Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Ventura County and Los Angeles FC II meet again at Dignity Health Sports Park on 19 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could have major implications in the Pacific Division playoff race. Both sides are locked on 29 points, and with promotion to the MLS Next Pro play-offs in sight, this derby-style matchup carries extra weight.

Ventura County come into this fixture sitting 2nd in the Pacific Division, having taken 29 points from 18 matches with a positive goal difference of +5. Los Angeles FC II are just one place and one game behind them in 3rd, also on 29 points but with a goal difference of 0. With both teams tracking toward the MLS Next Pro play-offs, this encounter feels like a six-pointer in the Western race.

Recent meetings between Ventura County and Los Angeles FC II have been high-scoring and emotionally charged, with late goals and even a penalty shootout deciding ties. Stats suggest another open contest, and with both sides averaging close to two goals scored per game in 2026, this fixture profiles as one of the standout MLS Next Pro betting opportunities on the weekend.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

• Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 27.
• In their most recent meeting on 17 May 2026, Los Angeles FC II beat Ventura County 3-2 at Titan Stadium after trailing 0-1 at half-time.
• Across their 2026 MLS Next Pro campaign, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Los Angeles FC II average 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 3
• Points: 29 vs 29
• Goals For: 32 vs 28
• Goals Against: 27 vs 28
• Clean Sheets: Ventura County 4; Los Angeles FC II 1 (tournament statistics)

In the Pacific Division, Ventura County hold a slight edge thanks to their superior goal difference and attacking output. They have 32 goals from 18 matches, compared to 28 goals for Los Angeles FC II from 17 games. Defensively, Ventura County have also been marginally tighter in the league table numbers, conceding 27 to LAFC II’s 28.

Looking at broader 2026 tournament statistics, Ventura County appear a touch more balanced. They have four clean sheets and have failed to score only once in 18 matches. Los Angeles FC II have managed just one clean sheet in 17 games and have failed to score three times, underlining a slightly more volatile profile. However, LAFC II’s strong home record (7 wins from 10) contrasts with their vulnerability away (5 defeats in 7), which is a key factor given this match is at a neutral-style venue but listed as Ventura County’s home game.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs Los Angeles FC II defence

Without individual scorer data, the key battle is collective: Ventura County’s free-scoring frontline against a sometimes-fragile LAFC II back line. Ventura County average 1.9 goals per game in 2026, with 35 total goals in tournament statistics and home scoring at 2.1 per match. They also rarely draw blanks, failing to score only once in 18 fixtures.

Los Angeles FC II, by contrast, concede an average of 1.9 goals per match, and their away defence is particularly leaky at 2.9 goals conceded per away game. They have just one clean sheet all season. If Ventura County sustain their attacking rhythm, especially in the 46–75 minute window where a significant share of their goals arrive, LAFC II’s defence could be under sustained pressure.

Los Angeles FC II forwards vs Ventura County’s game management

On the other side, LAFC II’s attack is dangerous enough to punish lapses. They score 1.8 goals per match overall, with a good spread of goals across the 16–75 minute periods and a notable spike late in games (a meaningful portion of their goals coming after the 90th minute including added extra time ranges). They have shown they can turn games around, as seen in the 3-2 comeback win on 17 May 2026 and the 3-3 draw followed by a shootout win on 21 July 2025.

Ventura County concede 1.6 goals per game and are particularly vulnerable between 46 and 75 minutes, where a large share of their goals against arrive. Their biggest home defeat in this campaign is 1-3, underlining that if they lose control, they can be opened up. LAFC II’s ability to stay in games and strike in key moments makes this matchup pivotal to the outcome.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This is a developing rivalry in MLS Next Pro, with recent clashes consistently producing goals and drama. Several matches have featured late swings, extra time, and even penalties.

• 17 May 2026: Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro)
• 21 July 2025: Ventura County 3-3 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro, Los Angeles FC II won 3-1 on penalties)
• 10 May 2025: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)
• 15 March 2025: Los Angeles FC II 3-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro)
• 12 August 2024: Ventura County 1-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro)

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

Everything points to a tight, attacking contest. The prediction model gives Ventura County and the draw equal weight at 45 out of 100 each, with Los Angeles FC II at 10 out of 100. That effectively frames Ventura County as slight favourites not to lose, rather than clear outright winners.

