St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

St. Louis City II welcome Portland Timbers II to CITYPARK on 18 July 2026 in a high-stakes MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash between two sides firmly in the playoff picture. The hosts sit on 29 points, while the visitors arrive as one of the Western Conference pace-setters with 34 points and the best record in the Pacific Division.

St. Louis City II have been wildly inconsistent, winning 10 and losing 8 of their 18 matches with no draws, and carrying a negative goal difference despite a strong home record. Portland Timbers II, by contrast, have been more balanced defensively and ruthless on the road, winning seven of nine away fixtures. With both teams tracking toward the MLS Next Pro play-offs, this meeting could have major implications for seeding and momentum.

Recent MLS Next Pro predictions and betting interest around this fixture focus heavily on whether St. Louis’ attacking output at CITYPARK can overcome Portland’s away resilience and superior clean-sheet numbers. With the market and the prediction models both shading towards the visitors or a draw, this looks like one of the standout Group Stage matches on the schedule.

St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II Key Stats

• St. Louis City II have taken 29 points from 18 matches (10 wins, 8 losses) but carry a -1 goal difference (29 scored, 30 conceded) in the Eastern Conference standings.
• Across the last five head-to-head meetings listed, St. Louis City II have won four times in regulation, with Portland Timbers II winning once.
• Season statistics show St. Louis City II averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Portland Timbers II average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, with the visitors keeping 9 clean sheets compared to St. Louis’ 4.

St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 4 vs 1
• Points: 29 vs 34
• Goals For: 29 vs 23
• Goals Against: 30 vs 22
• Clean Sheets: St. Louis City II 4; Portland Timbers II 9

In the divisional tables, St. Louis City II are 4th in the Frontier Division with 29 points from 18 games, while Portland Timbers II top the Pacific Division on 34 points from the same number of fixtures. Both also sit strongly in the overall Eastern Conference picture, with St. Louis City II 7th and Portland Timbers II 3rd, each currently in a play-off qualifying position.

St. Louis have scored more goals overall (29 vs 23) but have also conceded more (30 vs 22), underlining their high-variance profile. Portland’s superior goal difference (+1 vs -1) is built on a tighter defensive structure and a remarkable 7 wins from 9 away games, conceding just 9 times on the road. St. Louis’ home record (6 wins, 2 losses, 16 scored, 11 conceded) suggests they are dangerous at CITYPARK, but Portland’s away form and clean-sheet numbers give them a clear statistical edge.

St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II Key Matchups

St. Louis City II attack vs Colin Griffith

Player-level attacking data is limited for St. Louis City II, but team metrics show a potent offense at home, averaging 2.3 goals per match at CITYPARK. They have recorded a biggest home win of 4-0 and reached four goals in a game, underlining their ability to overwhelm visiting defenses.

For Portland Timbers II, Colin Griffith stands out across multiple statistical leaderboards. He appears as the top-ranked player in goals, assists, yellow cards, and red cards lists for the 2026 MLS Next Pro season, even though his raw output so far is modest: 1 appearance, no goals and no assists, and no cards. His prominence in those rankings suggests he is a central attacking figure for Portland II, operating as a forward and likely to be a focal point in transition and penalty-box actions, even if the scoring impact has yet to show in the numbers.

Portland Timbers II defensive unit vs St. Louis City II late-game phases

Portland Timbers II’s defensive statistics point to a disciplined unit, especially away from home: just 9 goals conceded in 9 away matches (1.0 per game) and 7 away clean sheets. Overall, they have 9 clean sheets in 18 matches, a very strong ratio in MLS Next Pro. Their goals-against averages (1.4 per match overall) and a biggest away defeat of 5-0 show that while the occasional collapse is possible, they are usually compact.

St. Louis City II, meanwhile, tend to score in bursts across multiple phases, with a strong presence in the 46–60 and 76–90 minute windows. They average 1.8 goals per match and have only failed to score three times in 18 outings. This matchup between Portland’s structured defense and St. Louis’ multi-phase attacking threat—especially at CITYPARK—will go a long way to deciding the result.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have built a lively rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with high-scoring encounters and a clear home advantage trend for St. Louis at CITYPARK.

• 05 October 2025: Portland Timbers II 2-1 St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro)
• 24 May 2025: St. Louis City II 6-3 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro)
• 07 April 2024: St. Louis City II 1-1 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro, St. Louis won 5-3 on penalties)
• 19 August 2023: St. Louis City II 4-1 Portland Timbers II (MLS Next Pro)
• 26 May 2023: Portland Timbers II 1-2 St. Louis City II (MLS Next Pro)

St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II Prediction

Recent trends suggest a clash of styles. St. Louis City II are high-scoring but fragile: 29 goals for and 30 against in 18 matches, no draws, and a recent form line in the standings described by a run of defeats punctuated by wins. Their last-five record in the prediction block (5 scored, 13 conceded) underlines defensive issues.

