Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atlético Ottawa welcome Supra du Quebec to TD Place Stadium on 20 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could prove pivotal at both ends of the table. Ottawa are firmly in the upper half, sitting 3rd with 34 points from 22 matches, while expansion side Supra are 7th on 22 points from 21 games and still searching for consistency.

For Atlético Ottawa, this is an opportunity to consolidate their position among the league’s frontrunners and edge closer to the top two. With one of the stronger home records in the division, they will expect to impose themselves again in front of their own fans. Supra du Quebec, by contrast, are trying to halt a worrying slide; they have lost more than half of their league games and own one of the leakiest defences in the competition.

Recent meetings between these sides have been wild and high-scoring, which will attract interest from Canadian Premier League betting fans looking for value on goals markets as well as match result options. Stats suggest another open encounter is on the cards, with both teams averaging more than 1.4 goals scored per game but also conceding heavily.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 34 points from 22 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 8 losses), scoring 34 and conceding 37.
• In their last five head-to-head meetings in 2026 across league and cup, there has not been a single clean sheet for Supra du Quebec.
• Season statistics show Atlético Ottawa average 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 7
• Points: 34 vs 22
• Goals For: 34 vs 29
• Goals Against: 37 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: 4 vs 1

The standings underline the gap between these sides. Atlético Ottawa have taken 34 points from 22 matches and boast a positive win record, with 10 victories. Their goal difference is slightly negative at -3, but that is largely down to some heavy away defeats; at home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and just 1 loss, scoring 21 and conceding 13 in 11 matches.

Supra du Quebec sit 7th with 22 points from 21 games and a -9 goal difference. They have 6 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats, with their defence a clear concern: 38 goals conceded at an average of 1.8 per game. Away from home, Supra’s record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses (18 scored, 21 conceded), showing they can be dangerous going forward but are vulnerable at the back. Ottawa’s superior clean sheet tally (4 vs 1) and stronger home numbers tilt the balance toward the hosts.

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

B. Tabla vs L. Kwemi

Atlético Ottawa’s attacking focal point is Ballou Tabla. The 26-year-old attacker has 5 goals and 1 assist in 22 appearances, with 21 starts and 957 minutes played. His output is efficient: 19 shots with 13 on target, plus 9 key passes from 278 total passes at 85% accuracy. He also draws plenty of fouls (25) and has attempted 26 dribbles, succeeding 12 times, underlining his ability to destabilise defences one-on-one.

For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi mirrors Tabla’s goal threat. Kwemi has also scored 5 goals in 19 appearances (15 starts, 714 minutes) and added significant all-round contribution: 22 shots (11 on target), 210 passes at 81% accuracy, and 13 key passes. Defensively and in duels he is heavily involved, with 107 duels and 45 won, plus 15 tackles and 4 interceptions. This matchup pits Ottawa’s most direct attacker against Supra’s all-action forward; whichever of Tabla or Kwemi is more clinical could swing the result.

N. Fleuriau Chateau vs D. Choinière

Another intriguing battle features Ottawa’s Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau against Supra playmaker David Choinière. Fleuriau Chateau has been highly productive in limited minutes: 3 goals and 2 assists in just 9 appearances (7 starts, 368 minutes). He has 14 shots (6 on target) and 3 key passes from 38 total passes, plus a respectable 7 defensive actions (3 tackles, 2 blocks). His dual role as scorer and creator makes him a key secondary threat behind Tabla.

Choinière, meanwhile, is Supra’s leading creator from midfield, with 4 assists in 20 appearances (16 starts, 803 minutes). He has 19 key passes from 305 total passes at 86% accuracy, and contributes defensively with 9 tackles and 5 interceptions. His ability to find pockets between the lines and supply Kwemi and I. Conde will be crucial if Supra are to unlock an Ottawa side that can sometimes switch off defensively.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already produced a compelling mini-rivalry in 2026, with high-scoring matches and momentum swings in both league and Canadian Championship action.

