Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Colorado Rapids II host North Texas at CIBER Field on 12 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal for both sides’ trajectories this year. The hosts are rooted near the bottom of the Frontier Division, while North Texas are trying to stay in touch with the leading pack.

Colorado Rapids II come into this fixture in deep trouble. With just 9 points from 17 matches and a goal difference of -20, they are struggling badly at both ends of the pitch. Every home game now is effectively a must-win if they are to claw their way back into contention in the Frontier Division and Eastern Conference standings.

North Texas, by contrast, sit 5th in the Frontier Division on 22 points from 15 games, with a positive goal difference and one of the more dangerous attacks in the conference. However, their form has been streaky, and their away record is far from dominant. That keeps this matchup intriguing, especially given the rich recent head-to-head history between these two MLS Next Pro sides.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Stats

• Colorado Rapids II have taken just 9 points from 17 matches, winning only 2 and losing 15, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded.
• The most recent meeting on 8 March 2026 saw North Texas beat Colorado Rapids II 3-1 at Choctaw Stadium in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action.
• Across their 2026 league campaign, Colorado Rapids II are conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match, while North Texas are scoring 1.9 goals per match.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 5 (Frontier Division)
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 15 vs 26
• Goals Against: 35 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Colorado Rapids II 1; North Texas 2 (2026 league statistics)

Standings underline just how far apart these teams have been over the 2026 campaign. Colorado Rapids II, 7th in the Frontier Division and 14th in the Eastern Conference, have only 2 wins from 17 matches, with a -20 goal difference. Their home record is particularly worrying: 1 win and 8 defeats in 9 games, conceding 19 and scoring only 8.

North Texas, 5th in the Frontier Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, have collected 22 points from 15 fixtures. They have 7 wins and 8 losses, with no draws, and a +6 goal difference. At home they have been strong (4 wins from 6), but away they are more vulnerable (3 wins, 6 defeats from 9). Even so, their attack – 26 league goals from 15 games – looks far more potent than Colorado Rapids II’s misfiring forward line.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Colorado Rapids II attack vs North Texas defence

Colorado Rapids II’s attacking unit has struggled throughout 2026. In league play they average just 0.9 goals per match overall, with 8 home goals in 9 games. They have failed to score in 5 of their 17 league fixtures, highlighting a lack of cutting edge. Their biggest winning margin this season is only 1-0 at home and 2-1 away, suggesting they rarely outplay opponents offensively.

North Texas, meanwhile, have a reasonably solid back line by MLS Next Pro standards. They concede 1.5 goals per match overall (23 in 15) and have kept 2 clean sheets. Their biggest away defeat is 2-0, indicating they are usually competitive on the road even when they lose. The matchup points to North Texas being able to manage Colorado’s limited threat, especially if they control the midfield and avoid gifting early chances.

North Texas attack vs Colorado Rapids II defence

At the other end, the contrast is stark. North Texas score 1.9 goals per game in 2026 league play, with 16 goals in 6 home matches (2.7 per game) and 12 in 9 away games (1.3 per game). They have produced high-scoring wins such as 5-1 at home and 4-1 away, showing they can be ruthless when on top.

Colorado Rapids II’s defence has been porous all season. They concede 2.3 goals per match (39 in 17), and at home they have let in 21 goals in 9 fixtures. Their heaviest home loss is 1-4, and they have a 13-game losing streak as their worst run. With North Texas’ forwards often scoring in bursts – a significant share of their goals coming in the 31–45 and 76–90 minute windows – Colorado’s back line will be under sustained pressure for long spells.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have developed one of MLS Next Pro’s more entertaining rivalries, with high-scoring matches and multiple penalty shootouts in recent seasons. The fixtures are often open, with momentum swings and late drama.

• 8 March 2026: North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 3 August 2025: North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 28)
• 19 June 2025: Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas (North Texas won 4-2 on penalties, MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 19)
• 21 April 2025: North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 7)
• 2 September 2024: North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II (North Texas won 5-4 on penalties, MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 34)

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction

Everything about the underlying numbers points to North Texas having the upper hand. They are stronger in the standings, score more, concede fewer, and have already beaten Colorado Rapids II 3-1 this season. The prediction model gives North Texas a 45% chance of victory, with a 45% probability of a draw and only 10% for a Colorado Rapids II win. That split reflects both Colorado’s struggles and North Texas’ inconsistency, especially away from home.

Colorado Rapids II’s only real hope lies in the volatility of North Texas’ results. The visitors have 8 defeats in 15 league games and can be exposed defensively, particularly away from home where they concede 1.6 goals per match. If Colorado can keep it tight early and exploit set pieces or transitions, a draw is not out of the question. However, their own defensive record – 2.3 goals conceded per game – makes it hard to see them keeping North Texas quiet for 90 minutes.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 North Texas

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II’s recent form is poor. Their league record shows only 2 wins and 15 defeats from 17 matches, with no draws. Over the campaign they have scored just 16 goals and conceded 39 across all fixtures, and their longest losing streak has stretched to 13 games. Even in the last five matches, they have managed only 6 goals while conceding 8, underlining a persistent imbalance between attack and defence.

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas have been inconsistent but far more competitive. They have 7 wins and 8 losses from 15 league games, again with no draws. Their form pattern includes both three-game winning and three-game losing streaks, showing a team that tends to be all-or-nothing. In their last five matches they have scored 11 goals and conceded 8, with their attack generally capable of outgunning opponents even when the defence gives up chances.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

Likely squad options (not an official XI): Zackory Campagnolo or K. Starks (GK); defenders such as J. Cameron, I. Murphy, C. Harper, K. Thomas, J. De Coteau; midfielders including A. Fadal, L. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, S. Wathuta, N. Tchoumba; forwards from J. Copeland, M. Diop, A. Harris, B. Jamison, D. Phillip, K. Stewart-Baynes.

Colorado Rapids II’s roster is heavily youth-oriented, with many teenagers across the back line and midfield. That helps explain some of their defensive volatility and inconsistency over 90 minutes. Expect them to line up in a compact shape, looking to protect a back four built around more experienced figures like I. Murphy, while hoping that attackers such as B. Jamison or J. Copeland can produce moments of individual quality on the break.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

Likely squad options (not an official XI): B. Thompson or E. Dymora (GK); defenders including Alvaro Augusto, Leandro, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato; midfielders such as F. Aroyameh, N. James, Umberto Pela, T. Ospina, M. Luccin; forwards from E. Nys, Ricky Louis, J. Contreras, D. Baran, Nicholas Simmonds.

North Texas have a deeper and more balanced squad, with a blend of experience and emerging talent. Their attacking options are varied, with several forwards capable of interchanging across the front line, which suits a proactive style that has produced 28 league goals. Away from home they may opt for a slightly more conservative midfield setup, but they still have enough pace and technical ability in the final third to trouble Colorado’s fragile defence.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids II:

• None reported.

North Texas:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out based on current stats and probabilities.

• Result Tip: Back North Texas in the match result market. They are the predicted winners with a 45% chance of victory, compared to just 10% for Colorado Rapids II. The visitors have the stronger attack, a positive goal difference, and already beat Colorado 3-1 earlier in 2026.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Colorado Rapids II concede 2.3 goals per match and North Texas score 1.9 per game. Recent head-to-head meetings have regularly produced three or more goals, including scorelines of 3-1, 4-1, 3-3 and 4-2.
• Value Tip: North Texas to score at least 2 goals. They have hit multiple goals in many recent clashes with Colorado (3-1, 2-2, 2-0, 3-3, 2-2, 4-2) and face a defence that has already shipped 39 goals in 17 league fixtures.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.