Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Atlanta United II welcome Chattanooga to Fifth Third Stadium in a high-stakes MLS Next Pro group-stage clash on 13 June 2026. With both sides already deep into their campaigns and separated only by goal difference in a congested section of the table, this fixture has the feel of a playoff six-pointer even at the group stage.

Atlanta United II sit on 22 points from 12 matches, while Chattanooga also have 22 points from 13 outings. The hosts have been strong at Fifth Third Stadium with three wins from four home games, and they will look to leverage that edge in front of their own fans. Chattanooga, meanwhile, have been more inconsistent on the road, but their attacking output suggests they will arrive in Atlanta believing they can take something from the game.

With both teams firmly in the mix around the upper reaches of the standings and a long, eventful recent head-to-head record between Atlanta United II and Chattanooga, this matchup promises goals, intensity and potential playoff implications.

Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga Key Stats

• Atlanta United II have taken 22 points from 12 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 15 in league play.
• The last meeting at Fifth Third Stadium on 2 October 2025 ended Atlanta United II 0-1 Chattanooga in MLS Next Pro.
• Atlanta United II average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, while Chattanooga average 1.9 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 4
• Points: 22 vs 22
• Goals For: 24 vs 25
• Goals Against: 15 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: Atlanta United II 3; Chattanooga 3

On paper, there is almost nothing between these sides. Atlanta United II, ranked 3rd with 22 points from 12 games, boast a superior goal difference thanks to 24 goals scored and only 15 conceded. Chattanooga, ranked 4th with 22 points from 13 matches, have hit 25 goals but shipped 21, underlining a more open, high-variance profile.

Atlanta’s defensive record is marginally stronger, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game compared to Chattanooga’s 1.7. Both teams have kept three clean sheets, but Chattanooga’s away record — two wins and four defeats from six, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded — suggests they are more vulnerable on their travels. Atlanta’s home return of three wins from four, with a 9–4 goal differential, gives them a slight structural edge coming into this encounter.

Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga Key Matchups

Midfield battle and control vs transitional threat

Specific individual scoring and assist numbers are not available, but the broader team metrics highlight a key tactical battle in midfield. Atlanta United II’s season profile shows 24 goals scored at an average of 2.0 per game, with a relatively balanced spread across match periods. Chattanooga, with 25 goals at 1.9 per game, are similarly potent but tend to play in more open contests, conceding 22.

The contest in the middle of the park will likely decide whether Atlanta’s more controlled defensive numbers (15 goals against) can contain Chattanooga’s free-flowing attack. Chattanooga’s tendency to concede more, especially away from home, suggests that if Atlanta can dictate tempo and limit transitions, they can tilt the match in their favour.

Defensive resilience vs high-press risk

Both sides have identical clean-sheet tallies (three each), but the context differs. Atlanta United II have allowed 4 goals at home and 12 away, while Chattanooga have conceded 9 at home and 13 away. Chattanooga’s away defensive average of 2.2 goals against per game indicates that a high-risk, high-press style can leave them exposed.

Atlanta’s ability to exploit that space — reflected in their 2.3 goals per home game — could be decisive. If the hosts can draw Chattanooga’s back line into uncomfortable positions, their more efficient defence gives them a better platform to absorb pressure and hit back.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Atlanta United II and Chattanooga have been tight, high-scoring and often decided by fine margins, including multiple penalty shootouts. Across the six most recent clashes listed below, Chattanooga have edged more results, but Atlanta have shown they can win both home and away.

• 5 October 2025: Chattanooga 1-1 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro, finished after penalty shootout)
• 2 October 2025: Atlanta United II 0-1 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro)
• 30 March 2025: Atlanta United II 2-2 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro, finished after penalty shootout)
• 1 September 2024: Chattanooga 3-4 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 25 May 2024: Chattanooga 2-2 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro, finished after penalty shootout)
• 24 April 2024: Atlanta United II 1-0 Chattanooga (MLS Next Pro)

Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga Prediction

Everything points to another finely balanced contest. The prediction metrics marginally favour Atlanta United II, with the “winner” indicator leaning towards the hosts on a win-or-draw basis and the probability split reading 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away. That aligns with the standings: Atlanta are slightly more efficient defensively and strong at home, while Chattanooga have a similar attacking output but a leakier back line, particularly away.

The head-to-head record shows Chattanooga have been highly competitive in Atlanta, including a 1-0 away win on 2 October 2025 and a penalty shootout success after a 2-2 draw on 30 March 2025. However, Atlanta’s improved home numbers this season and their ability to keep games marginally tighter at the back suggest they should avoid defeat. With both teams averaging close to two goals scored per game, another high-intensity, closely fought encounter is likely, but the safest projection is for Atlanta to edge or at least share the points.

Predicted Score: Atlanta United II 1-1 Chattanooga

Atlanta United II League Form

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Chattanooga League Form

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Atlanta United II Possible Starting Lineup

R. Clarson; D. Chica, D. Chong Qui, Mohamed Cisset, M. Senanou; L. Brennan, A. Fortune, Adrian Gill, A. Torres; Liam Butts, M. Tablante.

Atlanta United II have a youthful but deep squad, especially in midfield and attack. With multiple goalkeepers available, including R. Clarson and Jayden Hibbert, they are well covered in goal. Defensively, options such as D. Chica, D. Chong Qui, Mohamed Cisset and M. Senanou allow for a flexible back line. In midfield, the likes of L. Brennan, A. Fortune and Adrian Gill provide energy and ball progression, while forwards such as Liam Butts and M. Tablante give Atlanta several ways to threaten, whether through direct runs or combination play.

Chattanooga Possible Starting Lineup

E. Jakupović; M. Hanchard, N. Koehler, T. Robertson, F. Sar-Sar; S. Louis, A. McGrath, Isaiah Jones, C. Thomas; D. Mangarov, A. Garcia.

Chattanooga blend experience and youth, anchored by veteran goalkeeper E. Jakupović. At the back, defenders like M. Hanchard, N. Koehler and T. Robertson provide physicality and aerial strength. The midfield unit, featuring S. Louis, A. McGrath and Isaiah Jones, looks capable of both screening the defence and supporting attacks. In the final third, attackers such as D. Mangarov and A. Garcia give Chattanooga multiple goal threats, which aligns with their strong scoring record of 25 goals in 13 matches.

Atlanta United II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Chattanooga Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atlanta United II:

• None reported.

Chattanooga:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Atlanta United II or Draw (Double Chance). With the prediction leaning towards Atlanta United II on a win-or-draw basis and probabilities at 35% home, 35% draw and 30% away, backing the hosts to avoid defeat aligns with both the numbers and their strong home record.
• Goals Tip: Both Teams to Score. Atlanta average 2.0 goals for and 1.3 against per game, while Chattanooga average 1.9 for and 1.7 against, and recent head-to-head clashes have regularly produced goals at both ends. This points towards a high likelihood of each side finding the net.
• Value Tip: Draw. With the win probabilities almost evenly split and both teams locked on 22 points, the draw carries realistic upside. The balanced attacking and defensive profiles, plus several tight recent meetings, make the stalemate an attractive value angle.

How to Watch Atlanta United II vs Chattanooga

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.