• 16 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)
• 11 August 2026: Atlético Ottawa 3-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Championship)
• 8 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 3-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Championship)
• 9 June 2026: Atlético Ottawa 5-3 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 19 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Atlético Ottawa (Canadian Premier League)

Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

All indicators point toward an open, attacking game. Ottawa’s home form is strong and they have already beaten Supra twice in league play this year (5-3 and 2-1), while Supra have shown they can hurt Ottawa in transition, notably in the 3-1 Canadian Championship win and the 3-3 thriller at TD Place.

Prediction metrics give Atlético Ottawa a clear edge but leave room for a competitive contest: the win probability is around 45 out of 100 for the hosts, 45 out of 100 for the draw and just 10 out of 100 for an away win. Comparison indices also favour Ottawa in form, attack and defence. Given Ottawa’s 21 goals scored in 11 home league matches (1.9 per game) and Supra’s 21 conceded in 10 away matches (2.1 per game), the hosts should create plenty. However, Ottawa concede 1.7 per match overall and Supra score 1.8 away, so a clean sheet for the home side is far from guaranteed.

Predicted Score: Atlético Ottawa 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Atlético Ottawa Recent Form

In recent Canadian Premier League outings, Atlético Ottawa have been inconsistent but generally positive, with their latest five-match sequence reading LDWLW. That pattern reflects a side capable of strong performances but still prone to occasional lapses, especially away from home. At TD Place, however, their form is much more reliable, with only one league defeat in 11 home fixtures.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent form has been more troubling. Their last five league results read LLWDL, highlighting defensive frailty and difficulty in stringing together results. They do, however, retain an attacking threat, as shown by their ability to score in four of those five games, including against Ottawa themselves.

Atlético Ottawa Possible Starting Lineup

GK: T. Crampton; Defenders: J. Dunn-Johnson, Sergei Kozlovskiy, W. Timóteo, Rony Mbomio; Midfielders: M. Aparicio, D. Gutiérrez, G. Antinoro, K. Habibullah; Forwards: B. Tabla, N. Fleuriau Chateau.

Atlético Ottawa have used a variety of shapes this season, including 3-4-3, 4-4-2 and 4-2-3-1, but the available squad suggests a flexible back four with a technical midfield anchored by Aparicio and Gutiérrez. Antinoro and Habibullah offer creativity between the lines, while Tabla and Fleuriau Chateau provide pace and end product up front. With several young defenders such as Kozlovskiy and Coulanges gaining minutes, Ottawa can shift between a back three and back four in-game.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: (not listed); Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien; Midfielders: Alessandro Biello, A. Sissoko, D. Choinière, S. Rea; Forwards: L. Kwemi, I. Conde, R. Bey.

Squad data for Supra du Quebec is incomplete, but their season statistics show a preference for a 4-2-3-1 structure. In that shape, Auguste and Chretien form the core of the back line, with Abzi offering width and attacking thrust from full-back. Biello and Sissoko can operate as a double pivot, providing ball progression and defensive cover, while Choinière and Rea are the chief creators in advanced midfield roles. Kwemi and Conde headline the attack, with Bey an option either wide or centrally. This setup is designed to maximise their creative midfielders but can leave space in transition, which Ottawa’s attackers will look to exploit.

Atlético Ottawa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlético Ottawa:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Below are three angles for bettors to consider, based strictly on the statistical profile and prediction data available.

• Result Tip: Back Atlético Ottawa Draw No Bet. With around 45 out of 100 implied probability for a home win and only 10 out of 100 for an away victory, plus Ottawa’s excellent home record (7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss), siding with the hosts while covering the draw looks the most sensible result angle.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Ottawa’s league matches average 3.1 total goals (34 for, 37 against in 22), while Supra’s average 3.2 (29 for, 38 against in 21). All five H2H meetings listed produced at least 2 goals, and three of them saw 4 or more (5-3, 3-1, 3-3). The attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides support a high-scoring game.
• Value Tip: Anytime goalscorer – B. Tabla. With 5 goals and 1 assist from 22 appearances, 13 shots on target, and a key role in Ottawa’s attack, Tabla is central to everything the hosts do in the final third. His dribbling volume and foul-winning ability also increase the likelihood of chances and penalties, making him an appealing value pick in player goal markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.