Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Atalanta welcome Bologna to New Balance Arena in Bergamo on 31 August 2026 for their second match of the new Serie A campaign. The hosts started strongly with a 2-1 home win on the opening matchday, while Bologna arrive under pressure after a narrow 0-1 defeat in their first outing.

With Atalanta sitting 6th on 3 points and Bologna down in 16th with no points yet, this early-season clash already carries weight for both sides. Atalanta will look to consolidate their top-half ambitions and build momentum in front of their own fans, whereas Bologna need a response to avoid being dragged into the lower reaches of the table from the outset.

Atalanta vs Bologna Key Stats

• Atalanta have 3 points from 1 match, scoring 2 goals and conceding 1 in Serie A 2026.
• The last meeting at New Balance Arena on 17 May 2026 ended Atalanta 0-1 Bologna in Serie A.
• Across their opening fixture this season, Atalanta averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Bologna failed to score and conceded 1.0 per game.

Atalanta vs Bologna — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 16
• Points: 3 vs 0
• Goals For: 2 vs 0
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After one round of Serie A 2026, Atalanta’s numbers are modest in volume but positive in direction: one win from one, 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, and a place in the upper third of the table. Their only game so far was at home, and they took full advantage with a 2-1 victory, hinting that Bergamo could again be a difficult trip for visiting sides.

Bologna, by contrast, started with a home defeat, scoring 0 and conceding 1, which leaves them in the bottom half at this very early stage. The goal difference of -1 and the failure to score underline an attack that has yet to click. While the sample size is tiny, the early pattern suggests Atalanta have more attacking rhythm, while Bologna are still searching for balance.

Atalanta vs Bologna Key Matchups

Giacomo Raspadori vs N. Cambiaghi

Giacomo Raspadori has begun the new season as one of Atalanta’s standout attacking figures. In his first Serie A appearance of 2026, he started, played 82 minutes and posted an excellent 8.3 rating. He scored 1 goal from 1 shot on target, completed 17 passes with a 94% accuracy and contributed defensively with 3 tackles and 2 interceptions, winning 6 of 8 duels. That blend of end product, link play and work rate makes him central to Atalanta’s attacking structure.

For Bologna, Nicolò Cambiaghi has been heavily involved in the midfield battle. In his opening match he played 60 minutes, recording a 6.5 rating, 1 shot, 13 passes at 84% accuracy and an impressive 4 tackles plus 1 interception. He was at the heart of the physical contest, involved in 16 duels and winning 9, but also picked up 1 yellow card, reflecting his combative style. The duel between Raspadori’s movement and Cambiaghi’s intensity in Bologna’s midfield line will be pivotal in determining who controls territory between the lines.

N. Krstović vs O. El Azzouzi

Nikola Krstović offers Atalanta a dangerous option in attack, even from the bench. In just 30 minutes of his first appearance this season, he scored 1 goal, took 3 shots with 2 on target, and added 11 passes at 81% accuracy, earning a strong 7.3 rating. He also registered 1 key pass and was willing to do the dirty work with 2 fouls committed. His impact profile suggests he can change the tempo of the game when introduced, particularly against tiring defences.

Oussama El Azzouzi, meanwhile, is a key stabiliser for Bologna in central areas. In his first match he played 79 minutes with a 6.9 rating, completing 54 passes at an excellent 94% accuracy and providing 1 key pass. Defensively he contributed 1 tackle, 1 block and 1 interception, and won 3 of 5 duels. His ability to recycle possession and protect the back line will be tested by Krstović’s runs and physical presence if the Montenegrin forward features prominently again.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This fixture has been fiercely contested in recent years, with both sides enjoying wins home and away across Serie A and Coppa Italia. Matches are often tight, with several one-goal margins and clean sheets on either side.

• 17 May 2026: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna (Serie A)
• 7 January 2026: Bologna 0-2 Atalanta (Serie A)
• 13 April 2025: Atalanta 2-0 Bologna (Serie A)
• 4 February 2025: Atalanta 0-1 Bologna (Coppa Italia)
• 28 September 2024: Bologna 1-1 Atalanta (Serie A)

Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Stats suggest Atalanta come into this clash with the clearer attacking edge. They have already scored twice in their only league outing, and their comparison indices underline that early superiority: recent form and attacking metrics heavily favour the hosts, while defensive indicators are broadly balanced. Bologna, on the other hand, have yet to score this season and have a recent pattern of narrow, low-scoring games.

