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Ventura County vs The Town Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County welcome The Town back to Dignity Health Sports Park on 25 July 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, in what is fast becoming one of the most compelling matchups in the Pacific Division. With both sides firmly in the promotion picture, this clash could have major implications for playoff seeding later in the campaign.

The standings underline how tight it is at the top. Ventura County sit 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches, while The Town are just behind in 4th on 28 points from 17 games. Ventura County have been ruthless at home with 6 wins from 10, but The Town bring one of the most dangerous attacks in the conference and a strong recent record in this fixture.

Beyond the divisional battle, this is also a statement opportunity. Ventura County are pushing to solidify their place in the upper reaches of MLS Next Pro, while The Town know that another positive result away to this opponent would reinforce their credentials as one of the league’s most explosive, if inconsistent, sides.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Stats

  • Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 32 points from 19 matches, scoring 34 and conceding 27 in that span.
  • The Town have dominated the recent head-to-head at Dignity Health Sports Park, winning 3-1 there on 2 May 2026 and 4-0 on 22 September 2025.
  • In 2026 MLS Next Pro statistics, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Ventura County vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 2 vs 4 (Pacific Division)
  • Points: 32 vs 28
  • Goals For: 34 vs 37
  • Goals Against: 27 vs 20
  • Clean Sheets: Ventura County 5 vs The Town 2 (2026 MLS Next Pro statistics)

The table paints a picture of two sides with similar overall quality but different profiles. Ventura County have 11 wins and 8 defeats from 19 matches, with no draws, reflecting a high-variance, front-foot approach. They have scored 34 and conceded 27, giving them a +7 goal difference.

The Town, meanwhile, have played two games fewer but are only four points back, with 9 wins and 8 losses from 17. Their +17 goal difference (37 scored, 20 conceded) is significantly stronger, underpinned by a prolific attack and a defence that, while solid overall, has been more vulnerable away from home (16 conceded in 9 road games). On raw numbers, The Town look slightly more efficient at both ends, even if Ventura County hold the higher position and home advantage.

Ventura County vs The Town Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs The Town attack

With no individual top scorers or assist leaders listed, this matchup is best framed as unit versus unit. Ventura County’s 2026 statistics show 37 goals in 19 matches across all venues, averaging 1.9 per game, with 2.1 on home turf. They rarely fail to score (only once in 19), and their biggest home win has been 4-2, underlining their ability to put multiple goals past visiting defences.

The Town’s front line, however, is even more explosive. They have 38 goals from just 17 matches, an average of 2.2 per game, and a remarkable 2.5 per match at home. Even away, they still average 2.0 goals. Their biggest wins include 6-1 at home and 4-1 away, and they have repeatedly cut through Ventura County’s back line in recent meetings, scoring 3 or more in four of the last five clashes. Whichever attack imposes itself more consistently is likely to decide this fixture.

Ventura County defence vs The Town defence

Defensively, Ventura County’s 2026 numbers are middling: 29 goals conceded in 19 matches (1.5 per game), with 1.5 at home. They have managed 5 clean sheets but can be opened up, particularly after half-time, where a significant share of goals conceded arrives between minutes 46 and 75.

The Town boast a stronger overall defensive record with 22 conceded in 17 (1.3 per match). At home they are particularly tight, allowing just 6 goals in 8 games (0.8 per match), but away from home that figure jumps to 16 conceded in 9 (1.8 per game). That away vulnerability gives Ventura County a clear target, but The Town’s defensive unit still compares slightly better on season-long data.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have built a rich recent history in MLS Next Pro, with The Town generally enjoying the upper hand, especially in high-scoring contests. The pattern has often been The Town’s attack overwhelming Ventura County’s defence, though there have been a couple of notable exceptions.

  • 2 May 2026: Ventura County 1-3 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Group Stage)
  • 22 September 2025: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 37)
  • 16 August 2025: The Town 4-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 30)
  • 30 June 2025: The Town 1-1 Ventura County, The Town won 4-3 on penalties (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 21)
  • 29 July 2024: Ventura County 0-4 The Town (MLS Next Pro, Regular Season - 27)

Ventura County vs The Town Prediction

Stats suggest a finely poised contest, but with a tilt toward The Town. The prediction model gives Ventura County only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an away win rated at 45% each. That reflects The Town’s superior goal difference, their historical dominance in this fixture, and their ability to score freely home and away.

