MaplePitch Logo

Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Chicago Fire II welcome Inter Miami II to SeatGeek Stadium on 14 June 2026 in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action, with the two sides arriving in sharply contrasting form. The hosts have been inconsistent but competitive in the Central Division, while the visitors are in freefall and fighting simply to stop the rot.

In the Central Division standings, Chicago Fire II sit 6th with 16 points from 12 matches, built on 6 wins and 6 defeats, and a goal difference of -3 (15 scored, 18 conceded). Inter Miami II, by contrast, are bottom of the same group in 8th place with just 4 points from 11 games, losing 10 of those and carrying a heavy -20 goal difference (12 scored, 32 conceded). With both sides also appearing in the broader Eastern Conference table — Chicago 11th and Inter Miami 16th — this fixture has real implications for their conference positioning as well.

For those looking for Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II prediction insight, the stats suggest a home side that scores regularly but concedes, against a visiting team leaking goals at an alarming rate. With a strong historical record in this matchup and a better recent run, Chicago Fire II will see this as a prime opportunity to consolidate mid-table security and push toward the upper half of the conference, while Inter Miami II simply need points to stay in touch with the pack.

Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II Key Stats

  • Chicago Fire II have taken 16 points from 12 league matches (6 wins, 6 losses, 15 goals for, 18 against) in the Central Division.
  • Across the last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed, Chicago Fire II have consistently come out on top, including a 3-1 away win over Inter Miami II on 26 March 2023 and penalty shootout triumphs at SeatGeek Stadium.
  • Chicago Fire II average 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match this campaign, while Inter Miami II average 1.2 scored and 3.1 conceded, underlining a strong over 1.5 goals profile.

Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 6 vs 8 (Central Division)
  • Points: 16 vs 4
  • Goals For: 15 vs 12
  • Goals Against: 18 vs 32
  • Clean Sheets: Chicago Fire II 3 vs Inter Miami II 0

Chicago Fire II’s season record shows a classic high-variance side: 6 wins and 6 losses, no draws, and a -3 goal difference. They have been strong at SeatGeek Stadium in league play with 4 home wins from 6, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Their ability to win but also to lose heavily is reflected in their biggest results, including a 4-0 home victory and a 0-3 home defeat in this campaign.

Inter Miami II are in a far more precarious position. With just 1 win and 10 defeats from 11 matches in the Central Division, they have conceded 32 goals, the equivalent of 2.9 goals per game from the standings perspective and 3.1 per game across all fixtures this season. They have yet to keep a single clean sheet and have struggled badly at home and away, losing all 5 home matches and 5 of 6 on the road. The numbers back Chicago Fire II as clear favourites, particularly given the home side’s stronger attack and the visitors’ porous defence.

Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II Key Matchups

Chicago Fire II Attack vs Inter Miami II Defence

Chicago Fire II’s offensive profile is solid: 18 goals in 12 fixtures in the wider statistics set, averaging 2.0 goals per home game and 1.0 away. Their goal distribution is particularly dangerous just before half-time, with 6 goals between minutes 31-45, and they remain a threat throughout the second half as well. This balanced attack faces an Inter Miami II defence that has conceded 34 goals in 11 matches, including averages of 3.0 per home game and 3.2 away. The visitors are especially vulnerable between minutes 46-60 and 61-75, where they concede a combined 14 goals, suggesting that if Chicago Fire II keep the tempo high after the break, chances should come in bunches.

Set-Piece Composure vs Defensive Indiscipline

Chicago Fire II have been perfect from the penalty spot this season, converting 2 of 2 penalties for a 100.00% record. Inter Miami II, meanwhile, have yet to take a penalty and have also shown issues with discipline, picking up red cards late in matches, particularly between minutes 76-90. With Chicago Fire II also drawing a significant number of yellow cards in the second half, especially between 46-60 minutes, this clash could be decided by how each side handles pressure moments in and around the box. The home side’s composure from the spot could be decisive if Inter Miami II’s late-game discipline again falters.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met frequently in MLS Next Pro over recent years, with Chicago Fire II generally having the upper hand. The last seven recorded meetings below show Chicago regularly winning in regulation or via penalties, with Inter Miami II picking up only one clear victory.