Recent form leans marginally toward Ventura County. Their last five matches show stronger attacking and overall form indices than LAFC II, and their tournament statistics reveal more clean sheets and fewer matches without scoring. However, the head-to-head record in recent seasons has often tilted toward Los Angeles FC II, especially in high-pressure situations.

Given the high-scoring profile of both teams, the tendency for this matchup to produce goals, and the double-chance “Ventura County or draw” angle suggested by the underlying probabilities, the most likely scenario is a competitive game where Ventura County edge it or share the points in a score draw. With no reliable whole-number goal prediction available, a conservative estimate is a narrow home win or a 1-1/2-2 type draw.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

Ventura County Recent Form

In the standings, Ventura County’s recent form string reads as a mix of wins and losses, but with more victories than defeats in their latest run. Over 18 matches they have 10 wins and 8 losses with no draws, underlining their high-variance style: they either win or lose, rarely settling for a point. Their last five tournament matches show a strong attacking index (65) and solid form index (60), with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded in that span.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

Los Angeles FC II’s recent form is more inconsistent. They have 9 wins and 8 losses from 17 matches, again with no draws. Their last five games carry a form index of 40, with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded, suggesting a slight dip compared to Ventura County. However, they retain a dangerous attacking profile and have shown they can string together winning streaks, with a maximum winning streak of four matches in this campaign.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups or player-specific statistics, a projected core group of key squad members could include:

GK: S. Conlon or B. Scott
Defenders: R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, Harbor Miller, C. Rindov, Pepe
Midfielders: I. Parente, Tucker Lepley, T. Elgersma, A. Vilamitjana, C. Gozdieski
Forwards: O. Aina, Maximus Steelman, J. Placias, E. Preston

Ventura County’s squad blend of experienced players like B. Scott and A. Vilamitjana with a large group of teenagers suggests a high-energy, front-foot approach. Their scoring numbers indicate a side comfortable committing numbers forward, particularly in the second half. With no official injuries listed, the coach should have flexibility to rotate among multiple young attackers to maintain tempo.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Similarly, only a pool of likely key players can be highlighted:

GK: Cabral Carter or T. Hasal
Defenders: T. Babineau, C. Diaz, L. Goodman, Kenny Nielsen, S. Minor-Kaplan
Midfielders: M. Evans, B. Moyado, Jude Terry, G. Zambrano, E. Villeda
Forwards: Tommy Mihalic, Sebastian Nava, C. Kosakoff, M. Aiyenero

Los Angeles FC II’s roster is similarly youthful but anchored by a few older players such as T. Hasal, Tommy Mihalic and Sebastian Nava. Their strong home form suggests they can dominate when confident, but away from their comfort zone, defensive organisation becomes crucial. Expect them to rely on pace in attack and try to exploit Ventura County’s vulnerable periods after half-time.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

• None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on probabilities and team profiles:

• Result Tip: Ventura County or Draw (Double Chance). With win probabilities effectively split at 45 out of 100 for Ventura County and 45 out of 100 for the draw, and only 10 out of 100 for an LAFC II win, backing Ventura County not to lose is the safest result-based angle. This aligns with the underlying advice of combining Ventura County or draw with goals.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Both teams average close to two goals scored per match (Ventura County 1.9, LAFC II 1.8) and concede at least 1.6–1.9 on average. Their recent head-to-head meetings have produced scorelines of 3-2, 3-3, 2-1, 3-1 and 2-1. That history, combined with the high-scoring season profiles, strongly supports a goals-based angle above the 1.5 line.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Ventura County have failed to score only once in 18 matches, while LAFC II have scored in 14 of 17. The H2H series is full of games where both sides find the net, and neither defence is consistently watertight (Ventura County concede 1.6 per game, LAFC II 1.9). In the absence of published odds, this market looks like a logical value play if priced reasonably close to even money or better.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.