Portland Timbers II come in with better recent form (60 out of 100 in the last-five form index, 8 scored and 7 conceded) and a more balanced profile. The comparison model gives them clear edges in form (75 vs 25), attack (62 vs 38), and defense (65 vs 35), while the overall comparison index is close but still leans Portland’s way (52.8 vs 47.2). The prediction probabilities allocate 10% to a St. Louis win, 45% to a draw, and 45% to a Portland victory, and the recommended angle is “double chance: draw or Portland Timbers II.”

Given Portland’s outstanding away record (7 wins, 2 losses) and nine clean sheets, they look well-equipped to contain St. Louis’ attack and at least avoid defeat. However, St. Louis’ strong home scoring numbers and their historically good record at CITYPARK against Portland suggest the visitors may not have this all their own way. A tight, tactical contest with limited margin for error is likely.

Predicted Score: St. Louis City II 1-1 Portland Timbers II

St. Louis City II Recent Form

In the standings, St. Louis City II’s recent form string is “LLLLWO”, reflecting a rough patch with a sequence of defeats before a win and another setback. Over 18 matches they have 10 wins and 8 losses with no draws, underscoring their boom-or-bust nature. Their recent five-game sample in the prediction data shows just 5 goals scored and 13 conceded, indicating a side struggling defensively despite maintaining some attacking threat.

Portland Timbers II Recent Form

Portland Timbers II’s standings form reads “WOWLWL”, again a mixed pattern but with more wins and fewer collapses than their hosts. Across 18 fixtures they have 11 wins and 7 losses, and their last-five form index is 60 out of 100, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. They have been particularly strong away from home, winning seven of nine road games and conceding only 9 goals in those matches.

St. Louis City II Possible Starting Lineup

With no specific lineup data for this fixture, the focus is on key squad options rather than an exact XI. In goal, options include B. Lundt and P. Francis. Defensively, St. Louis City II can call on experienced figures like L. MacNaughton and K. Hiebert, alongside younger defenders such as F. Fall, M. Fall, and S. Paris.

In midfield, creative and controlling options include E. Löwen and T. Ostrák, supported by younger players like M. Perez, J. Wagoner, and C. Pearson. In attack, the club has a deep pool of forwards: Jeong Sang-Bin, C. Forcellini, P. Ault, Brendan McSorley, and several promising teenagers such as L. Cornelius and S. Marion.

Given their attacking numbers—1.8 goals per match and a biggest home win of 4-0—St. Louis are likely to set up on the front foot at CITYPARK, leaning on their experienced central defenders and midfielders to balance an aggressive forward line. Without injury information, there are no confirmed absences to adjust this outlook.

Portland Timbers II Possible Starting Lineup

Portland Timbers II also have a large squad to choose from. In goal, H. Sulte and S. Joseph are among the senior options. The defensive unit features players such as B. Alex, C. Ferguson, N. Lund, Charles Ondo, and M. Nystrom, forming the backbone of a side that has kept 9 clean sheets in 18 matches.

In midfield, Portland can utilise the likes of Lucas Fernandez-Kim, V. Enriquez, E. Izoita, J. Izoita, M. Kissel, and N. Zendejas to provide energy and control. Up front, the attacking group includes Colin Griffith, Andrew Guerra, B. Barjolo, Daniel Xavier Cervantes Michel, N. Santos, D. White, and D. Nunez.

The tactical profile points to a compact, counter-attacking setup away from home, leveraging their strong defensive record and the pace and movement of forwards like Colin Griffith and Andrew Guerra. Their away form—7 wins and 7 clean sheets—suggests they will be confident of frustrating St. Louis and exploiting transitions.

St. Louis City II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Portland Timbers II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

St. Louis City II:

• None reported.

Portland Timbers II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: St. Louis City II vs Portland Timbers II

Below are three data-backed betting angles for this MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash.

• Result Tip: Double chance – Portland Timbers II or Draw. With win probabilities split at 10% for St. Louis City II, 45% for the draw, and 45% for Portland Timbers II, plus the visitors’ superior form and outstanding away record, backing Portland to avoid defeat aligns with both the probabilities and recent trends.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. St. Louis City II average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Portland Timbers II average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Despite some historically high-scoring H2H matches, current-season under/over patterns are conservative: St. Louis have gone over 3.5 goals in only 1 of 18 league fixtures, and Portland in 3 of 18. That strongly supports a lower-scoring contest.
• Value Tip: Both teams to score – Yes. While Portland’s clean-sheet numbers are impressive, St. Louis have failed to score in only 3 of 18 matches and average 2.3 goals at home. Portland themselves score 1.3 goals per game away and have attacking depth with forwards like Colin Griffith and Andrew Guerra. In a matchup of a strong home attack against a confident away side, BTTS offers potential value if priced attractively by bookmakers.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.