Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

This second leg in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round sees Celje host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in Celje with the tie finely balanced after a dramatic first meeting. The Albanian champions and the Slovenian side shared a 3-3 thriller at Demrozi Stadium on 22 July 2026, leaving everything to play for in the return fixture.

With no group standings available yet at this early stage of qualifying, progression to the next round is the only currency that matters. Celje will look to make home advantage count after scoring three away goals in the first leg, while Egnatia arrive with the more convincing overall Champions League form so far, having scored 10 goals across their three qualifiers.

Both teams have shown they can score freely but also concede, suggesting another open contest. This match will decide who keeps their Champions League dream alive and who drops out of Europe at the first hurdle.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

• Celje have played 1 Champions League qualifier this season, drawing 3-3 away and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match.
• The only previous meeting between the sides, on 22 July 2026 in Rrogozhine, finished Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
• Egnatia have scored 10 goals in 3 Champions League qualifiers this season (average 3.3 per match) while conceding 5 (1.7 per match), with no clean sheets for either team so far.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: Not available vs Not available
• Goals Against: Not available vs Not available
• Clean Sheets: Celje 0 (tournament statistics), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 (tournament statistics)

Formal league standings are not yet provided for either side in this qualifying phase, so the clearest indicators come from early Champions League statistics. Celje’s single outing produced a 3-3 away draw, underlining both their attacking threat and defensive vulnerability.

Egnatia’s body of work is larger: three matches, one win and two draws, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded. They have already produced a standout 6-1 home victory and have yet to lose in this campaign. While neither team has managed a clean sheet, Egnatia’s higher goal output and unbeaten run suggest they arrive in slightly stronger shape.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attack vs Egnatia defensive line

Without individual scorer data, the focus shifts to unit performance. Celje’s attack has delivered 3 goals in their only Champions League outing, all away from home, with their goals spread across the 31–45, 46–60 and 61–75 minute windows. That pattern hints at a side capable of sustaining pressure beyond the opening stages rather than relying on fast starts.

Egnatia’s defence, however, has been leaky: 5 goals conceded in 3 games, with a notable concentration of goals against between 31–45 and 61–75 minutes. That overlaps directly with Celje’s most productive periods, suggesting the Slovenian side could again find joy in the middle phases of each half if they can move the ball quickly and exploit any lapses in Egnatia’s back line.

Egnatia’s high-powered attack vs Celje back four

Egnatia’s attack has been one of the most eye-catching elements of this qualifying round. Ten goals in three matches, including a 6-1 home win, underline their capacity to overwhelm opponents. They score across the full 90 minutes, with significant output in the 0–15, 46–60 and 76–90 minute ranges, showing they can start quickly and finish strongly.

Celje’s defence, by contrast, conceded three times in their only match, with a significant share of goals allowed in the first 15 minutes, just after half-time, and late in the second half. That mirrors Egnatia’s scoring profile and raises concerns about Celje’s concentration at key transition moments. If Celje do not tighten up in those windows, Egnatia’s varied attacking threat is well placed to punish them again.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent first leg in Albania is the only recorded competitive meeting between these clubs, and it sets the tone for what to expect in Celje: goals, swings in momentum, and fragile defences on both sides.

• 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Stats suggest a finely poised second leg but with a slight edge towards Egnatia. The prediction model gives Celje only a 10% chance of winning in regulation time, with the draw and an Egnatia win each rated at 45%. That aligns with the broader Champions League form: Egnatia are unbeaten in three qualifiers with a strong scoring record, while Celje’s sample is limited to a single high-scoring draw.

Celje’s home advantage and three away goals from the first leg mean they are far from out of this tie. Their ability to score in multiple phases of the game will test an Egnatia defence that has yet to keep a clean sheet. However, Egnatia’s superior attacking metrics, deeper sample of positive results, and the prediction tilt towards “win or draw” for the Albanian side all point to the visitors having the higher probability of progressing.

Another open, end-to-end contest looks likely, with both sides capable of contributing to the scoreline. Egnatia’s greater attacking consistency and the prediction split suggest they are slightly more likely to edge a high-scoring draw or narrow win.

Predicted Score: Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

In Champions League qualifying, Celje’s form is limited but encouraging in attack: one match, one draw, three goals scored and three conceded. Their tournament form string is a single draw, reflecting that 3-3 away result. They have yet to lose, but also have not shown they can close out a game defensively.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia come into this second leg with a stronger recent record: three Champions League qualifiers, producing one win and two draws. Their form string of “DWD” captures an unbeaten run built on a prolific attack (10 goals) but also a defence that concedes in most games (5 goals). Overall, their recent performances indicate resilience and the ability to respond when games become stretched.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineup data for this specific fixture, likely key players for Celje will come from their current squad: goalkeepers such as Ž. Frelih, L. Kolar, Žan-Luk Leban or S. Sluga; defenders including Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koutris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševič and I. Ćalušić; midfield options like M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek and V. Tusha; and forwards including A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik and D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have used a 4-4-2 shape once in this Champions League campaign, which fits the balance of defenders and midfielders in the squad. Expect a back four built around experienced names like Castro and Koutris, with a compact midfield and two forwards to capitalise on their ability to score in multiple phases. With no injury list provided, rotation decisions will likely focus on adding defensive stability after conceding three in the first leg.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

Egnatia’s squad offers several options across the pitch. In goal, choices include D. Afful, M. Dajsinani, B. Puja and L. Tandilashvili. The defence can be built from players such as N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota and A. Xhemajli. Midfield options are deep, with Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda and K. Loukili all available. In attack, D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro and Afonso Rodrigues provide variety.

Egnatia have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 in their three Champions League qualifiers, suggesting a flexible back-three system that can morph into a back five when defending. That structure allows them to flood midfield and support a two-man strike force, which has been key to their 10-goal haul. The challenge will be tightening up defensively without blunting their attacking edge in a tie that is still wide open.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

• None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The prediction model rates Celje’s win chance at just 10%, with both the draw and an Egnatia win at 45%. Egnatia are unbeaten in three Champions League qualifiers (DWD) and have already shown they can score freely. Backing them not to lose aligns with both the probabilities and their stronger recent form. (No odds data available.)
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. The first leg finished 3-3, Celje average 3.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per Champions League match, while Egnatia average 3.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Both teams have seen all of their qualifiers go over 2.5 goals, and the prediction advice also leans towards a goals-heavy game. (No odds data available.)
• Value Tip: Both teams to score – Yes. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in the tournament (0 clean sheets each), and both have failed to score in 0 of their qualifiers. Egnatia’s attacking output and Celje’s three away goals in the first leg point strongly towards both sides finding the net again, making BTTS a logical value angle. (No odds data available.)

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.