Chattanooga vs New York RB II Prediction: Preview and Key Stats

Chattanooga welcome New York RB II to Finley Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 6 June 2026, with both sides firmly in the Eastern Conference play-off picture. The hosts are sitting on 19 points from 12 matches, while the visitors arrive as one of the conference’s pacesetters with 25 points from the same number of games. With Chattanooga currently in a play-off position and New York RB II pushing at the top end of their conference, this clash has clear implications for seeding later in the campaign.

Finley Stadium has been a relative stronghold for Chattanooga, who have taken most of their wins at home, but they face a New York RB II side that has travelled particularly well. The matchup also revives a budding rivalry that has already produced drama, including a penalty shootout in Chattanooga and a high-scoring victory for New York RB II at MSU Soccer Park. Stats suggest a tight contest, with both teams showing similar recent form and comparable attacking numbers.

Chattanooga vs New York RB II Key Stats

• Chattanooga have 19 points from 12 matches with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded in their Eastern Conference campaign.
• In their most recent meeting on 15 June 2025 in MLS Next Pro, New York RB II beat Chattanooga 5-2 at MSU Soccer Park.
• New York RB II average 2.3 goals per game this season, with 27 goals scored across 12 fixtures.

Chattanooga vs New York RB II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 2
• Points: 19 vs 25
• Goals For: 21 vs 26
• Goals Against: 21 vs 16
• Clean Sheets: Chattanooga 2, New York RB II 1

In the Eastern Conference standings, Chattanooga are ranked 7th with 19 points, sitting in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone. They have a perfectly balanced goal difference of 21 scored and 21 conceded from 12 matches, underlining how fine the margins have been in their season so far. Their home record is strong: four wins and two defeats from six, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded.

New York RB II, meanwhile, occupy 2nd place in the Eastern Conference with 25 points and a +10 goal difference, thanks to 26 goals scored and only 16 conceded. They have been particularly impressive away from home, winning four of five road games with just one defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Both teams are currently on course for the play-offs, but New York RB II’s extra cutting edge in both boxes gives them a slight statistical advantage coming into this fixture.

Chattanooga vs New York RB II Key Matchups

Chattanooga attack unit vs Shunya Sakai

With no Chattanooga player listed among the league’s top scorers or assist providers, the hosts rely on a collective attacking effort rather than a single standout star. That frontline will be tested by New York RB II defender Shunya Sakai, who appears across the top scorers, assists, yellow cards and red cards lists. Sakai has made 1 appearance this season, operating as a defender and recording 0 goals and 0 assists, but his presence across multiple statistical categories underlines his importance in the Red Bulls’ structure. Chattanooga’s ability to disrupt Sakai and his defensive colleagues will be central to breaking down a back line that has allowed just 1.5 goals per game overall.

Discipline battle: Chattanooga midfield vs Shunya Sakai

Sakai also features in the disciplinary stats, with 0 yellow and 0 red cards so far, suggesting a defender who can play aggressively without frequent bookings. Chattanooga’s midfield, which has seen the team pick up a spread of yellow and red cards across different time ranges, must avoid gifting set-piece situations against a side that thrives in structured play. If Sakai maintains his clean disciplinary record while applying pressure high up the pitch, New York RB II can control transitions and pin Chattanooga back for long spells.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have already built a competitive mini-rivalry, with one win apiece across their last two encounters in MLS Next Pro, including a dramatic penalty shootout at Finley Stadium. Both fixtures have been tight or high-scoring, hinting at another open contest.

• 15 June 2025: New York RB II 5-2 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro)
• 6 October 2024: Chattanooga 1-1 New York RB II (MLS Next Pro, Chattanooga won 7-6 on penalties)

Chattanooga vs New York RB II Prediction

Form and underlying numbers point to a finely balanced game. Chattanooga’s league form string of “LWWWL” shows they are capable of putting wins together but remain inconsistent, while New York RB II’s “WLLWW” indicates a similar 60% form over the last stretch, albeit with a slightly higher attacking ceiling. The comparison metrics rate New York RB II marginally stronger in attack and overall (59.8% vs 40.2%), and the head-to-head comparison leans heavily their way.

The prediction metrics label New York RB II as the likelier side to avoid defeat, with a double-chance angle (“Win or draw”) and equal 45% probabilities for both away win and draw, versus just 10% for a home victory. Given that the goals fields are set conservatively and both teams average close to 2 goals scored per game, a tight, low-scoring contest still feels plausible, especially with Chattanooga’s clean sheets at home and New York RB II’s solid away defence. Expect the visitors to edge the balance of play, but Chattanooga’s strong home record and previous shootout success at Finley Stadium suggest they can keep this close.

Predicted Score: Chattanooga 1-1 New York RB II

Chattanooga League Form

LWWWL

New York RB II League Form

WLLWW

Chattanooga Possible Starting Lineup

M. Barrueta; M. Hanchard, N. Koehler, T. Robertson, F. Sar-Sar; S. Louis, A. McGrath, Damien Barker John, C. Thomas; D. Mangarov, A. Garcia.

Chattanooga have a deep squad with experience at the back through players like T. Robertson and F. Sar-Sar, complemented by creative midfielders such as S. Louis and A. McGrath. In attack, options like D. Mangarov and A. Garcia provide mobility and direct running, while the presence of multiple goalkeepers, including M. Barrueta and E. Jakupović, offers flexibility between the posts. With no confirmed absences listed, the coach can rotate freely, potentially opting for an aggressive home setup to exploit their strong record at Finley Stadium.

New York RB II Possible Starting Lineup

A. Causey; J. Bazán, J. Mina, Shunya Sakai, O. Valencia; N. Benedetti, A. Jarvis, M. Morigi, N. Worth; Roald Mitchell, D. Gjengaar.

New York RB II boast a youthful but talented squad, with a large pool of defenders including Shunya Sakai and J. Bazán, and energetic midfielders such as N. Benedetti and A. Jarvis. Up front, attackers like Roald Mitchell and D. Gjengaar give them multiple options to maintain the high attacking output that has produced 27 league goals. The depth in every line allows them to sustain an intense, front-foot style, particularly effective on the road where they have already won four of five matches.

Chattanooga Team News

No significant absences reported.

New York RB II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chattanooga:

• None reported.

New York RB II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Chattanooga vs New York RB II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance – draw or New York RB II. With New York RB II rated at 45% to win and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for a Chattanooga victory, the safest angle is backing the visitors not to lose. This aligns with their strong away record and superior goal difference.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. Both teams average around 1.8–2.3 goals scored per game, but the prediction advice leans towards a more conservative total, and the goals projections are set on the lower side. With Chattanooga having two clean sheets and New York RB II one, a competitive match that stays below the higher goal lines is a reasonable play.
• Value Tip: New York RB II to score at least once. They have failed to score in none of their league fixtures, with 27 goals in 12 matches and an away average of 1.8 goals. Even if Chattanooga manage to keep it tight, the visitors’ attacking consistency makes backing them to find the net an attractive angle.

How to Watch Chattanooga vs New York RB II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.