Premier League 2026/27: Who Will Be the Next Manager to Leave?
Premier League 2026/27: Odds on the Next Manager to Lose Their Job
As the 2026/27 Premier League season approaches, speculation grows about which manager might be the first to depart. With nine teams entering the season under new leadership and Eddie Howe's recent exit from Newcastle, the pressure is tangible across the division.
Managers at newly promoted clubs often face intense scrutiny given their tight margins for error. Meanwhile, some managers at bigger clubs with heavy summer spending could find themselves vulnerable if results don't match expectations. The odds below provide a snapshot of the early betting landscape on who might be the next Premier League boss to be sacked.
Leading Candidates for the First Sack
- Sergej Jakirovic: Odds 1/1, Decimal 2.00, Implied Probability 50.0%
- Frank Lampard: Odds 3/1, Decimal 4.00, Implied Probability 25.0%
- Gary O’Neil: Odds 4/1, Decimal 5.00, Implied Probability 20.0%
- Roberto De Zerbi: Odds 8/1, Decimal 9.00, Implied Probability 11.1%
These theoretical odds were compiled by Oddspedia as no live bookmaker markets are available yet.
Recent Managerial Changes
- Eddie Howe left Newcastle United in July 2026 after nearly five years.
- Oliver Glasner took over at Nottingham Forest following Vitor Pereira’s departure in July 2026.
- Enzo Maresca was confirmed as Manchester City’s new manager in July 2026, replacing Pep Guardiola.
Profiles of Key Managers Under Pressure
Jakirovic leads the odds after securing Hull City’s promotion back to the Premier League. Despite this achievement, Hull faces a tough challenge among relegation favorites with one of the league’s smallest budgets. Any injury setbacks or poor form could quickly increase pressure on him.
Lampard, at Coventry City, benefits from a long-term contract until 2029 and the goodwill earned through promotion. Still, Coventry is expected to battle near the bottom and compete against wealthier teams. A slow start may erode that security.
O’Neil takes charge of Ipswich Town as they return to the top flight. Without the established credit of his predecessor, Kieran McKenna, results will be closely watched. Ipswich is anticipated to fight relegation, so early losses could put O’Neil in jeopardy.
De Zerbi begins his first full season managing Tottenham Hotspur after a big summer spending spree. Expectations for European qualification are high, and while some adjustment time is expected, failure to translate good performances into points might shorten his leash.
Longshot to Watch
- Keith Andrews: 16/1 odds highlight Brentford’s recent stability but suggest a poor start could quickly raise concerns despite last season's strong showing.
Expanded Odds List for 2026/27 Season
- Sergej Jakirovic: 1/1 (2.00), 50.0%
- Frank Lampard: 3/1 (4.00), 25.0%
- Gary O’Neil: 4/1 (5.00), 20.0%
- Roberto De Zerbi: 8/1 (9.00), 11.1%
- Oliver Glasner: 12/1 (13.00), 7.7%
- Daniel Farke: 14/1 (15.00), 6.7%
- Keith Andrews: 16/1 (17.00), 5.9%
- Regis Le Bris: 20/1 (21.00), 4.8%
- Michael Carrick: 25/1 (26.00), 3.8%
- Fabian Hurzeler: 33/1 (34.00), 2.9%
- Marco Silva: 40/1 (41.00), 2.4%
- Enzo Maresca: 50/1 (51.00), 2.0%
- Unai Emery: 66/1 (67.00), 1.5%
- David Moyes: 80/1 (81.00), 1.2%
- Mikel Arteta: 200/1 (201.00), 0.5%
Recent Departures from Premier League Clubs
- Eddie Howe: Newcastle United, July 2026
- Vitor Pereira: Nottingham Forest, July 2026
- Arne Slot: Liverpool, June 2026
- Pep Guardiola: Manchester City, May 2026
- Scott Parker: Burnley, April 2026
- Liam Rosenior: Chelsea, April 2026
- Igor Tudor: Tottenham, March 2026
- Sean Dyche: Nottingham Forest, February 2026
- Thomas Frank: Tottenham, February 2026
- Ruben Amorim: Manchester United, January 2026
Strategies for Betting on the Next Premier League Manager to Be Sacked
- Focus on Newly Promoted Teams: These managers often face the biggest challenge surviving in the Premier League, making them early targets.
- Watch High-Spending Clubs with Poor Results: Big investments raise expectations; failure to convert them can bring quick pressure.
- Analyze Team Form and Fixtures: Upcoming matches and current performance trends can reveal rising or easing pressure on managers.
- Monitor Club and Fan Sentiment: Board confidence and vocal fan dissatisfaction often precede managerial changes.
- Consider Contract Length and Experience: Short-term deals or inexperienced hires might lack patience from club hierarchy.
Where to Bet on Premier League Manager Sackings
For those interested in wagering, comparing odds from top football betting sites can help find value. Promotions like bet365's Bet $10 Get $150 offer additional incentives for new customers. Always check terms and availability based on your location.
FAQs About Premier League Manager Sackings
- How do these odds work? They estimate which manager is most likely to be the first to leave, factoring in results, club expectations, and other pressures.
- Why are promoted club managers often favorites? Smaller budgets and tougher competition mean any poor start hits harder, increasing sack risk.
- What influences sack decisions besides results? Performance, morale, injuries, transfers, and owner patience all play roles.
- Where to find latest odds? Platforms like Oddspedia update markets when bookmakers open them during the season.
- What other Premier League betting markets exist? Options include title winners, top scorers, relegation bets, and player awards.
