North Texas vs The Town Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

North Texas welcome The Town to Choctaw Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 24 May 2026, with both sides locked on 17 points and eyeing a push from their respective divisional positions. This is one of the standout MLS Next Pro predictions this weekend, pitting a strong home side against a dangerous but inconsistent visitor.

In the Eastern Conference picture, North Texas sit on 17 points from 11 matches and occupy a place in the MLS Next Pro play-offs 1/8-finals zone. The Town also have 17 points from 10 games and are likewise in a play-off position in their conference. With such a tight points spread and a rich recent history between these clubs, this fixture will attract attention from fans looking for North Texas vs The Town betting tips and those studying MLS Next Pro odds.

Choctaw Stadium has already hosted some intense meetings between these two, and with both teams scoring freely in 2026, this shapes up as a high-stakes encounter that could swing momentum in the play-off race for either side.

North Texas vs The Town Key Stats

• North Texas have taken 17 points from 11 matches in the Eastern Conference, winning 6 and losing 5 with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded.
• Across their last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed, North Texas and The Town have each won twice in 90 minutes, with one draw that North Texas won on penalties.
• North Texas are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game this season, while The Town average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

North Texas vs The Town — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 7
• Points: 17 vs 17
• Goals For: 20 vs 21
• Goals Against: 15 vs 10
• Clean Sheets: North Texas 1; The Town 1

In the Eastern Conference standings, North Texas are ranked 8th with 17 points from 11 matches, while The Town sit just ahead in 7th, also on 17 points but with a game in hand. Both are currently in the MLS Next Pro play-offs 1/8-finals zone, so this head-to-head has direct implications for seeding and momentum.

North Texas have scored 20 and conceded 15 across their 11 league fixtures, giving them a goal difference of +5. The Town have been slightly more explosive in attack with 21 goals from only 10 games, and much tighter at the back with just 10 conceded for a goal difference of +11. That superior defensive record suggests The Town have a better balance overall, but North Texas’ home numbers and recent form keep this finely poised.

North Texas vs The Town Key Matchups

North Texas Attack vs The Town Defence

Without individual scoring data available, the duel is best framed in unit terms. North Texas are averaging 2.0 goals per game across 11 fixtures, with 11 of those goals coming at home and an impressive 2.8 goals per game on their own pitch. They also have a biggest home win of 5-1, underlining their ability to overwhelm visitors at Choctaw Stadium.

The Town’s defence, however, has allowed only 10 goals in 10 matches, and just 3 at home. Away from home they concede 1.5 goals per game, which is respectable given their attacking style. The key question is whether The Town’s back line can withstand the pressure of a North Texas side that scores heavily in front of their own fans.

The Town Attack vs North Texas Defence

The Town’s attack is one of the more efficient units in the league so far, with 21 goals in 10 matches and an average of 2.1 per game. They have recorded a biggest home win of 6-1 and a biggest away win of 1-4, showing they can cut loose both home and away. Their goals are well distributed across the 90 minutes, with strong periods between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes.

North Texas concede 1.5 goals per game overall and have only one clean sheet to their name this season. At home they allow 1.5 goals per match, which, combined with The Town’s attacking numbers, suggests the visitors will create chances. The matchup between The Town’s fluid frontline and North Texas’ sometimes vulnerable defence could define the outcome.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These clubs have developed a genuine rivalry in MLS Next Pro, meeting frequently in both regular season and knockout fixtures. The Town have often had the upper hand overall, but North Texas have produced some big home results to keep the series competitive.

• 20 October 2025: The Town 3-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro Round of 16)
• 24 April 2025: North Texas 2-0 The Town (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 8)
• 13 May 2024: The Town 1-0 North Texas (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 12)
• 6 April 2024: North Texas 1-1 The Town (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 5, North Texas won 5-4 on penalties)
• 17 June 2023: North Texas 0-1 The Town (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 18)

North Texas vs The Town Prediction

Stats suggest a very even contest. North Texas have a league form string of WWLLW in their Frontier Division listing and 60% form over their last five in the prediction metrics, while The Town show LLWWL in the Pacific Division table and 40% form over their last five. The comparison numbers slightly lean towards The Town overall (52.8% to 47.2%), but the prediction edge is given to North Texas on a win-or-draw basis.

North Texas’ home attack, averaging 2.8 goals per game, should test a The Town defence that is stronger at home than away. Conversely, The Town’s 2.1 goals per game and history of winning big matches between the sides, including a 3-0 victory on 20 October 2025, cannot be ignored. With the prediction advice leaning to “North Texas or draw” and the percent split at 35% home, 35% draw, 30% away, the most likely scenario is a tight, high-intensity game that North Texas edge or share.

Predicted Score: North Texas 1-1 The Town

North Texas League Form

WWLLW

The Town League Form

LLWWL

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

T. Burchfield; Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar, Leandro, Z. Molomo; F. Aroyameh, N. James, M. Luccin; E. Nys, Ricky Louis, Nicholas Simmonds.

North Texas have a youthful but talented squad, with multiple defensive options such as Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar and Leandro capable of forming a solid back line in front of goalkeeper T. Burchfield. In midfield, players like F. Aroyameh, N. James and M. Luccin can provide energy and ball progression, while an attacking trio including E. Nys, Ricky Louis and Nicholas Simmonds offers pace and movement. Their depth in attacking positions, with additional options like J. Contreras and C. Salazar, supports an aggressive approach at Choctaw Stadium.

The Town Possible Starting Lineup

N. Crockford; A. Cano, M. Floriani, Jack Jasinski, N. Dossmann; N. Buck, G. Bracken Serra, Z. Bohane; N. Adimabua, D. Baptista, S. de Flores.

The Town’s squad blends experience and youth across the pitch. At the back, defenders such as A. Cano, M. Floriani and Jack Jasinski can provide structure in front of goalkeeper N. Crockford. Midfield options like N. Buck, G. Bracken Serra and Z. Bohane suggest a technically capable engine room, while in attack, players such as N. Adimabua, D. Baptista and S. de Flores give The Town plenty of firepower and flexibility. With several attacking alternatives including J. Donnery and J. Spivey, they are well equipped to play on the front foot or counter at pace.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

The Town Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

North Texas:

• None reported.

The Town:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: North Texas vs The Town

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back “North Texas or Draw” in the double-chance market. The prediction edge is given to North Texas with 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, and the advice explicitly points to a North Texas or draw outcome. Their strong home scoring record and current play-off position support this angle.
• Goals Tip: Consider backing over 1.5 total goals. North Texas average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while The Town average 2.1 scored and 1.2 conceded. Both sides have attacking averages above two goals per game, and their H2H history includes scorelines such as 3-0, 2-0 and 1-1, pointing towards at least a couple of goals.
• Value Tip: Look at “Both Teams to Score – Yes” as a value play. North Texas have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches, while The Town have failed in only 2 of 10, and both defences concede around or above a goal per game. With The Town’s attack rated slightly higher in the comparison metrics and North Texas so strong at home, the tactical pattern suggests chances at both ends.

How to Watch North Texas vs The Town

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.