  • 28 February 2026: Inter Miami II 1-1 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage, Chicago Fire II won 6-5 on penalties)
  • 25 June 2025: Inter Miami II 1-3 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 20)
  • 7 July 2024: Chicago Fire II 2-2 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 22, Chicago Fire II won 6-5 on penalties)
  • 13 August 2023: Chicago Fire II 2-2 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 31, Chicago Fire II won 5-4 on penalties)
  • 26 March 2023: Inter Miami II 1-3 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 1)
  • 18 September 2022: Chicago Fire II 1-0 Inter Miami II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season)
  • 2 July 2022: Inter Miami II 3-1 Chicago Fire II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season)

Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II Prediction

Form and trends point strongly toward Chicago Fire II. Their league form line of “LWLWL” in the Central Division underlines inconsistency, but they remain competitive and dangerous going forward. In the broader statistical form, they have produced sequences of three straight wins and three straight losses, yet their last five in the comparison data show 9 goals scored and 9 conceded — open games, but with attacking output intact.

Inter Miami II’s situation is far more worrying. Their Central Division form string “LLLLL” indicates five straight defeats, and the extended league form “LLLLWLLLLLL” reveals a run of 10 losses in 11, with only one brief respite. Conceding an average of more than three goals per match across the season, they now face a side that already has their number historically and is significantly stronger in the comparison metrics: 69.4% total edge for Chicago Fire II versus 30.6% for Inter Miami II, with Chicago ahead in form, attack, defence, and xG-style goal indicators.

Prediction metrics give Chicago Fire II a 50% chance of victory and a 50% chance of a draw, with Inter Miami II rated at 0% and the advice leaning toward “Chicago Fire II or draw and over 1.5 goals”. With no explicit projected goal counts provided beyond thresholds, a solid, controlled home win with a couple of goals for the hosts and limited resistance from the visitors looks likely.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire II 2-0 Inter Miami II

Chicago Fire II League Form

LWLWL

Inter Miami II League Form

LLLLL

Chicago Fire II Possible Starting Lineup

P. Los (GK); J. Reynolds, Oluwaseun Oyegunle, M. Kanyane, Christopher Cupps (Defenders); H. Osorio, Samuel Williams, C. Cassano, Dylan Borso (Midfielders); O. Glasgow, Jason Shokalook (Forwards).

Chicago Fire II have a deep and youthful squad, particularly in defence and midfield, with multiple goalkeepers such as P. Los and Bryan Dowd available. The defensive unit built around J. Reynolds and Oluwaseun Oyegunle has contributed to three clean sheets this season, while midfield options like H. Osorio, Samuel Williams, and C. Cassano help sustain the team’s 1.5 goals-per-game output. In attack, players such as O. Glasgow and Jason Shokalook are likely to benefit from Inter Miami II’s fragile back line, especially in the key periods either side of half-time where Chicago tend to create the most chances.

Inter Miami II Possible Starting Lineup

L. Barker (GK); Ezequiel Abadia-Reda, N. Almeida, T. Hall, L. Garcia (Defenders); M. Acevedo, S. Morales, M. Rodriguez, A. Flores (Midfielders); L. Delinois, D. Rey (Forwards).

Inter Miami II’s roster is similarly youthful, but their defensive structure has struggled badly. A back line featuring Ezequiel Abadia-Reda, N. Almeida, and T. Hall has been unable to prevent heavy defeats, with no clean sheets and 34 goals conceded in 11 matches. In midfield, players like S. Morales and M. Rodriguez will be tasked with providing some control and shielding, while attackers such as L. Delinois and D. Rey must make the most of limited service. Given their tendency to concede heavily after the break and the presence of late red cards, tactical discipline and game management will be crucial if they are to avoid another damaging loss.

Chicago Fire II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Inter Miami II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Chicago Fire II:

  • None reported.

Inter Miami II:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Chicago Fire II in the double chance market (Chicago Fire II or draw). The prediction metrics give the hosts a combined 100% probability for win-or-draw (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away), with Chicago stronger in every comparison category and Inter Miami II on a “LLLLL” league form run.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams’ season profiles support this, with Chicago Fire II matches averaging around 3.1 goals (1.5 for, 1.6 against) and Inter Miami II games averaging 4.3 (1.2 for, 3.1 against). The betting advice also explicitly favours a “+1.5 goals” angle, making this a logical goals-based selection.
  • Value Tip: Chicago Fire II to win and over 1.5 goals in a combo. The recommended advice is a combo double chance (Chicago Fire II or draw) plus over 1.5 goals, but given Inter Miami II’s 10 defeats in 11 and zero clean sheets, upgrading to a home-win-plus-goals angle offers upside. Chicago’s strong H2H record and superior attacking and defensive metrics suggest this combined market could provide enhanced value.

How to Watch Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

Related News