Head-to-head history shows that Bologna are capable of upsetting Atalanta in Bergamo, as seen in the 0-1 away wins in May 2026 and February 2025. However, across the last ten meetings, Atalanta have also recorded multiple victories, including 2-0 and 2-1 home successes. The prediction model gives Atalanta a 45% chance of winning, the draw also at 45%, and Bologna just 10%, indicating a strong lean towards the hosts or a tight stalemate rather than an away win.

Given the under/over advice pointing towards a combination of an Atalanta win with relatively few goals, and considering both teams’ early-season scoring records, a controlled home performance in a low- to medium-scoring game looks the most plausible scenario.

Predicted Score: Atalanta 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta Recent Form

Atalanta opened the 2026 Serie A campaign with a win, reflecting a positive start in terms of both result and attacking output. They scored twice at home, conceded once, and extended a short winning streak that stretches back to last season’s domestic fixtures. Their recent performances indicate a side capable of creating chances and sharing goals among multiple forwards and attacking midfielders.

Bologna Recent Form

Bologna’s recent form is more concerning. They began the new season with a defeat, failing to score and conceding once at home. That follows a broader pattern from previous campaigns where they have been competitive but sometimes blunt in the final third. The current run points to a team still searching for fluency in attack, relying heavily on workmanlike midfield performances to stay in games.

Atalanta Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Carnesecchi or one of P. Pardel / F. Rossi / M. Sportiello as alternatives; Defenders: options include M. Bakker, I. Hien, G. Scalvini, S. Kolašinac, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, R. Bellanova; Midfielders: Éderson, G. Gaetano, Mario Pasalic, L. Samardžić, M. de Roon, I. Sulemana; Forwards: G. Raspadori, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca, C. De Ketelaere, N. Zalewski, K. Sulemana.

Atalanta have a deep squad with multiple options in every line. Their most-used formation so far this season is a 4-3-3, which suits the profiles of Raspadori, Scamacca and Krstović in attack, supported by creative midfielders such as Gaetano and Pasalic. With no official injury list provided, coach options appear plentiful, allowing tactical flexibility between a more possession-based approach and a direct, striker-focused plan.

Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Ł. Skorupski or one of Matteo Franceschelli / Riccardo Gnudi / U. Happonen / M. Pessina; Defenders: N. Casale, Juan Miranda, T. Heggem, E. Holm, M. Vitík, R. Alhassane, N. Zortea; Midfielders: O. El Azzouzi, L. Ferguson, N. Moro, T. Pobega, M. Amondarain, L. Kusic, N. Cambiaghi, J. Odgaard, R. Orsolini; Forwards: F. Bernardeschi, A. Dovbyk, R. Piccoli, J. Rowe, F. Castaldo.

Bologna have typically lined up in a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, with a double pivot protecting the defence and a band of three supporting the central striker. Players like El Azzouzi and Ferguson give structure in midfield, while Bernardeschi, Orsolini, Dovbyk and Rowe provide attacking variety. The presence of multiple wide and central attacking options suggests Bologna can switch between a more cautious away setup and a more expansive approach if chasing the game.

Atalanta Team News

No significant absences reported.

Bologna Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Atalanta:

• None reported.

Bologna:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Atalanta vs Bologna

Exactly 3 distinct markets are highlighted below, based on current stats, form trends and available odds.

• Result Tip: Atalanta to win. The prediction model assigns Atalanta a 45% chance of victory compared to just 10% for Bologna, with the draw also at 45%. Atalanta have started with a win and have stronger attacking numbers, while Bologna are yet to score. Market odds for the home win range roughly from 1.80 to 1.92, implying an approximate probability between 52.1% and 55.6%, which aligns with the view of Atalanta as clear favourites.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. The advice points towards a combination of an Atalanta win with fewer than four goals. Atalanta’s only match so far finished 2-1, while Bologna’s ended 0-1, and recent head-to-head clashes often stay tight, with several 1-0 and 2-0 scorelines. With both sides averaging 1 goal conceded or fewer and Bologna yet to find the net this season, a controlled game with limited scoring looks likely. Use the specific under-goals odds from your preferred bookmaker.
• Value Tip: Atalanta to win and both teams to score – No. Bologna’s early attacking struggles and Atalanta’s capacity to manage games at home create an angle where the hosts can win without conceding. While Atalanta have not yet kept a clean sheet this season, Bologna’s total of 0 goals for and 1 failed-to-score match suggests limited cutting edge. Look for a price significantly above the straight home win (home odds around 1.80–1.92); any uplift on that baseline could offer value given the current offensive profiles.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.