Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Match Preview and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome early pace-setters Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 5 July 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal at both ends of the table. For the hosts, this is about proving they can live with the division’s benchmark side; for Forge, it is another opportunity to underline their title credentials and maintain control at the top.

Supra sit 6th with 11 points from 9 matches, hovering in the lower half and still searching for consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with a goal difference of -1 (13 scored, 14 conceded), captures a team that is competitive but fragile, particularly against the stronger sides. At home they have been solid enough – 2 wins from 5 – but this is a step up in class.

Forge arrive as clear frontrunners: 1st place, 28 points from 11 fixtures, 9 wins, 1 draw and just a single defeat. They have combined the league’s best defensive record (only 6 conceded) with a steady attacking output of 18 goals. With recent form strongly in their favour and the previous head-to-head meeting already won, this matchup between Supra du Quebec and Forge looks like one of the standout Canadian Premier League fixtures of the weekend.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec are 6th with 11 points from 9 matches, while Forge top the Canadian Premier League with 28 points from 11.
• The only previous meeting this season ended Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec on 13 May 2026 at Tim Hortons Field.
• Season statistics show Forge have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 league matches, while Supra du Quebec have yet to record a single clean sheet.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 11 vs 28
• Goals For: 13 vs 18
• Goals Against: 14 vs 6
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 7

Across 9 matches, Supra du Quebec have been competitive but inconsistent. Their 13 goals scored (1.4 per game) show they can hurt teams, yet 14 conceded (1.6 per game) and a negative goal difference underline why they are stuck in mid-table. At CEPSUM Stadium they have a balanced record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5, which suggests home advantage alone may not bridge the gap to the league leaders.

Forge, by contrast, have put together an elite profile over 11 games. With 18 goals scored (1.6 per match) and only 6 conceded (0.5 per match), they boast both the division’s tightest defence and one of its most efficient attacks. Unbeaten at home and with 4 wins from 5 away fixtures (10 scored, 4 conceded), they travel confidently. The standings context is clear: Supra are chasing stability and a push towards the top half, while Forge are defending their status as the team to beat.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

Sean Rea vs Brian Wright

Sean Rea has been one of Supra du Quebec’s standout creative forces. In 9 appearances (8 starts) he has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in just 209 minutes, backed by an impressive rating of 7.47. His playmaking numbers are strong: 115 passes with 10 key passes and 81% accuracy highlight his ability to link play and unlock defences. With 4 shots (2 on target) and 3 successful dribbles from 5 attempts, Rea offers both end product and ball progression from midfield.

For Forge, Brian Wright leads the line as a physical and direct attacking threat. Across 10 appearances (6 starts) he has 2 goals, including 1 from the penalty spot, from 7 shots (2 on target). He has also chipped in with 4 key passes from 34 total passes, showing he can combine as well as finish. Wright’s 26 duels contested, with 11 won, underline his role as a focal point in the final third. This matchup pits Supra’s primary creator against Forge’s main finisher; if Rea can find pockets of space and supply his forwards, Supra have a chance to trouble Forge’s back line, but Wright’s efficiency in a disciplined, low-conceding side makes him a constant danger at the other end.

Diyaeddine Abzi vs Alessandro Aromatario

On the flanks and in midfield, discipline and defensive work will be crucial. For Supra du Quebec, defender Diyaeddine Abzi has featured 7 times (5 starts), logging 137 minutes with a solid 6.93 rating. He has completed 110 passes at 88% accuracy, attempted 7 dribbles (3 successful) and contributed 5 tackles and 2 interceptions. However, his aggressive style is reflected in 5 yellow cards, making him one of the league’s most frequently booked players.

