forge have taken 16 points from 7 league matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat) with a 9-3 goal record.
• The last meeting at Tim Hortons Field on 18 April 2026 in the Canadian Premier League finished Forge 0-0 Cavalry FC.
• Cavalry FC average 1.7 goals per game this season, while conceding just 0.4 goals per match across their 7 fixtures.

Forge vs Cavalry FC — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 1
• Points: 16 vs 17
• Goals For: 9 vs 12
• Goals Against: 3 vs 3
• Clean Sheets: Forge 5; Cavalry FC 4

The standings underline how evenly matched these sides have been in 2026. Forge’s 9 goals for and 3 against from 7 matches reflect a pragmatic, defence-first approach that has still yielded five victories. They remain unbeaten at Tim Hortons Field, with 2 wins and 1 draw at home and no goals conceded in front of their own fans.

Cavalry FC, however, have been marginally more efficient. Top of the table with 17 points, they have scored 12 and conceded just 3, and crucially are unbeaten both home and away. On the road they have 3 wins and 1 draw, with a 5-1 goal record, suggesting they are comfortable imposing their game even in hostile environments. Both teams are already well entrenched in the play-off semi-final positions, but this head-to-head could go a long way to deciding who finishes the regular campaign as the league’s benchmark side.

Forge vs Cavalry FC Key Matchups

Brian Wright vs Tobias Warschewski

Forge will look to Brian Wright as their primary goal threat. The attacker has 2 goals in 6 appearances, despite starting only 4 times and playing 214 minutes. His efficiency is notable: 7 shots, 2 on target, and a perfect penalty record with 1 spot-kick scored from 1 taken. Wright also contributes creatively with 4 key passes from 34 total passes at 76% accuracy, underlining his ability to drop in and link play.

For Cavalry FC, Tobias Warschewski is a focal point in the final third. He also has 2 goals from 6 appearances, all as a starter, logging 348 minutes. His shooting volume is higher than Wright’s, with 12 shots and 7 on target, and he adds 6 key passes from 87 total passes at 71% accuracy. Warschewski’s all-round game is backed by 55 duels contested and 21 won, plus 11 dribble attempts with 4 successful. Both forwards are penalty threats, each having scored 1 penalty, so any lapse in the box could be decisive.

Benjamin Paton vs Harrison Theodore Paton

One of the most intriguing battles is in midfield, where Forge’s Benjamin Alan Paton will likely square up against Cavalry FC’s Harrison Theodore Paton. For Forge, B. Paton has been a standout two-way presence: 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 full starts (360 minutes), 4 shots with 2 on target, and 106 passes at 80% accuracy, including 4 key passes. Defensively, he has 14 tackles and 3 interceptions, plus 22 duels won from 35 contested, making him central to Forge’s ability to break up play and launch transitions.

For Cavalry FC, H. Paton brings a similarly complete profile. In 7 appearances (5 starts, 291 minutes), he has 1 goal, 4 key passes from 126 total passes at an impressive 85% accuracy, and 10 tackles. His 40 duels with 20 won and 9 successful dribbles from 9 attempts highlight his ability to carry the ball through pressure. Discipline could be a subplot: H. Paton has picked up 2 yellow cards, while B. Paton has yet to be booked, which may influence how aggressively each can defend in midfield.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent history leans slightly towards Cavalry FC, particularly in high-stakes matches, but Forge have shown they can hold their own at Tim Hortons Field. Across the most recent clashes, there has been a mix of tight draws, narrow wins and the occasional heavy result.

• 18 April 2026: Forge 0-0 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League, Group Stage)
• 2 November 2025: Forge 0-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League, Semi-finals)
• 11 October 2025: Cavalry FC 1-1 Forge (Canadian Premier League, Regular Season - 27)
• 30 August 2025: Cavalry FC 4-1 Forge (Canadian Premier League, Regular Season - 21)
• 31 May 2025: Forge 1-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League, Regular Season - 9)

Forge vs Cavalry FC Prediction

Form and underlying numbers point to a razor-thin margin. Forge’s league form string of LWWWD masks how strong they have been defensively, especially at home, where they have yet to concede this season and have kept 5 clean sheets overall. Cavalry FC’s WWWDD run in the league, combined with their 1.7 goals per game and only 0.4 conceded, suggests a side that controls both penalty areas and rarely gets opened up.

Head-to-head patterns at Tim Hortons Field show tight contests: a 0-0 draw in April 2026, a 1-1 draw in May 2025 and a 1-0 away win for Cavalry FC in the 2025 semi-finals. The prediction metrics give Cavalry FC a slight edge with 45% for the away win and 45% for the draw, against just 10% for a Forge victory, and the advice leans towards a double chance of draw or Cavalry FC combined with a low total goals line. Expect a cagey, tactical affair with chances at a premium.

Predicted Score: Forge 1-2 Cavalry FC

Forge League Form

LWWWD

Cavalry FC League Form

WWWDD

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

D. Bertaud; D. Krutzen, D. Nimick, R. Rama, A. Batisse; A. Aromatario, B. Paton; T. Borges, Molham Babouli, N. Jensen; B. Wright.

Forge have typically alternated between a 4-2-3-1 and a 4-3-3 structure, and the personnel available suggest a similar shape here. D. Bertaud is a logical choice in goal, with a back line built around the in-form D. Nimick and the combative R. Rama. In midfield, A. Aromatario’s 186 passes at 80% accuracy and 11 tackles make him a natural screen in front of the defence, while B. Paton provides balance between ball progression and defensive work. Further forward, the creativity of T. Borges and Molham Babouli can supply B. Wright, whose penalty threat and finishing will be crucial against a tight Cavalry FC back line.

Cavalry FC Possible Starting Lineup

N. Ingham; D. Klomp, A. Didic, A. Pearlman, L. Laing; M. Baldisimo, H. Paton; S. Camargo, G. Ntignee, A. Musse; T. Warschewski.

Cavalry FC also favour a 4-2-3-1 base, with flexibility to drop into 4-4-2. At the back, D. Klomp’s 211 passes at 91% accuracy and 1 goal, alongside A. Pearlman’s 11 tackles and 3 yellow cards, underline a blend of composure and aggression. In midfield, M. Baldisimo can sit deep, freeing H. Paton to link play and break lines. The attacking band of S. Camargo, G. Ntignee and A. Musse offers creativity and dribbling threat, with Ntignee attempting 21 dribbles and Musse providing 1 assist and 7 key passes. Up front, T. Warschewski leads the line with his mix of finishing and hold-up play.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Cavalry FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Forge:

• None reported.

Cavalry FC:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Forge vs Cavalry FC

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Draw or Cavalry FC (Double Chance). With Cavalry FC given 45% for the away win and 45% for the draw against just 10% for a Forge victory, and considering Cavalry’s unbeaten record plus strong away form, the double chance on draw or Cavalry FC looks the percentage play.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Both teams concede only 0.4 goals per game on average and recent clashes at Tim Hortons Field have ended 0-0, 1-1 and 1-0. Combined with the advice leaning towards a low-goals angle, backing a relatively tight contest below the 3.5 line makes sense.
• Value Tip: Tobias Warschewski to score or assist. He has 2 goals, 6 key passes and 1 successful penalty from 6 starts, and Cavalry FC average 1.7 goals per match. In a game where the away side are marginal favourites, his direct involvement in goals offers attractive upside.

How to Watch Forge vs Cavalry FC

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.