At the same time, Ventura County’s recent form is strong — 60 out of 100 in the last five, with 11 goals scored and 7 conceded — and they remain a dangerous home side with 6 wins from 10. The Town’s last-five form index sits at 40 out of 100, and their away defence can be leaky. All this points towards a competitive, open game where Ventura County are more likely to contribute to the scoring than to control proceedings.

Given the absence of reliable goal-line score projections (the goals fields are threshold-based rather than exact), a conservative angle is appropriate. With both teams averaging over 1.5 goals scored per match and the H2H trend favouring The Town, an entertaining draw or narrow away win looks the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 1-2 The Town

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent form in MLS Next Pro is mixed but generally positive. Their standings form string reads WLWLOW, reflecting three wins and three losses in their last six, with no draws. Over the broader 2026 campaign they have 11 wins and 8 defeats from 19, and their last-five form index sits at 60 out of 100, backed by 11 goals scored and 7 conceded in that span. They tend to play high-risk, high-reward football, rarely settling for a point.

The Town Recent Form

The Town come into this fixture with a slightly more inconsistent recent pattern. Their standings form is LLWWL over the last five in the Pacific Division, indicating three losses and two wins. Overall in 2026 they have 9 wins and 8 defeats from 17, again with no draws. Their last-five form index is 40 out of 100, but they have still managed 11 goals scored and 8 conceded in those matches, underlining that even in defeat they remain an attacking threat.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no official lineup data provided for this specific fixture, a projected selection must be built around known squad members rather than a fixed XI. Key options include:

Goalkeepers: S. Conlon; B. Scott; W. Walker.
Defenders: R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, E. Martinez, M. McLean, Harbor Miller, Pepe, C. Rindov.
Midfielders: G. Arnold, T. Elgersma, V. Garcia, C. Gozdieski, Tucker Lepley, I. Parente, B. Phan, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney, A. Vilamitjana.
Forwards: O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios, Maximus Steelman.

Ventura County have ample depth in midfield and attack, with a large pool of young forwards such as O. Aina, I. Luna and Maximus Steelman. That suggests a flexible, attack-minded setup, likely in a shape that allows multiple forwards and advanced midfielders to rotate. With no injuries listed, the coaching staff should have the full squad available to tailor their approach against The Town’s potent attack.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

Similarly, The Town’s likely lineup can only be sketched from the squad list:

Goalkeepers: M. Avalos, N. Crockford, M. Gomez, C. Lambe, Francesco Montali, A. Sanchez.
Defenders: A. Cano, N. Dossmann, M. Floriani, J. Heisner, Jack Jasinski, A. Ling.
Midfielders: Z. Bohane, W. Boyce, G. Bracken Serra, N. Buck, N. Fernandez, D. Lorenti, E. Mendoza, Nikko Perez, R. Rajagopal, K. Spivey.
Forwards: N. Adimabua, T. Allen, D. Baptista, R. Castro, J. Donnery, Jayden Fitzgerald Boes, Y. Kikuchi, M. Kwende, J. Spivey, S. de Flores.

The Town’s squad is stacked with attacking options, from experienced forwards like N. Adimabua and R. Castro to younger talents such as Y. Kikuchi and J. Spivey. Coupled with a deep midfield group including players like N. Buck and N. Fernandez, they have the tools to maintain their high-scoring identity. Expect a front-foot system that looks to exploit Ventura County’s tendency to concede in the middle and late phases of games.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

  • None reported.

The Town:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs The Town

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this MLS Next Pro clash:

  • Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or The Town. With The Town rated at 45% to win and the draw also at 45%, versus just 10% for a Ventura County victory, the safest result-based angle follows the prediction advice of “combo double chance: draw or The Town and +1.5 goals”. The away side’s superior goal difference and dominant recent H2H record justify siding against a home win.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average well above 1.5 goals scored per match (Ventura County 1.9, The Town 2.2), and their defensive records suggest they are unlikely to keep things tight for 90 minutes. Recent meetings have produced scorelines such as 3-1, 4-0 and 4-1, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals. The model’s guidance explicitly highlights “+1.5 goals” as the preferred total.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS). Ventura County have failed to score in only 1 of 19 matches this season, while The Town have failed to score in 4 of 17 but generally find the net even in defeat. The Town’s away defence concedes 1.8 goals per game, and Ventura County’s overall concession rate is 1.5 per match. In a fixture where both attacks are the strength and both defences show vulnerability, BTTS offers attractive value as a goals-based side market.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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