Forge’s midfield anchor Alessandro Aromatario provides a contrasting but equally combative presence. In 10 starts and 360 minutes, he has amassed 186 passes at 80% accuracy, 11 tackles and 12 interceptions, along with 46 duels contested and 27 won. He has also drawn 9 fouls while committing 7, picking up 5 yellow cards along the way. This duel between Abzi and Aromatario, both high-volume passers and heavy on defensive actions, could shape the tempo and physicality of the game. If Aromatario controls the central spaces, Forge’s structure will be hard to break; if Abzi can surge forward effectively without disciplinary lapses, Supra may find joy down the flank.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met only once in the current Canadian Premier League campaign, with Forge edging a tight contest at home. That result offers a small but telling sample of how this matchup can play out: Forge controlling key moments and Supra struggling to break down an organised defence.

• 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

Stats suggest Forge come into this fixture as strong favourites. Their recent record is outstanding, with a long run of wins punctuated by just one defeat, while Supra du Quebec’s form has been mixed. The predictive metrics give Supra only a 10% chance of victory, with the draw and a Forge win each rated at 45%. That effectively frames this as “Forge not to lose”, which aligns with the away side’s dominant defensive numbers and their ability to manage tight games, as seen in the 1-0 win on 13 May.

Supra’s attacking averages (1.4 goals scored per match) indicate they can create chances, and at home they should be more proactive than in the reverse fixture. However, Forge concede just 0.5 goals per game and have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 league outings, suggesting they are well-equipped to absorb pressure and strike on transitions, especially with Wright and their mobile attacking unit. Given the relatively high draw probability and Forge’s strong “win or draw” profile, another cagey, low-scoring contest looks likely.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

LDWDL

Forge Recent Form

WWWWL

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK; Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste; Midfielders: S. Rea, D. Choinière, A. Sissoko, S. Mlah, O. Boughanmi; Forwards: —

With no full squad list available, Supra du Quebec’s likely core will revolve around their known contributors. Sean Rea and David Choinière should be central to their creative play in midfield, supported by the defensive work of Aboubacar Sissoko and Charles Auguste. Diyaeddine Abzi offers width and overlapping runs from the back, while Safwane Mlah and O. Boughanmi provide additional energy and ball progression. Tactically, Supra are likely to line up in a shape that protects their vulnerable defence (no clean sheets so far) while trying to feed Rea between the lines.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Bertaud; Defenders: A. Batisse, D. Krutzen, D. Nimick, R. Rama; Midfielders: A. Aromatario, K. Bekker, B. Paton, Molham Babouli; Forwards: T. Borges, B. Wright

Forge’s squad depth is clear from their complete player list and season statistics. They have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 across 4 recorded lineups, and a similar structure is likely here. Alessandro Aromatario anchors midfield with his tackling and interceptions, while veteran Kyle Bekker and Benjamin Paton offer passing range and box-to-box running. Out wide and up front, the likes of Tristan Borges and Brian Wright give Forge both creativity and a penalty-box presence. Their defensive unit, which has conceded just 6 goals in 11 games and produced 7 clean sheets, is built around experienced centre-backs such as Daniel Krutzen and colleagues, with full-backs like Rezart Rama adding width.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Forge:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back Forge in the double chance (Forge or Draw). Predictive probabilities rate Supra at just 10% to win, with both the draw and Forge win at 45%. Forge are top of the table with 9 wins from 11 and only 1 defeat, while Supra have lost 4 of 9 and already fell 1-0 in the reverse fixture. Even without specific prices available, this is the most data-backed angle.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Supra average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, but Forge’s defensive strength is the key: just 6 goals conceded in 11 games and 7 clean sheets. The previous meeting finished 1-0 to Forge, and with a high draw probability and both sides’ under/over profiles leaning towards tighter scorelines, a low-scoring contest is more likely than a shootout.
• Value Tip: Card-focused angle on Diyaeddine Abzi or Alessandro Aromatario to be booked (where available). Abzi has collected 5 yellow cards in just 7 appearances, while Aromatario has 5 yellows in 10 matches, both ranking among the league’s top carded players. In a physically intense midfield battle, targeting one of these high-card candidates can offer value in the player cards market, subject to bookmaker pricing.

How to Watch Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Broadcast rights vary by region; check local listings or the official tournament website for details.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.