Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Cavalry FC welcome Supra du Quebec to ATCO Field on 26 September 2026 in Canadian Premier League Group Stage action, with the hosts looking to consolidate their position at the top of the table. Cavalry have been the benchmark side this campaign, combining the league’s best defence with one of its sharpest attacks.

Supra du Quebec arrive in Calgary sitting in 6th place and fighting to stay in touch with the upper half of the standings. They have shown flashes of quality, especially going forward away from home, but inconsistency and a leaky back line have held them back. With Cavalry flying and Supra still searching for stability, this fixture shapes as a key test of whether the visitors can trouble the title favourites again after drawing 1-1 in August.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Cavalry FC lead the Canadian Premier League table with 50 points from 22 matches (15 wins, 5 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 42 and conceding only 13.
• The three meetings between these sides in 2026 have produced two Cavalry wins (1-0 and 2-1) and one draw (1-1).
• Across 22 league fixtures, Cavalry average 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 1 vs 6
• Points: 50 vs 25
• Goals For: 42 vs 31
• Goals Against: 13 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: Cavalry FC 9; Supra du Quebec 2 (tournament statistics over 22 matches)

Over 22 league games, Cavalry FC have built a dominant profile: the best defence in the competition with just 13 goals conceded, and a +29 goal difference that underlines their control at both ends. At home they are unbeaten, winning 8 and drawing 3, with 24 goals scored and only 7 allowed at ATCO Field.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, sit mid-lower table on 25 points with a negative goal difference of -7. They have lost 11 of 22 matches and conceded 38 times, the kind of defensive record that usually keeps teams out of the title conversation. Their away numbers are slightly better than at home (4 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats, 20 goals scored, 21 conceded), suggesting they can pose a threat on the counter, but they remain significantly behind Cavalry in overall consistency and defensive solidity.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

Tobias Warschewski vs Loïc Adrien Kwemi

Tobias Warschewski is one of Cavalry’s primary creative and scoring outlets. In 21 appearances (all starts), he has scored 4 goals and supplied 3 assists in 1,065 minutes, averaging strong involvement in the final third. He has taken 29 shots with 16 on target and delivered 33 key passes from 292 total passes at 80% accuracy, underlining his dual role as finisher and playmaker. His dribbling output (35 attempts, 11 successful) and 25 fouls drawn show how often he carries the ball into dangerous areas and forces defenders into mistakes.

For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi leads the line. In 20 appearances (16 starts), he has 6 goals — more than any Cavalry player listed in the top scorers block — from 28 shots (16 on target). He has also contributed 13 key passes from 246 total passes at 82% accuracy, indicating he can link play as well as finish. Kwemi’s duel numbers (126 contested, 53 won) and 19 fouls committed suggest a physical forward who battles centre-backs constantly. The clash between Warschewski’s movement and creativity and Kwemi’s penalty-box presence could decide which attack proves more efficient.

Sean Rea vs Daan Klomp

Sean Rea is Supra du Quebec’s key attacking midfielder. Across 20 appearances (19 starts), he has 2 goals and 3 assists, with 33 shots (12 on target) and an impressive 37 key passes from 512 total passes at 85% accuracy. His ability to find pockets between the lines and create chances will be crucial if Supra are to break down Cavalry’s defence.

Standing in his way is Cavalry centre-back Daan Klomp, who has been outstanding. In 21 starts and 1,139 minutes, Klomp has chipped in with 4 goals and 1 assist, but his defensive metrics are just as notable: 10 tackles, 5 blocks, 14 interceptions, and 44 duels won from 78. With 693 passes at 90% accuracy, he also initiates attacks from the back. Rea’s creativity against Klomp’s reading of the game and aerial presence is a pivotal battle in the middle third.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already met three times in the 2026 Canadian Premier League season, with Cavalry generally having the upper hand but Supra du Quebec showing they can compete.

• 09 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 29 July 2026: Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 03 May 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest Cavalry FC should control this contest. Their recent league form is excellent, with a strong run of wins and draws and just 2 defeats all campaign. Supra du Quebec are far more volatile, mixing occasional wins with frequent losses, and their defensive record away from home (21 conceded in 11) is a concern against a Cavalry side averaging 2.2 goals per game at ATCO Field.

The prediction model gives Cavalry a 50 out of 100 chance of victory, with a 50 out of 100 chance of a draw and effectively no probability assigned to a Supra win. The advice is a double chance on Cavalry or draw, reflecting the expectation that the league leaders avoid defeat. Head-to-head trends back that up: Cavalry have won two of the three meetings this year and were held only once away. Given Cavalry’s defensive strength and ability to manage games, this could be a controlled home performance rather than a high-scoring shootout.

Predicted Score: Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Cavalry FC Recent Form

Cavalry’s recent league form is excellent, with an extended sequence dominated by wins and only occasional draws and a single recent loss. They have been particularly strong at home, unbeaten in 11 with 8 victories, and have conceded very few goals over that stretch. Their last five matches across the competition show 9 goals scored and only 3 conceded, underlining a balanced, in-form side.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form is mixed and leans negative. Their current league run combines wins with multiple defeats and a draw, reflecting inconsistency. Over the last five matches, they have scored 6 and conceded 6, suggesting they can create chances but struggle to keep opponents out. That volatility makes them dangerous but also vulnerable, especially against the division’s top team.

Cavalry FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Ingham; Defenders: D. Klomp, A. Didic, E. Kobza, A. Pearlman; Midfielders: H. Paton, M. Baldisimo, S. Camargo, N. Edwards; Forwards: T. Warschewski, G. Ntignee.

Cavalry have a deep and well-balanced squad. At the back, the combination of Klomp and Didic offers aerial dominance and composure on the ball, while Pearlman and Kobza bring energy and defensive work-rate. In midfield, Paton and Baldisimo can control tempo and protect the back four, with Camargo and Edwards providing creativity. Up front, Warschewski and Ntignee give pace, dribbling and goal threat, supported by options such as A. Musse and C. Elva from the bench. Tactically, Cavalry are comfortable in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 shape, both of which they have used frequently this season.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Key players likely to feature include defenders D. Abzi, C. Auguste and M. Chretien, midfielders S. Rea, D. Choinière and A. Sissoko, and forwards L. Kwemi and I. Conde.

Supra du Quebec have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, and that flexibility should continue here. At the back, Abzi and Auguste provide width and aggression, with Chretien adding stability and strong passing from central defence. In midfield, Sissoko and Choinière can recycle possession, while Rea operates as the main creative hub. Up front, Kwemi leads the line with Conde offering secondary scoring and link play. Their best route to success is likely a compact block and quick transitions to exploit Kwemi’s movement and Rea’s passing.

Cavalry FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Cavalry FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Cavalry FC in the double chance (Cavalry or draw). The prediction model assigns 50 out of 100 to a Cavalry win and 50 out of 100 to a draw, with no implied chance for a Supra victory. Cavalry are unbeaten at home (8 wins, 3 draws in 11) and have already beaten Supra twice this season, making a home-leaning result a strong angle even without explicit odds data.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Cavalry average 1.9 goals scored per game and just 0.6 conceded, while Supra average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. All three meetings in 2026 have finished 1-0, 2-1 and 1-1, each clearing the 1.5 line. The combination of Cavalry’s attack and Supra’s defensive vulnerability supports a modest goals play.
• Value Tip: Tobias Warschewski to score or assist. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 21 appearances, with 16 shots on target and 33 key passes, and also takes on a high creative workload. Against a defence that concedes 1.7 goals per match on average, his combined goal-involvement profile offers strong value in player performance markets, even though specific prices are not listed.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.